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forecasting

A steplike fracture in the soil in the foreground of a vineyard
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Slight Shifts in Magnetic Field Preceded California Earthquakes

Joshua Learn, Science Writer by Joshua Rapp Learn 6 October 20226 October 2022

Magnetometers detected faint signals that with further study, may improve our understanding of what happens before earthquakes and offer promise for early detection.

A map showing global land cover and two graphs.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Vegetation Carries the Signature of Recent Precipitation

by Valeriy Ivanov 3 October 202228 September 2022

Vegetation response to precipitation is important for near-term weather predictability, and researchers show that such a response can occur within a few days and last up to two months.

The uninhabited island of Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai was destroyed by the massive volcanic eruption in January 2022.
Posted inNews

People Need to Think Bigger About Volcanic Catastrophes

by Katharine Gammon 22 September 202222 September 2022

New research outlines the risk of catastrophic eruptions and urges policymakers to support more widespread monitoring.

Six graphs showing the correlation skill between the new hindcasts SEAS5-20C and the reanalysis CERA-20C.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Variability of ENSO Forecast Skill Over the 20th Century

by Suzana Camargo 21 September 20226 March 2023

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability is examined in a new global coupled retrospective forecast ensemble for the 20th Century.

Maps overlain with prediction accuracy.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Quantifying Changes in Midlatitude Subseasonal Prediction Skill

by Suzana Camargo 9 September 202230 September 2022

The differences between future and present subseasonal predictability in the Northern Hemisphere provided by the tropics are evaluated using neural networks.

We are in the middle of solar cycle 25, which means that the Sun has been slowly ramping up its sunspot and flare activity for the past few years.
Posted inFeatures

11 Discoveries Awaiting Us at Solar Max

Kimberly M. S. Cartier, News Writing and Production Intern for Eos.org by Kimberly M. S. Cartier 25 August 202230 September 2022

Each solar cycle might seem like the same old story, but one thing has changed significantly since the previous solar maximum–our technology.

Four radar reflectivity diagrams.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Advanced Real-Time Prediction of Storms With 30-Second Refresh

by Jiwen Fan 19 August 202228 September 2022

A new-generation weather radar and a massive supercomputing system enables forecasts of storms refreshed every 30 seconds, a significant development in severe weather prediction.

Diagram from the paper showing how the new algorithm builds graphs.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

AI Algorithm Provides More Accurate Forecasts of Water Use

by Jim Hall 29 July 202214 February 2023

The new graph convolutional recurrent neural network (GCRNN) will enable water utilities to forecast water use, even if some sensors fail.

Diagrams showing the model fields used in the study.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Landfalling Hurricanes Intensify Due to Coastal Downwelling

by Suzana Camargo 26 July 202221 September 2022

Hurricane winds can lead to coast downwelling, which brings warmer surface water near the coast and can contribute to the intensification of the landfalling hurricane.

Fiona Lo presenting her Ph.D. thesis at the American Meteorological Society annual conference.
Posted inFeatures

Fiona Lo: A “Really Long, Convoluted Path” to Health

Richard Sima, freelance science writer by Richard J. Sima 25 July 20227 February 2023

Lo uses her background in atmospheric sciences to forecast pollen concentrations.

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Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

On the Origins of Subantarctic Mode Waters

2 June 20252 June 2025
Editors' Highlights

Seasonal Iron Cycle and Production in the Subantarctic Southern Ocean

29 May 202529 May 2025
Editors' Vox

Rock Glacier Velocity: Monitoring Permafrost Amid Climate Change

3 June 20252 June 2025
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