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Uncertainty

Posted inEditors' Highlights

A Powerful New Tool to Analyze and Calibrate Earth System Models

by P. A. Dirmeyer 6 March 2018

Polynomial chaos and Bayesian compressive sensing are applied to a land surface model to understand how large numbers of tunable parameters interact and may be optimized.

Flooding in Vienna after an ice dam failed on the Danube River in March 1830, captured here in a watercolor painting by Eduard Gurk
Posted inResearch Spotlights

How Vague Historical Writings Help Scientists Predict Floods

by L. Crane 13 September 2016

By including imprecise historical written records in their calculations, researchers were able to decrease uncertainty in estimations of future flood frequency.

Posted inScience Updates

Communicating Uncertainties in Sea Surface Temperature

by N. A. Rayner, C. J. Merchant and G. K. Corlett 29 May 201529 May 2015

Sea Surface Temperature User Workshop on Uncertainties; Exeter, UK, 18–20 November 2014

Features from AGU Journals

RESEARCH SPOTLIGHTS
JGR: Solid Earth
“New Tectonic Plate Model Could Improve Earthquake Risk Assessment”
By Morgan Rehnberg

EDITORS' HIGHLIGHTS
AGU Advances
“Eminently Complex – Climate Science and the 2021 Nobel Prize”
By Ana Barros

EDITORS' VOX
Perspectives of Earth and Space Scientists
“New Directions for Perspectives of Earth and Space Scientists”
By Michael Wysession


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