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forecasting

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Adapting Weather Forecasting Techniques to Paleoclimate Studies

by Terri Cook 17 June 201614 June 2022

First results of the Last Millennium Climate Reanalysis Project demonstrate the potential of the method to improve historical climate estimates by linking proxy data with climate models.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Defining the Onset and End of the Indian Summer Monsoon

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 15 June 201616 March 2023

A new, objective definition of the onset of the summer monsoon could improve predictions of rainfall in India.

Posted inEditors' Vox

Space Weather Research and Forecasting Act Introduced to Senate

by D. J. Knipp 10 June 20165 July 2022

This bill is a welcome and proactive effort to align all federal agencies to act in the nation's best interest when it comes to forecasting and responding to extreme space weather events.

Engineers decommissioning an ocean bottom seismometer and differential pressure gauge
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Streamlining Rapid Tsunami Forecasting

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 23 May 20168 December 2022

With enough sensors, traditional forecasting methods could be replaced by models continuously updated with real-time wave data.

Estimated pattern of multidecadal internal variability in (top) Pacific and (bottom) Atlantic sea surface temperatures.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Was the Recent Slowdown in Surface Warming Predictable?

by Terri Cook 11 May 20163 February 2023

The temporary deceleration in warming across the Northern Hemisphere earlier this century could not have been foreseen by statistical forecasting methods, a new study concludes.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Improving the Identification of Extreme Precipitation Trends in the U.S.

by Terri Cook 14 April 201628 February 2023

By greatly reducing the associated uncertainty, a new model is better able to discern statistically significant trends, offering the potential to improve the seasonal forecasting of rare events.

Posted inScience Updates

Forecasting India's Water Future

by M. d. S. Mesquita, V. Veldore, L. Li, R. Krishnan, Y. Orsolini, R. Senan, M. V. S. Ramarao and E. Viste 31 March 201626 October 2022

The NORINDIA project sheds light on how climate change could affect monsoons, droughts, and glaciers in northern India.

Posted inEditors' Vox

Toward an Understanding of Earth-Affecting Solar Eruptions

by Y. Wang 30 March 201627 April 2022

Coronal mass ejection forecasting improves with technological developments and increasing availability of data.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Could We Have Predicted What El Niño Would Bring?

by W. Yan 22 March 201615 February 2023

Researchers take a retrospective look to see if precipitation and flooding due to El Niño could have been predicted a priori.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

New Solar Wind Model Could Improve Space Weather Forecasts

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 26 February 201618 October 2022

Real-world data drive a simulation that successfully predicts Sun structures and interplanetary solar wind dynamics.

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Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Machine Learning Simulates 1,000 Years of Climate

27 August 202527 August 2025
Editors' Highlights

As Simple as Possible: The Importance of Idealized Climate Models

28 August 202526 August 2025
Editors' Vox

Waterworks on Tree Stems: The Wonders of Stemflow

21 August 202520 August 2025
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