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Forecasting

A drone hovers over a beach.
Posted inNews

Drones Make Weather Prediction Easier at the Poles

by Andrew Chapman 23 December 202223 December 2022

Researchers measured wind speed with a commercially available drone and a lightweight sensor. The approach could help scientists gather more data from remote environments.

3D rendering of Earth
Posted inFeatures

Are We Entering The Golden Age Of Climate Modeling?

by Mark Betancourt 21 November 202230 November 2022

Thanks to the advent of exascale computing, local climate forecasts may soon be a reality. And they’re not just for scientists anymore.

A mass of steaming, orange-glowing lava consumes a street sign as it flows over a roadway.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

A Better Operational Lava Flow Model

by Morgan Rehnberg 26 October 202226 October 2022

By segmenting the vertical structure of a lava flow, the Lava2d model provides more realism to operational lava forecasts.

A photo of a hurricane from space.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

What is the Best Predictor of Landfalling Hurricane Damage?

by Jonathan Zawislak 21 October 202218 October 2022

A new study finds that the minimum sea level pressure, as another measure of hurricane strength, is a better predictor of hurricane damage in the United States than the maximum sustained wind speed.

A steplike fracture in the soil in the foreground of a vineyard
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Slight Shifts in Magnetic Field Preceded California Earthquakes

by Joshua Rapp Learn 6 October 20226 October 2022

Magnetometers detected faint signals that with further study, may improve our understanding of what happens before earthquakes and offer promise for early detection.

A map showing global land cover and two graphs.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Vegetation Carries the Signature of Recent Precipitation

by Valeriy Ivanov 3 October 202228 September 2022

Vegetation response to precipitation is important for near-term weather predictability, and researchers show that such a response can occur within a few days and last up to two months.

The uninhabited island of Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai was destroyed by the massive volcanic eruption in January 2022.
Posted inNews

People Need to Think Bigger About Volcanic Catastrophes

by Katharine Gammon 22 September 202222 September 2022

New research outlines the risk of catastrophic eruptions and urges policymakers to support more widespread monitoring.

Six graphs showing the correlation skill between the new hindcasts SEAS5-20C and the reanalysis CERA-20C.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Variability of ENSO Forecast Skill Over the 20th Century

by Suzana Camargo 21 September 202222 September 2022

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability is examined in a new global coupled retrospective forecast ensemble for the 20th Century.

Maps overlain with prediction accuracy.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Quantifying Changes in Midlatitude Subseasonal Prediction Skill

by Suzana Camargo 9 September 202230 September 2022

The differences between future and present subseasonal predictability in the Northern Hemisphere provided by the tropics are evaluated using neural networks.

We are in the middle of solar cycle 25, which means that the Sun has been slowly ramping up its sunspot and flare activity for the past few years.
Posted inFeatures

11 Discoveries Awaiting Us at Solar Max

by Kimberly M. S. Cartier 25 August 202230 September 2022

Each solar cycle might seem like the same old story, but one thing has changed significantly since the previous solar maximum–our technology.

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Features from AGU Journals

RESEARCH SPOTLIGHTS
JGR: Solid Earth
“New Tectonic Plate Model Could Improve Earthquake Risk Assessment”
By Morgan Rehnberg

EDITORS' HIGHLIGHTS
AGU Advances
“Eminently Complex – Climate Science and the 2021 Nobel Prize”
By Ana Barros

EDITORS' VOX
Perspectives of Earth and Space Scientists
“New Directions for Perspectives of Earth and Space Scientists”
By Michael Wysession


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