Without a significant reduction in usage, committed emissions from coal and gas plants in the United States are already incompatible with the country’s pledges under the Paris climate agreement.
Monitoring, forecasting, prediction
How Routine Monitors Weather the Pandemic Storm
Much of routine monitoring can be done remotely these days, but networks aren’t completely immune to COVID-19’s society-halting symptoms.
Emerging Controversy in Madden-Julian Oscillation Prediction
The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation modulates the Madden-Julian Oscillation in observations, but it does not significantly influence prediction skills in a multi-model assessment.
Extreme Summer Heat over Europe Is Predictable Week-to-Week
Forecasts made one to a few weeks in advance, known as “subseasonal to seasonal” predictions, show more skill in predicting extreme summer heat waves over Europe than spells of normal or cold weather.
Modeling Tsunamis with Social Media
Video footage gathered from social media is used to reconstruct the timing and likely source(s) of the tsunami generated by the 2018 Palu earthquake.
How Do Main Shocks Affect Subsequent Earthquakes?
The results of a novel analysis of aftershock size distribution have important implications for more realistically assessing the seismic hazard of earthquake sequences.
Data from Past Eruptions Could Reduce Future Volcano Hazards
Optimizing the Use of Volcano Monitoring Database to Anticipate Unrest; Yogyakarta, Indonesia, 26–29 November 2018
Subseasonal to Decadal Predictions: Successes and Challenges
International Conferences on Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction; Boulder, Colorado, 17–21 September 2018
Can Coastal Surface Currents Improve Hurricane Forecasts?
An idealized model explores whether hurricane intensity forecasts could potentially be improved by incorporating coastal surface currents data.
Earthquake Precursors, Processes, and Predictions
A new book presents various studies that may establish a link between earthquakes and different types of precursor signals from the Earth, atmosphere, and space.