Models based on the Sun's polar magnetic fields performed best in simulating the solar cycle and predicting solar behavior.
forecasting
Solar Storms Are More Predictable Than Hurricanes
An encouraging new study finds that solar storms don't propagate chaotically like hurricanes—their arrivals are more predictable, which should make it easier for our planet to prepare for them.
New Space Weather Forecast Technique Fails to Improve Forecasts
For years, scientists have proposed upgrading the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's solar storm forecasts to account for their tilt as they streak toward Earth. But does it help?
New Model Predicts Big Solar Proton Storms
Forecasts of dangerous solar events could buy time for astronauts en route to the Moon or Mars.
Precipitation Data Key to Food Security and Public Health
2015 Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Mission Applications Workshop; Hyattsville, Maryland, 9–10 June 2015
Tsunami Forecast System Could Provide Early Warnings in Japan
New simulations show that an array of sensors mounted to the ocean floor can capture tsunami size and wavelength.
Atlantic Sea Ice Could Grow in the Next Decade
Changing ocean circulation in the North Atlantic could lead to winter sea ice coverage remaining steady and even growing in select regions.
Climate Models Predict Diverse Arctic Ocean Shipping Routes
As ice melts, multiple models yield more detailed route predictions than any single model alone.
Forecasting Eruptions at Restless Calderas
Scientists review decades of data on swarms of earthquakes, surface deformation, degassing, and microgravity changes around calderas to determine when such forms of unrest may result in eruptions.
A Big Climate Driver in a Small Ocean Basin
Scientists review Atlantic Ocean circulation variability and its applications for predicting decadal climate variation.