Scientists disagree about the validity of the spatial scintillation index, a tool that aims to forecast earthquakes based on atmospheric disturbances.
forecasting
Posted inScience Updates
Better Forecasting for the Next Volcanic Eruption
The Eruptive Precursors project in Campi Flegrei, Italy, seeks to understand conditions leading to caldera eruptions.
Posted inNews
This Winter's El Niño Might Only Dent Western U.S. Drought
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released its winter weather outlook, which predicts a warm and wet winter in California but not enough rain to eliminate the state's pernicious drought.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Efficiently Predicting Shallow Landslide Size and Location
New mathematical approach lets researchers analyze potentially unstable slopes in three dimensions without testing every possible landslide shape.
Posted inNews
NOAA Predicts Strong El Niño
This winter could bring warmer temperatures to northern states and much-needed rain and snow to southern California and the Southwest.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Predicting Space Weather on a Satellite Superhighway
Scientists combined 82 satellite years of data to create a more comprehensive model of how plasma behaves in a region of Earth's magnetosphere with heavy spacecraft traffic.
Posted inScience Updates
Forecasting and Communicating Risk of Rip Currents, Wave Runup
NOAA Coastal Hazards Resilience Workshop—Rip Currents and Wave Runup; Suffolk, Virginia, 14–16 April 2015
Posted inScience Updates
Monitoring Gas Emissions Can Help Forecast Volcanic Eruptions
5th Meeting of the Network for Observation of Volcanic and Atmospheric Change; Turrialba Volcano, Costa Rica, 27 April to 1 May 2015
Posted inOpinions
How Can We Better Understand Low River Flows as Climate Changes?
When rivers run low, they threaten ecosystems, economies, and the communities who depend on them. Scientists need to determine how climate change alters this process, but to do so, they'll have to abandon a long-held assumption.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
What Climate Information Is Most Useful for Predicting Floods?
Basing forecasts on data that preserve variations over space yield more reliable predictions than using standard numerical measures of climatic cycles' intensity.