A new way of representing microphysical uncertainty in convective-scale data assimilation reduces biases in model states and improves the accuracy of short-term precipitation forecasts.
By adding support for spatially variable velocity fields and anisotropy, the CoSMoS simulation package can more accurately reproduce physical phenomena.
Registros individuales de paleohuracanes extraídos de los sedimentos de islas azotadas por tormentas no muestran una clara influencia del clima en la frecuencia de los huracanes en el último milenio.
This newly developed approach to assessing the quality of sensitivity analyses can be applied to any method without bootstrapping or additional model runs.
Polynomial chaos and Bayesian compressive sensing are applied to a land surface model to understand how large numbers of tunable parameters interact and may be optimized.
By including imprecise historical written records in their calculations, researchers were able to decrease uncertainty in estimations of future flood frequency.
Sea Surface Temperature User Workshop on Uncertainties; Exeter, UK, 18–20 November 2014