Impact and turbulence models for river tremor are adapted and combined into a model that predicts the amplitude and frequency content of volcanic eruption tremor.
Forecasting
Scientists Claim a More Accurate Method of Predicting Solar Flares
Supercomputer 3D modeling of magnetic fields could help mitigate damage from geomagnetic storms.
Ensemble Modeling of Coronal Mass Ejection Arrival at 1 AU
Heliospheric imaging data can be used in ensemble modeling of CME arrival time at Earth to improve space weather forecasts, treating the solar wind as a 1-D incompressible hydrodynamic flow.
Real-time Ground Motion Estimation for Large Earthquakes
Advanced computing technology can be used to forecast ground shaking from earthquakes and provide an early warning in real time.
Advancing Ensemble Methods in Space Weather Forecasting
A short, must-read, report for anyone developing new space weather forecasts.
Bridging the Gap Between Weather and Climate Predictions
A special collection on subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction presents the latest progress in filling the gap between short-term weather prediction and longer-term climate prediction.
Improving Atmospheric Forecasts with Machine Learning
An efficient, low-resolution machine learning model can usefully predict the global atmospheric state as much as 3 days out.
NOAA Predicts Busy Hurricane Season
FEMA issued new guidance yesterday advising states to prepare for evacuations during the pandemic.
Space Weather Forecasting Takes Inspiration from Meteorology
Solar features analogous to major atmospheric waves on Earth could offer more advanced warning of harmful solar storms.
Are Cosmic Rays a Key to Forecasting Volcanic Eruptions?
A combination of relativistic particles and artificial intelligence may provide a new way to forecast when a volcano could erupt.