El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability is examined in a new global coupled retrospective forecast ensemble for the 20th Century.
Monitoring, forecasting, prediction
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Committed U.S. Power Emissions Incompatible with Paris Agreement
Without a significant reduction in usage, committed emissions from coal and gas plants in the United States are already incompatible with the country’s pledges under the Paris climate agreement.
Posted inNews
How Routine Monitors Weather the Pandemic Storm
Much of routine monitoring can be done remotely these days, but networks aren’t completely immune to COVID-19’s society-halting symptoms.
![Charts relating to the results presented in Kim et al. [2019]](https://i0.wp.com/eos.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/2019JD031416_Figure-4-sized-for-Eos.png?resize=820%2C615&ssl=1)
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Emerging Controversy in Madden-Julian Oscillation Prediction
The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation modulates the Madden-Julian Oscillation in observations, but it does not significantly influence prediction skills in a multi-model assessment.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Extreme Summer Heat over Europe Is Predictable Week-to-Week
Forecasts made one to a few weeks in advance, known as “subseasonal to seasonal” predictions, show more skill in predicting extreme summer heat waves over Europe than spells of normal or cold weather.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
How Do Main Shocks Affect Subsequent Earthquakes?
The results of a novel analysis of aftershock size distribution have important implications for more realistically assessing the seismic hazard of earthquake sequences.
Posted inScience Updates
Subseasonal to Decadal Predictions: Successes and Challenges
International Conferences on Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction; Boulder, Colorado, 17–21 September 2018
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Can Coastal Surface Currents Improve Hurricane Forecasts?
An idealized model explores whether hurricane intensity forecasts could potentially be improved by incorporating coastal surface currents data.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
What Is a Nuisance Flood, Exactly?
A more precise definition could help cities and governments prepare and respond to hazards.
Posted inEditors' Vox
The Challenges of Global Flood Hazard Mapping and Prediction
A new book presents the latest tools in remote sensing technologies and modeling approaches for addressing challenges and meeting future needs in global flood hazard mapping and prediction.