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forecasting

Posted inEditors' Vox

Toward an Understanding of Earth-Affecting Solar Eruptions

by Y. Wang 30 March 201627 April 2022

Coronal mass ejection forecasting improves with technological developments and increasing availability of data.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Could We Have Predicted What El Niño Would Bring?

by W. Yan 22 March 201615 February 2023

Researchers take a retrospective look to see if precipitation and flooding due to El Niño could have been predicted a priori.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

New Solar Wind Model Could Improve Space Weather Forecasts

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 26 February 201618 October 2022

Real-world data drive a simulation that successfully predicts Sun structures and interplanetary solar wind dynamics.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Sun's Magnetic Fields Best at Forecasting Solar Cycle Peaks

by A. K. Higginson 24 February 201627 March 2023

Models based on the Sun's polar magnetic fields performed best in simulating the solar cycle and predicting solar behavior.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Solar Storms Are More Predictable Than Hurricanes

by Mark Zastrow 22 February 201631 May 2022

An encouraging new study finds that solar storms don't propagate chaotically like hurricanes—their arrivals are more predictable, which should make it easier for our planet to prepare for them.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

New Space Weather Forecast Technique Fails to Improve Forecasts

by Mark Zastrow 18 February 20167 July 2025

For years, scientists have proposed upgrading the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's solar storm forecasts to account for their tilt as they streak toward Earth. But does it help?

Posted inResearch Spotlights

New Model Predicts Big Solar Proton Storms

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 11 February 201622 February 2023

Forecasts of dangerous solar events could buy time for astronauts en route to the Moon or Mars.

Posted inScience Updates

Precipitation Data Key to Food Security and Public Health

by D. B. Kirschbaum and K. G. Patel 9 February 20167 November 2022

2015 Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Mission Applications Workshop; Hyattsville, Maryland, 9–10 June 2015

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Tsunami Forecast System Could Provide Early Warnings in Japan

by David Shultz 4 February 20167 July 2025

New simulations show that an array of sensors mounted to the ocean floor can capture tsunami size and wavelength.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Atlantic Sea Ice Could Grow in the Next Decade

by L. Strelich 4 February 201614 April 2023

Changing ocean circulation in the North Atlantic could lead to winter sea ice coverage remaining steady and even growing in select regions.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

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