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forecasting

A brown river overflows its banks in a green, hilly region with houses.
Posted inNews

Pooling Data Could Help Anticipate Megafloods in Europe

by Elise Cutts 5 January 20245 January 2024

Locally surprising floods aren’t so surprising in a continent-wide context.

The Sun sets behind a field of corn flattened by a devastating 2020 derecho wind event in Adel, Iowa.
Posted inNews

Climate Change May Be Causing Stronger Thunderstorm Wind Gusts

by Rebecca Owen 20 December 202320 December 2023

A new study suggests straight-line wind events are increasing in a warming climate.

An aerial view of water being released down the spillway of the Coyote Valley Dam, with a large earthen berm in the background
Posted inNews

Weather and Watershed Forecasting Make for Dam Smart Water Use

by Nicole Choi 13 December 202330 January 2024

Using weather forecasts in reservoir management improves decisions about water supplies. Now researchers are studying the hydrology around reservoirs to help apply this strategy nationwide.

A group of East African people outdoors, sorting through large white bags of food with USAID labels.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Ocean Warming Sets the Stage for Dangerous but Predictable East Africa Droughts

by Saima May Sidik 6 December 202313 March 2024

Scientists have uncovered a connection between temperature gradients in the Pacific Ocean and deadly but predictable consecutive dry spells in East Africa.

In the background, snow-capped Mount Hood rises above a mountain range. In the foreground, the skyscrapers of Portland, Ore., dominate the landscape.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Some High-Threat Volcanoes Are Severely Understudied

by Saima May Sidik 29 November 202329 November 2023

Scientists have little understanding of where magma is stored along the Cascade Volcanic Arc or how its volcanoes could affect population centers.

格陵兰岛东南海岸低压云系统的光谱辐射计图像。云具有棉花般的外观,形成一个松散的逆时针螺旋。
Posted inResearch Spotlights

人工智能遇到对手:蝴蝶效应

by Saima May Sidik 22 November 202322 November 2023

人工智能算法未能解决天气预报的一个关键限制。

A man wearing a blue life vest stands knee deep in water to collect a water sample downstream of the large glacier in the background.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Measuring Carbon’s Flow from Land to Sea

by Rebecca Owen 21 November 202321 November 2023

A new study catalogs how dissolved inorganic carbon moves through southeast Alaska’s waterways.

A spectroradiometer image of a low-pressure system of clouds off the southeastern coast of Iceland. The clouds have a cotton-like appearance and form a loose counterclockwise spiral.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

AI Meets Its Match: The Butterfly Effect

by Saima May Sidik 30 October 202322 November 2023

Artificial intelligence algorithms fail to account for a key limitation in weather prediction.

Floodwaters fill the streets of a town in Germany, with a damaged railroad in the foreground.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Exploring Just How Extreme Future Storms Could Get

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 15 September 202315 September 2023

A novel approach to storm simulations could help prepare for increasingly heavy precipitation events.

Photo taken from a helicopter of a broken road in a desert landscape
Posted inNews

Global Earthquake Analysis Seeks Elusive Foreshock Signal

by Nathaniel Scharping 15 August 202315 August 2023

Spotting foreshocks for what they are could help seismologists forecast large earthquakes.

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