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Modeling

Smoke rises from burning palm trees
Posted inFeatures

What Is Left in the Air After a Wildfire Depends on Exactly What Burned

Megan Sever, Science Writer by Megan Sever 23 January 202016 March 2022

Forecasting air quality after a wildfire is improving, thanks to more-refined models that measure the biomass going into the blaze and the emissions coming out.

The International Space Station orbits through the thermosphere in May 2010.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Atmospheric Drag Alters Satellite Orbits

by David Shultz 23 January 202013 October 2021

A new modeling study shows how the density of the thermosphere influences the paths of satellites in low Earth orbit.

Swirls of photosynthetic algae thrive in the Arabian Sea in February 2015.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Anaerobic Activity Is a Big Contributor in Marine “Dead Zones”

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 17 January 20202 March 2023

Climate models that do not account for anaerobic microbial activity may underestimate future expansion of oxygen-depleted waters.

Land use map of the Selke river catchment in central Germany
Posted inEditors' Highlights

New Isotope Model Predicts Denitrification from Riparian Zones

by D. Scott Mackay 13 January 202015 November 2022

A new model quantifies the relative contributions of denitrification and other processes of nitrogen uptake, such as by plants, from groundwater in riparian areas around streams.

Oil slick from Deepwater Horizon spill, 2010
Posted inEditors' Vox

Understanding Material Movement in the Ocean’s Upper Layer

by M. Chamecki, T. Chor, D. Yang and C. Meneveau 13 January 202018 May 2022

Computer simulations are advancing our understanding of how natural and anthropogenic materials are transported around the upper layer of the ocean.

An algal bloom covers the surface of Lake Vansjø in Norway near the shore as children board canoes.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Stored Nutrients and Climate Warming Will Feed More Algal Blooms

Elizabeth Thompson by Elizabeth Thompson 6 January 20206 June 2022

High nutrient concentrations cause water quality problems in lakes, and as the climate warms, these issues will only get worse. A new model assesses future scenarios and explores solutions.

Orange and red shading on map denotes higher levels of nitrogen oxide clusters around lignite power plants in Germany.
Posted inNews

Pinpointing Emission Sources from Space

Mary Caperton Morton, Science Writer by Mary Caperton Morton 2 January 202014 March 2023

Satellite data combined with wind models bring scientists one step closer to being able to monitor air pollution from space.

Image of the Sun in extreme ultraviolet light taken by NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Observational Data Validate Models of Sun’s Influence on Earth

by David Shultz 2 January 20206 December 2022

Using a combination of independent models and observations over multiple timescales, scientists verify two important models that gauge the amount of solar radiation Earth receives.

Hackathon participants at several locations collaborated on climate model analyses summer 2019.
Posted inScience Updates

Hackathon Speeds Progress Toward Climate Model Collaboration

by W. Weijer, F. M. Hoffman, P. A. Ullrich, M. Wehner and Ji. Liu 23 December 201924 March 2023

Climate scientists collaborated in a nationwide event to analyze and compare archived Earth system model simulations and to generate input for the IPCC’s upcoming climate change report.

Image of orange sun above hazy Tokyo cityscape
Posted inNews

Heat Waves Born of Earth and Sky

Richard Sima, freelance science writer by Richard J. Sima 20 December 201915 October 2021

Researchers use computer simulations to uncover the significant contributions that dry soil and atmospheric wind patterns make to major heat waves.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

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8 April 20266 April 2026
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The Future of Earth’s Future

24 March 202624 March 2026
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