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Monitoring, forecasting, prediction

Posted inEditors' Highlights

Committed U.S. Power Emissions Incompatible with Paris Agreement

by D. Wuebbles 3 September 20203 September 2020

Without a significant reduction in usage, committed emissions from coal and gas plants in the United States are already incompatible with the country’s pledges under the Paris climate agreement.

An engineer on a tiny islet uses a total station to survey a rushing stream.
Posted inNews

How Routine Monitors Weather the Pandemic Storm

by JoAnna Wendel 13 May 202022 October 2021

Much of routine monitoring can be done remotely these days, but networks aren’t completely immune to COVID-19’s society-halting symptoms.

Charts relating to the results presented in Kim et al. [2019]
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Emerging Controversy in Madden-Julian Oscillation Prediction

by C. Zhang 5 February 202031 January 2020

The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation modulates the Madden-Julian Oscillation in observations, but it does not significantly influence prediction skills in a multi-model assessment.

Graphs showing how accurately four different models predict seasonal climate change.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Extreme Summer Heat over Europe Is Predictable Week-to-Week

by A. Giannini 26 November 201926 November 2019

Forecasts made one to a few weeks in advance, known as “subseasonal to seasonal” predictions, show more skill in predicting extreme summer heat waves over Europe than spells of normal or cold weather.

Figure showing model reconstructions of the Palu tsunami
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Modeling Tsunamis with Social Media

by G. P. Hayes 31 May 201930 May 2019

Video footage gathered from social media is used to reconstruct the timing and likely source(s) of the tsunami generated by the 2018 Palu earthquake.

Children help salvage and remove debris after the 2015 earthquake in Nepal
Posted inResearch Spotlights

How Do Main Shocks Affect Subsequent Earthquakes?

by Terri Cook 29 March 201918 April 2019

The results of a novel analysis of aftershock size distribution have important implications for more realistically assessing the seismic hazard of earthquake sequences.

Java's Mount Merapi and Mount Merbabu volcanoes
Posted inScience Updates

Data from Past Eruptions Could Reduce Future Volcano Hazards

by F. Costa, C. Widiwijayanti and H. Humaida 25 March 2019

Optimizing the Use of Volcano Monitoring Database to Anticipate Unrest; Yogyakarta, Indonesia, 26–29 November 2018

Drought effects on a cornfield in Texas
Posted inScience Updates

Subseasonal to Decadal Predictions: Successes and Challenges

by G. Danabasoglu, F. Vitart and W. J. Merryfield 31 January 2019

International Conferences on Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction; Boulder, Colorado, 17–21 September 2018

Posted inEditors' Highlights

Can Coastal Surface Currents Improve Hurricane Forecasts?

by Suzana Camargo 18 October 2018

An idealized model explores whether hurricane intensity forecasts could potentially be improved by incorporating coastal surface currents data.

Posted inEditors' Vox

Earthquake Precursors, Processes, and Predictions

by D. Ouzounov 31 August 20188 September 2018

A new book presents various studies that may establish a link between earthquakes and different types of precursor signals from the Earth, atmosphere, and space.

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From AGU Journals

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