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Agnes Helmstetter

Associate Editor, JGR: Solid Earth

Two maps of the study region displaying earthquake depth as colored dots.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Aftershocks Reveal Coseismic Rupture of Megathrust Earthquakes

by Agnes Helmstetter 28 July 202221 September 2022

More accurate aftershock zones reveal that the rupture areas of megathrust Aleutian–Alaska earthquakes are larger than we thought and partly overlap, in contradiction with the seismic gap hypothesis.

Plot showing the distribution of magnitudes (blue) and positive magnitude differences (red) for aftershocks of the 2019 M7.1 Ridgecrest California earthquake
Posted inEditors' Highlights

A New Robust Estimator of Earthquake Magnitude Distribution

by Agnes Helmstetter 19 March 20215 December 2022

The b-value, which describes the fraction of large versus small earthquakes, is less sensitive to transient changes in detection threshold and may improve the detection of precursory changes.

Plot showing aftershocks triggered by the 1992 Landers earthquake in California and Coulomb stress changes
Posted inEditors' Highlights

The Failure of Physics-Based Earthquake Forecasting Models

by Agnes Helmstetter 12 February 20219 March 2023

Spatial clustering of aftershocks explains why simple statistical models often outperform complex physics‐based earthquake forecasting models even if the physical mechanisms are correctly modeled.

Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

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