This year’s dead zone in the Gulf of Mexico spans 16,760 square kilometers—about the size of Rhode Island and Connecticut combined—making it the largest since 2002, when the Gulf dead zone stretched over 22,000 square kilometers.
Heavy June rains contributed to the larger-than-average size, said Nancy Rabalais, executive director of the Louisiana Universities Marine Consortium, who leads an annual survey cruise that measures the size and severity of the dead zone.
The 2015 dead zone extends more than 2500 square kilometers beyond what scientists forecast in May. The spring estimate fell short because abundant June precipitation in the Mississippi River watershed—mainly in Ohio and northern Mississippi—flushed more nutrients than expected into the river and caused much higher than average discharges during June and July from the river into the Gulf, Rabalais said.
Annual Dead Zone
Every spring, nitrogen- or phosphorus-laden compounds from fertilizers in the largest farming states run off and leach from soils into the Mississippi River, which empties into the Gulf of Mexico. The compounds, often referred to simply as “nitrogen” and “phosphorus,” are nutrients that foster large blooms of algae, which eventually die, fall to the bottom of the sea, and decompose, leaching oxygen from the water.
In the resulting oxygen-deficient environment, most living organisms cannot survive. Many simply flee the area, but others remain and perish, creating what’s commonly known as a “dead zone.”
In general, the Gulf of Mexico dead zone ranks as the second largest in the world, surpassed only by another vast stretch of depleted water in the Baltic Sea.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecasts the size of the Gulf dead zone each year on the basis of the quantities of nutrients such as nitrogen and phosphorus that enter into the Mississippi River in May. This year the U.S. Geological Survey estimated 104,000 metric tons of nitrate—a nitrogen-based nutrient—and 19,300 metric tons of phosphorus washed into the river during that month.
Lowering Nutrient Loads
Using sustainable farming techniques or planting crops with deeper roots that retain nitrate can reduce nutrient loading in the Mississippi watershed, Rabalais said. Other measures, such as creating artificial wetlands at the ends of drainage systems to remove nitrate from water, can also help, she added.
This year’s dead zone could have grown even larger than it did, especially off Texas, Rabalais said, except that westerly winds pushed low-oxygen water toward the east, shrinking the zone’s footprint.
—JoAnna Wendel, Staff Writer
Updated on 28 October 2015 to reflect that nutrients also enter the Mississippi River through sources other than runoff.
Citation: Wendel, J. (2015), Gulf of Mexico dead zone largest since 2002, Eos, 96, doi:10.1029/2015EO033929. Published on 6 August 2015.