Researchers test the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model with real-life observational data to evaluate forecast accuracy.
forecasting
Improving Indian Summer Monsoon Prediction
A new study analyzes temperature and moisture variations in different layers of the atmosphere to improve forecasting of Indian summer monsoon precipitation patterns.
An Ionospheric Index to Predict Earthquakes Falls Short
Scientists disagree about the validity of the spatial scintillation index, a tool that aims to forecast earthquakes based on atmospheric disturbances.
Better Forecasting for the Next Volcanic Eruption
The Eruptive Precursors project in Campi Flegrei, Italy, seeks to understand conditions leading to caldera eruptions.
This Winter's El Niño Might Only Dent Western U.S. Drought
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released its winter weather outlook, which predicts a warm and wet winter in California but not enough rain to eliminate the state's pernicious drought.
Efficiently Predicting Shallow Landslide Size and Location
New mathematical approach lets researchers analyze potentially unstable slopes in three dimensions without testing every possible landslide shape.
NOAA Predicts Strong El Niño
This winter could bring warmer temperatures to northern states and much-needed rain and snow to southern California and the Southwest.
Predicting Space Weather on a Satellite Superhighway
Scientists combined 82 satellite years of data to create a more comprehensive model of how plasma behaves in a region of Earth's magnetosphere with heavy spacecraft traffic.
Forecasting and Communicating Risk of Rip Currents, Wave Runup
NOAA Coastal Hazards Resilience Workshop—Rip Currents and Wave Runup; Suffolk, Virginia, 14–16 April 2015
Monitoring Gas Emissions Can Help Forecast Volcanic Eruptions
5th Meeting of the Network for Observation of Volcanic and Atmospheric Change; Turrialba Volcano, Costa Rica, 27 April to 1 May 2015