Basing forecasts on data that preserve variations over space yield more reliable predictions than using standard numerical measures of climatic cycles' intensity.
Water Resources Research
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Rainfall Fluctuations Hinder Projections of Future Extremes
Long-period oscillations in rainfall make even long records less useful for predicting future extremes.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Satellite Measurements May Help Real-Time Water Management
Upper Niger River study shows that satellite altimetry could help resource managers optimize reservoir releases even on ungauged rivers.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Inflexibility of Some Hydrological Models Limits Accuracy
Reducing the number of fixed assumptions may improve the accuracy of complex process-based models.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Improving Hydrology Models for a Changing Climate
How can scientists make a hydrology model that can predict water flow in an uncertain future climate?
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Epidemiology Can Help Predict Urban Water System Failures
How are broken water pipes like fatalities in a heat wave? Researchers look to an epidemiological model to better care for infrastructure.
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A Simple Model to Calculate When Drought Causes Plants to Die
Scientists create a mathematical model to predict when drought pushes plants to die.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
A Model to Predict When a Cholera Outbreak Might Hit the Congo
Researchers determined the environmental conditions most likely to trigger a cholera epidemic in a region in eastern Congo.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
How Should Flood Risk Assessments Be Done in a Changing Climate?
The common assumption that flood behavior is not changing over time causes water managers to undervalue flood protection benefits. A better method of risk assessment is proposed.