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Models

Schematic of an ensemble forecast where the lines represent trajectories of individual forecasts that diverge from each other owing to uncertainties in the initial conditions
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Advancing Ensemble Methods in Space Weather Forecasting

by Michael A. Hapgood 23 June 202012 June 2020

A short, must-read, report for anyone developing new space weather forecasts.

Posted inEditors' Highlights

Why Space Weather Needs Ensemble Forecasting

by D. T. Welling 9 August 2018

Weather forecasts combine many model predictions to create an ensemble that is more accurate than separate models, a technique now starting to be applied in space weather science.

Posted inEditors' Highlights

Improving Temperature Forecasts in the Upper Atmosphere

by D. J. Knipp 19 March 2018

Scientists are blending output from multi-year model runs to improve temperature forecasts in regions where satellites experience “drag,” in the hopes of avoiding future spacecraft collisions.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

New Space Weather Forecast Technique Fails to Improve Forecasts

by Mark Zastrow 18 February 201622 February 2016

For years, scientists have proposed upgrading the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's solar storm forecasts to account for their tilt as they streak toward Earth. But does it help?

Posted inResearch Spotlights

River Slope Connects Modern Topography with Ancient Tectonics

by JoAnna Wendel 10 December 201411 February 2022

Scientists create models to help them figure out how the slope of a river can record ancient tectonic activity.

Features from AGU Journals

RESEARCH SPOTLIGHTS
JGR: Solid Earth
“New Tectonic Plate Model Could Improve Earthquake Risk Assessment”
By Morgan Rehnberg

EDITORS' HIGHLIGHTS
AGU Advances
“Eminently Complex – Climate Science and the 2021 Nobel Prize”
By Ana Barros

EDITORS' VOX
Perspectives of Earth and Space Scientists
“New Directions for Perspectives of Earth and Space Scientists”
By Michael Wysession


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