不同的指标以不同的方式变化,但是气候模型显示出一个明显的趋势,那就是热应力的增加。
Global climate models
Global Warming Causes Uneven Changes in Heat Stress Indicators
Different indicators change in different ways, but climate models project a clear trend of increasing heat stress.
Ice Age Testing Reveals Challenges in Climate Model Sensitivity
Increased reflection of incoming sunlight by clouds led one current-generation climate model to predict unrealistically cold temperatures during the last ice age.
New Technique to Estimate Climate Sensitivity
Climate sensitivity can be estimated using multiple variables jointly in a multi-component linear regression.
“Thirstier” Atmosphere Will Increase Wildfire Risk out West
New climate projections could inform long-term wildfire and water resources management strategies in California and Nevada.
New Insights into Uncertainties About Earth’s Rising Temperature
A comparison of climate models finds that much of the variation in their predictions of global warming arises from differences in how they simulate the response of convective processes to warming.
Regional Sensitivities Strongly Affect Modeled Climate Extremes
Analysis of temperature and precipitation extremes in two generations of CMIP climate models revealed similarities in regional climate sensitivities, contrasting with divergent global sensitivities.
Tracking Tropospheric Ozone Since 1979
Stratospheric ozone depletion between 1979 and 2010 resulted in a slight decrease of ozone in the troposphere during that period despite increased ozone production from anthropogenic emissions.
Studying Earth’s Double Electrical Heartbeat
Charged by thunderstorms and other weather phenomena, the global electrical circuit connects the entire planet.
Why Is Climate More Sensitive in the Latest Earth System Models?
Compared with previous generations, current Earth system models predict that Earth’s climate is more sensitive to carbon dioxide. Where does the increased sensitivity come from?