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forecasting

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Tsunami Forecast System Could Provide Early Warnings in Japan

by David Shultz 4 February 20167 July 2025

New simulations show that an array of sensors mounted to the ocean floor can capture tsunami size and wavelength.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Atlantic Sea Ice Could Grow in the Next Decade

by L. Strelich 4 February 201614 April 2023

Changing ocean circulation in the North Atlantic could lead to winter sea ice coverage remaining steady and even growing in select regions.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Climate Models Predict Diverse Arctic Ocean Shipping Routes

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 27 January 20168 November 2022

As ice melts, multiple models yield more detailed route predictions than any single model alone.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Forecasting Eruptions at Restless Calderas

Kate Wheeling, freelance science writer by Kate Wheeling 26 January 201617 November 2022

Scientists review decades of data on swarms of earthquakes, surface deformation, degassing, and microgravity changes around calderas to determine when such forms of unrest may result in eruptions.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

A Big Climate Driver in a Small Ocean Basin

Kate Wheeling, freelance science writer by Kate Wheeling 25 January 20162 July 2024

Scientists review Atlantic Ocean circulation variability and its applications for predicting decadal climate variation.

Posted inScience Updates

Toward Improving Decadal Climate Predictions

by G. J. Boer, G. A. Meehl and D. M. Smith 21 December 20152 May 2022

Aspen Global Change Institute Workshop on Decadal Climate Predictions: Improving Our Understanding of Processes and Mechanisms to Make Better Predictions; Aspen, Colorado, 7–12 June 2015

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Forecast Versus Reality: High-Resolution Weather Prediction

by L. Strelich 25 November 201525 February 2022

Researchers test the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model with real-life observational data to evaluate forecast accuracy.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Improving Indian Summer Monsoon Prediction

by L. Strelich 20 November 201514 June 2022

A new study analyzes temperature and moisture variations in different layers of the atmosphere to improve forecasting of Indian summer monsoon precipitation patterns.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

An Ionospheric Index to Predict Earthquakes Falls Short

Kate Wheeling, freelance science writer by Kate Wheeling 18 November 201518 October 2022

Scientists disagree about the validity of the spatial scintillation index, a tool that aims to forecast earthquakes based on atmospheric disturbances.

Posted inScience Updates

Better Forecasting for the Next Volcanic Eruption

by V. Acocella and G. Chiodini 12 November 201517 November 2022

The Eruptive Precursors project in Campi Flegrei, Italy, seeks to understand conditions leading to caldera eruptions.

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