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forecasting

Posted inScience Updates

Monitoring Gas Emissions Can Help Forecast Volcanic Eruptions

by C. Kern, J. M. de Moor and B. Galle 12 August 201515 November 2022

5th Meeting of the Network for Observation of Volcanic and Atmospheric Change; Turrialba Volcano, Costa Rica, 27 April to 1 May 2015

Posted inOpinions

How Can We Better Understand Low River Flows as Climate Changes?

by I. Pal, E. Towler and B. Livneh 6 August 201515 February 2023

When rivers run low, they threaten ecosystems, economies, and the communities who depend on them. Scientists need to determine how climate change alters this process, but to do so, they'll have to abandon a long-held assumption.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

What Climate Information Is Most Useful for Predicting Floods?

by P. Kollipara 24 July 20157 July 2025

Basing forecasts on data that preserve variations over space yield more reliable predictions than using standard numerical measures of climatic cycles' intensity.

Posted inFeatures

Improving Predictions of Arctic Sea Ice Extent

by J. Stroeve, Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, V. Guemas, S. Howell, F. Massonnet and S. Tietsche 19 June 201523 March 2023

Scientists in the Sea Ice Prediction Network share and discuss their user-oriented forecasts of seasonal sea ice in a changing Arctic.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Rainfall Fluctuations Hinder Projections of Future Extremes

by P. Kollipara 10 June 201514 April 2023

Long-period oscillations in rainfall make even long records less useful for predicting future extremes.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Conquering Uncertainties in Tropical Climate Forecasts

by E. Betz 17 April 20157 July 2025

The key to better predictions of atmospheric temperature trends in the tropics may lie in more accurate measurements of sea surface temperatures.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Do All These Weather Satellites Really Improve Forecasts?

by E. Betz 15 April 201529 March 2022

A team of researchers put an array of space- and ground-based weather instruments to the test and found that the common weather balloon is irreplaceable for forecasting rainfall.

Posted inScience Updates

Changing of the Guard: Satellite Will Warn Earth of Solar Storms

by D. J. Knipp and D. A. Biesecker 24 March 20157 July 2025

This summer, Earth gets a new guardian—the Deep Space Climate Observatory—to help warn astronauts and operators of critical planetary infrastructure about the Sun's raging magnetic storms.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

A Database of African Precipitation from 1983 Onward

by C. Schultz 6 February 201515 March 2023

Satellite infrared observations are used to reconstruct African precipitation records for the past 30 years in an attempt to infer rainfall variability.

Posted inNews

Six of the L’Aquila Seven Acquitted in Appeal

by J. Rosen 18 November 201430 August 2022

Six of the accused L’Aquila seven acquitted.

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Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Machine Learning Simulates 1,000 Years of Climate

27 August 202527 August 2025
Editors' Highlights

As Simple as Possible: The Importance of Idealized Climate Models

28 August 202526 August 2025
Editors' Vox

Waterworks on Tree Stems: The Wonders of Stemflow

21 August 202520 August 2025
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