The b-value, which describes the fraction of large versus small earthquakes, is less sensitive to transient changes in detection threshold and may improve the detection of precursory changes.
A. Helmstetter
Associate Editor, JGR: Solid Earth
Posted inEditors' Highlights
The Failure of Physics-Based Earthquake Forecasting Models
Spatial clustering of aftershocks explains why simple statistical models often outperform complex physics‐based earthquake forecasting models even if the physical mechanisms are correctly modeled.