Tropical fires and drought-stricken ecosystems that normally serve as sinks will release carbon, contributing to high atmospheric concentrations through 2016 and beyond.
ENSO
Could We Have Predicted What El Niño Would Bring?
Researchers take a retrospective look to see if precipitation and flooding due to El Niño could have been predicted a priori.
Does El Niño Intensity Affect Precipitation in California?
Modeling experiments demonstrate that strong El Niños greatly increase odds for wet winters over California's principal watersheds compared to impacts of weak and moderate El Niños.
Distant Rains Contributed to La Niña Ocean Warming Event
Unusually low salinity intensified a warm-water current off the coast of Western Australia in 2010–2011.
This Winter's El Niño Might Only Dent Western U.S. Drought
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released its winter weather outlook, which predicts a warm and wet winter in California but not enough rain to eliminate the state's pernicious drought.
Dengue Fever Epidemics Linked with El Niño, Study Says
High temperatures associated with the recurring global climate pattern foster mosquito-friendly conditions that may accelerate transmission of the virus.
NOAA Predicts Strong El Niño
This winter could bring warmer temperatures to northern states and much-needed rain and snow to southern California and the Southwest.
Rethinking How Tropical Convection Works
Researchers look at previous Walker circulation models and ask, Does damping truly matter?
El Niño Fades Without Westerly Wind Bursts
Pacific Ocean conditions brought El Niño winter forecasts in early 2014, but the chances faded by late summer. New research places blame on shifting winds.
Peruvian Andes Helped to Cool Eastern Equatorial Pacific
Scientists investigate the role of the Peruvian Andes on climate variability.