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forecasting

Posted inNews

This Winter's El Niño Might Only Dent Western U.S. Drought

Cody Sullivan by C. Sullivan 16 October 20152 May 2023

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released its winter weather outlook, which predicts a warm and wet winter in California but not enough rain to eliminate the state's pernicious drought.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Efficiently Predicting Shallow Landslide Size and Location

by David Shultz 8 October 20156 February 2023

New mathematical approach lets researchers analyze potentially unstable slopes in three dimensions without testing every possible landslide shape.

Posted inNews

NOAA Predicts Strong El Niño

by K. Klein 11 September 201510 May 2022

This winter could bring warmer temperatures to northern states and much-needed rain and snow to southern California and the Southwest.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Predicting Space Weather on a Satellite Superhighway

by E. Betz 9 September 201521 February 2023

Scientists combined 82 satellite years of data to create a more comprehensive model of how plasma behaves in a region of Earth's magnetosphere with heavy spacecraft traffic.

Posted inScience Updates

Forecasting and Communicating Risk of Rip Currents, Wave Runup

by G. Dusek, A. van der Westhuysen and N. P. Kurkowski 20 August 20152 February 2023

NOAA Coastal Hazards Resilience Workshop—Rip Currents and Wave Runup; Suffolk, Virginia, 14–16 April 2015

Posted inScience Updates

Monitoring Gas Emissions Can Help Forecast Volcanic Eruptions

by C. Kern, J. M. de Moor and B. Galle 12 August 201515 November 2022

5th Meeting of the Network for Observation of Volcanic and Atmospheric Change; Turrialba Volcano, Costa Rica, 27 April to 1 May 2015

Posted inOpinions

How Can We Better Understand Low River Flows as Climate Changes?

by I. Pal, E. Towler and B. Livneh 6 August 201515 February 2023

When rivers run low, they threaten ecosystems, economies, and the communities who depend on them. Scientists need to determine how climate change alters this process, but to do so, they'll have to abandon a long-held assumption.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

What Climate Information Is Most Useful for Predicting Floods?

by P. Kollipara 24 July 20157 July 2025

Basing forecasts on data that preserve variations over space yield more reliable predictions than using standard numerical measures of climatic cycles' intensity.

Posted inFeatures

Improving Predictions of Arctic Sea Ice Extent

by J. Stroeve, Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, V. Guemas, S. Howell, F. Massonnet and S. Tietsche 19 June 201523 March 2023

Scientists in the Sea Ice Prediction Network share and discuss their user-oriented forecasts of seasonal sea ice in a changing Arctic.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Rainfall Fluctuations Hinder Projections of Future Extremes

by P. Kollipara 10 June 201514 April 2023

Long-period oscillations in rainfall make even long records less useful for predicting future extremes.

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