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forecasting

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Sun's Magnetic Fields Best at Forecasting Solar Cycle Peaks

by A. K. Higginson 24 February 201627 March 2023

Models based on the Sun's polar magnetic fields performed best in simulating the solar cycle and predicting solar behavior.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Solar Storms Are More Predictable Than Hurricanes

by Mark Zastrow 22 February 201631 May 2022

An encouraging new study finds that solar storms don't propagate chaotically like hurricanes—their arrivals are more predictable, which should make it easier for our planet to prepare for them.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

New Space Weather Forecast Technique Fails to Improve Forecasts

by Mark Zastrow 18 February 20167 July 2025

For years, scientists have proposed upgrading the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's solar storm forecasts to account for their tilt as they streak toward Earth. But does it help?

Posted inResearch Spotlights

New Model Predicts Big Solar Proton Storms

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 11 February 201622 February 2023

Forecasts of dangerous solar events could buy time for astronauts en route to the Moon or Mars.

Posted inScience Updates

Precipitation Data Key to Food Security and Public Health

by D. B. Kirschbaum and K. G. Patel 9 February 20167 November 2022

2015 Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Mission Applications Workshop; Hyattsville, Maryland, 9–10 June 2015

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Tsunami Forecast System Could Provide Early Warnings in Japan

by David Shultz 4 February 20167 July 2025

New simulations show that an array of sensors mounted to the ocean floor can capture tsunami size and wavelength.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Atlantic Sea Ice Could Grow in the Next Decade

by L. Strelich 4 February 201614 April 2023

Changing ocean circulation in the North Atlantic could lead to winter sea ice coverage remaining steady and even growing in select regions.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Climate Models Predict Diverse Arctic Ocean Shipping Routes

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 27 January 20168 November 2022

As ice melts, multiple models yield more detailed route predictions than any single model alone.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Forecasting Eruptions at Restless Calderas

Kate Wheeling, freelance science writer by Kate Wheeling 26 January 201617 November 2022

Scientists review decades of data on swarms of earthquakes, surface deformation, degassing, and microgravity changes around calderas to determine when such forms of unrest may result in eruptions.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

A Big Climate Driver in a Small Ocean Basin

Kate Wheeling, freelance science writer by Kate Wheeling 25 January 20162 July 2024

Scientists review Atlantic Ocean circulation variability and its applications for predicting decadal climate variation.

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Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Machine Learning Simulates 1,000 Years of Climate

27 August 202527 August 2025
Editors' Highlights

As Simple as Possible: The Importance of Idealized Climate Models

28 August 202526 August 2025
Editors' Vox

Waterworks on Tree Stems: The Wonders of Stemflow

21 August 202520 August 2025
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