Photos of atoll islands
These panels illustrate the high exposure of atoll islands to sea level rise due to their low topography. The processes of sediment accumulation modelled occurs on the oceanward side of the atoll (panel b). Credit: Roelvink et al. [2025], Figure 1
Editors’ Highlights are summaries of recent papers by AGU’s journal editors.
Source: Earth’s Future 

Coral atoll islands are particularly vulnerable to sea level rise and climate change. In rural islands where active coastal sediments processes are occurring, wave-driven sediment deposition can raise islands’ crest on their oceanward side.

Roelvink et al. [2025] show that coastal morphodynamic models are now able to provide quantitative insight into these phenomena. Specifically, they show that in the natural islands of Fiyoaree (Maldives), the sediment accumulation on the island crests can mitigate the projected increase of overwash during extreme wave events by a factor of three. Their modeling framework also confirms the benefits of adaptation measures aiming at protecting corals, particularly in reducing incoming wave energy. As climate is warming due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, increasing sea surface temperatures are causing widespread bleaching and mortality of corals, raising the urgent question of limits to coral adaptation, even at 2 degrees Celsius of global warming.

Hence, the study opens the way for future research exploring these limits in a quantitative manner, while also reminding us about the urgency of mitigating climate change to avoid irreversible losses and damages.

Citation: Roelvink, F. E., Masselink, G., Stokes, C., & McCall, R. T. (2025). Climate adaptation for a natural atoll island in the Maldives – predicting the long-term morphological response of coral islands to sea level rise and the effect of hazard mitigation strategies. Earth’s Future, 13, e2024EF005576. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005576

—Gonéri Le Cozannet, Associate Editor, Earth’s Future

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