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seasonal variability

Diagrams showing simulated near-surface temperature changes.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Modeling Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling in a Changing Climate

by William J. Randel and Gang Chen 18 October 202214 October 2022

Climate models have disagreed on the future evolution of the stratospheric polar vortex and links to the troposphere, but a new study revisits this problem with state-of-the-art climate models.

Maps overlain with prediction accuracy.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Quantifying Changes in Midlatitude Subseasonal Prediction Skill

by Suzana Camargo 9 September 202230 September 2022

The differences between future and present subseasonal predictability in the Northern Hemisphere provided by the tropics are evaluated using neural networks.

Irrigated fields in Srinagar, Jammu, and Kashmir
Posted inNews

Irrigation in Indo-Gangetic Plain Has Little Impact on Heat Stress

Rishika Pardikar, Science Writer by Rishika Pardikar 30 August 202215 April 2024

Irrigation-related cooling during summer months is overestimated by roughly 5 times, highlighting the need for climate models to accurately reflect local agricultural practices.

Three scientists discuss around a map on a table.
Posted inFeatures

How an Unlikely Friendship Upended Permafrost Myths

Jenessa Duncombe, Staff Writer by Jenessa Duncombe 19 August 202220 September 2023

“Beautifully long arguments” between an American scientist and a Russian researcher helped clarify several fundamental assumptions about permafrost thaw.

Vancouver Island rising above the Strait of Juan de Fuca.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Tracing Water Particles Back in Time

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 22 July 202222 July 2022

Every summer, a low-oxygen pool settles off Canada’s western coast. A new study uses robust modeling to track the origins of the dense water.

A lit gas stove
Posted inNews

Hazardous Air Pollutants Found in Cooking Stove Gas

Jenessa Duncombe, Staff Writer by Jenessa Duncombe 19 July 202222 December 2022

A Boston study revealed that natural gas piped into homes contained 21 toxins on the EPA’s hazardous air pollutant list.

Photo of a scientist drilling into lake ice to take a sample.
Posted inEditors' Vox

A Future Without Ice Cover

by Steven Sadro and Marguerite A. Xenopoulos 11 July 202221 July 2022

Winter is fading away, but the answers may be beneath the ice; a new collection on winter limnology tackles the unknowns.

Floating water hyacinths with trapped plastics.
Posted inNews

Remote Sensing Tracks Down “Plastic Plants” in Rivers

by Clarissa Wright 28 June 2022

Researchers are using remote sensing to track floating mats of plastic trapped in water hyacinth plants.

Diagram showing the three barriers in seasonal forecast and the Conditional Generative Forecasting methodology developed to tackle these three barriers.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Learning from Climate Simulations for Global Seasonal Forecast

by Jiwen Fan 23 June 202222 December 2022

A probabilistic deep learning methodology that learns from climate simulation big data offers advantageous seasonal forecasting skill and crucial climate model diagnosis information at a global scale.

Biocrusts abundant in lichens grow on the soil surface in the Colorado Plateau.
Posted inNews

Climate Change Leads to Decline in Lichen Biocrusts

by Derek Smith 26 May 202226 May 2022

As summer temperatures continue to rise, important biocrust-forming organisms in the American Southwest may be lost.

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Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Machine Learning Simulates 1,000 Years of Climate

27 August 202527 August 2025
Editors' Highlights

As Simple as Possible: The Importance of Idealized Climate Models

28 August 202526 August 2025
Editors' Vox

Waterworks on Tree Stems: The Wonders of Stemflow

21 August 202520 August 2025
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