Researchers have been searching for precursory warning signals for decades with little success.
Research Spotlights
Research spotlights are plain-language summaries of recent articles published in AGU’s suite of 24 journals.
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Characterizing the Fault Beneath the Marmara Sea
Researchers mine seismic wave data to elucidate the stress relief system of the Main Marmara Fault beneath Turkey's inland sea.
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Half of Atmospheric Joule Heating Is Due to Small Oscillations
Scientists use sounding rockets to show that small oscillations in electric fields can be just as important for atmospheric Joule heating as the presence of the electric field itself.
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Ocean Waves Vibrating the Ross Ice Shelf
Scientists use seismic stations to study ice shelf vibrations generated by ocean waves to better understand their impact on the integrity of the Ross Ice Shelf.
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New Solar Wind Model Could Improve Space Weather Forecasts
Real-world data drive a simulation that successfully predicts Sun structures and interplanetary solar wind dynamics.
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Predicting Changing Human Preferences in Water Basin Management
A model of human-water interactions in Florida's Kissimmee River Basin demonstrates the potential for sociohydrologic models to assist with strategic water management decisions.
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Modeling Weather over Mountainous Terrain
Scientists use high-resolution models to study how the jagged terrain of the Earth's mountains influences precipitation.
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An Unprecedented View of Biogeochemistry off India's West Coast
Yearlong study reveals seasonal changes in oxygen levels, nutrient availability, and plankton growth.
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Sun's Magnetic Fields Best at Forecasting Solar Cycle Peaks
Models based on the Sun's polar magnetic fields performed best in simulating the solar cycle and predicting solar behavior.
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Fewer Tropical Cyclones Form After Volcanic Eruptions
Volcanic eruptions aren't all bad—in some cases, they can lower the frequency of tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic by emitting sulfate aerosols.