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El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

A wildfire on a hillside burns at night.
Posted inResearch & Developments

2026 Has Already Broken Climate Records. El Niño Could Break More.

by Grace van Deelen 12 May 202611 May 2026

As the midpoint of the year approaches, several climate records have already been broken. Arctic winter sea ice extent reached a record low. Several countries saw record-breaking winter heat waves. And more than 150 million acres have already burned globally in wildfires.

A wildfire burns in a forest at night.
Posted inNews

Most of the U.S. West Will Face Above-Normal Wildfire Risk This Summer

by Grace van Deelen 11 May 202611 May 2026

The National Interagency Fire Center predicts elevated wildfire potential across much of the West and many Southeast states through August.

The Sun looms large in a red sky over the trees of the Amazon rainforest.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Drought Drove the Amazon’s 2023 Switch to a Carbon Source

by Madeline Reinsel 25 February 202625 February 2026

The change was caused by thirsty vegetation taking up less carbon than normal, not by the year’s extended fire season, new research shows.

A bright yellow sun in an orange sky over hazy mountains.
Posted inNews

The Past 3 Years Have Been the Three Hottest on Record

by Grace van Deelen 14 January 202614 January 2026

Extreme heat in 2023, 2024, and 2025 indicates a warming spike, a new analysis finds.

A new analysis of atmospheric patterns over Hawaii could improve forecasts of rainfall anomalies.
Posted inNews

Globe-Trotting Weather Pattern Influences Rainfall in Hawaii

by Kari Goodbar 18 December 202518 December 2025

Isolated islands that depend on rainfall could benefit from improved forecasting of near-future events, and understanding the Madden-Julian Oscillation could hold an important key.

A man crouches on the deck of a ship. He is wearing latex gloves and collecting a water sample from a tank.
Posted inNews

Panama’s Coastal Waters Missed Their Annual Cooldown This Year

by Katherine Bourzac 15 October 202515 October 2025

The unprecedented failure of tropical upwelling will likely affect the country’s fisheries. Scientists aren’t certain whether it will happen again next year.

A shallow green-blue river with large brown-gray rocks.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Droughts Sync Up as the Climate Changes

by Rebecca Owen 18 September 202518 September 2025

A new study reconstructs roughly 800 years of streamflow history in India’s major rivers, showing an increase in synchronous drought linked to anthropogenic climate change.

Bees congregate on a tropical tulip ginger flower.
Posted inNews

El Niño May Be Driving Insect Decline in the Tropics

by Roberto González 15 September 202515 September 2025

Stronger and more frequent El Niño events are contributing to a decline in arthropod diversity and population, as well as to a reduction in the ecological services the animals provide.

A map and graph from the study.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Tree Rings Record History of Jet Stream-Related Climate Extremes

by Susan Trumbore 20 August 202520 August 2025

Persistent spatial patterns of summer weather extremes in the northern hemisphere recorded in tree ring growth records provide a thousand-year history of jet stream ‘wave5’ dynamics.

4 maps from the study.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Decadal Forecasts with a SMYLE

by Kristopher B. Karnauskas 13 August 202511 August 2025

Scientists use a large suite of simulations with an established climate model to predict the Pacific Decadal Oscillation up to one year in advance, but El Niño can still get in the way.

Posts pagination

1 2 3 … 9 Older posts
Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

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21 May 202621 May 2026
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