New mathematical approach lets researchers analyze potentially unstable slopes in three dimensions without testing every possible landslide shape.
forecasting
NOAA Predicts Strong El Niño
This winter could bring warmer temperatures to northern states and much-needed rain and snow to southern California and the Southwest.
Predicting Space Weather on a Satellite Superhighway
Scientists combined 82 satellite years of data to create a more comprehensive model of how plasma behaves in a region of Earth's magnetosphere with heavy spacecraft traffic.
Forecasting and Communicating Risk of Rip Currents, Wave Runup
NOAA Coastal Hazards Resilience Workshop—Rip Currents and Wave Runup; Suffolk, Virginia, 14–16 April 2015
Monitoring Gas Emissions Can Help Forecast Volcanic Eruptions
5th Meeting of the Network for Observation of Volcanic and Atmospheric Change; Turrialba Volcano, Costa Rica, 27 April to 1 May 2015
How Can We Better Understand Low River Flows as Climate Changes?
When rivers run low, they threaten ecosystems, economies, and the communities who depend on them. Scientists need to determine how climate change alters this process, but to do so, they'll have to abandon a long-held assumption.
What Climate Information Is Most Useful for Predicting Floods?
Basing forecasts on data that preserve variations over space yield more reliable predictions than using standard numerical measures of climatic cycles' intensity.
Improving Predictions of Arctic Sea Ice Extent
Scientists in the Sea Ice Prediction Network share and discuss their user-oriented forecasts of seasonal sea ice in a changing Arctic.
Rainfall Fluctuations Hinder Projections of Future Extremes
Long-period oscillations in rainfall make even long records less useful for predicting future extremes.
Conquering Uncertainties in Tropical Climate Forecasts
The key to better predictions of atmospheric temperature trends in the tropics may lie in more accurate measurements of sea surface temperatures.