forecasting Archives - Page 23 of 27

Ocean-going ships like this National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration vessel plying rough water off North Carolina occasionally encounter huge waves that science still cannot predict.

Model Predicts Heights of Rogue Waves

by A. Coombs 29 June 201617 October 2022

Rogue waves form without warning and can tower more than 25 meters high. A new mathematical approach shows promise at simulating how high these waves can be.

Research Spotlights

Adapting Weather Forecasting Techniques to Paleoclimate Studies

by Terri Cook 17 June 201614 June 2022

First results of the Last Millennium Climate Reanalysis Project demonstrate the potential of the method to improve historical climate estimates by linking proxy data with climate models.

Research Spotlights

Defining the Onset and End of the Indian Summer Monsoon

by Sarah Stanley 15 June 201616 March 2023

A new, objective definition of the onset of the summer monsoon could improve predictions of rainfall in India.

Editors' Vox

Space Weather Research and Forecasting Act Introduced to Senate

by D. J. Knipp 10 June 20165 July 2022

This bill is a welcome and proactive effort to align all federal agencies to act in the nation's best interest when it comes to forecasting and responding to extreme space weather events.

Engineers decommissioning an ocean bottom seismometer and differential pressure gauge

Research Spotlights

Streamlining Rapid Tsunami Forecasting

by Sarah Stanley 23 May 20168 December 2022

With enough sensors, traditional forecasting methods could be replaced by models continuously updated with real-time wave data.

Estimated pattern of multidecadal internal variability in (top) Pacific and (bottom) Atlantic sea surface temperatures.

Research Spotlights

Was the Recent Slowdown in Surface Warming Predictable?

by Terri Cook 11 May 20163 February 2023

The temporary deceleration in warming across the Northern Hemisphere earlier this century could not have been foreseen by statistical forecasting methods, a new study concludes.

Research Spotlights

Improving the Identification of Extreme Precipitation Trends in the U.S.

by Terri Cook 14 April 201628 February 2023

By greatly reducing the associated uncertainty, a new model is better able to discern statistically significant trends, offering the potential to improve the seasonal forecasting of rare events.