The past decade has seen explosive growth in forecasting research and applications using AI. Sophisticated new approaches show vast potential to support public safety, health, and economic prosperity.
forecasting
Unveiling What’s Under the Hood in AI Weather Models
Artificial intelligence models have improved weather forecasting, but their inner workings are largely opaque. A new approach could make their predictions more interpretable by scientists.
Volcanic Eruptions in One Hemisphere Linked to Floods in the Opposite One
Asymmetric volcanic plumes may shift equatorial weather patterns and increase tropical stream flow, according to new simulations.
How Researchers Have Studied the Where, When, and Eye of Hurricanes Since Katrina
Twenty years after one of the country’s deadliest storms, scientists reflect on improvements in the ability to understand and predict disasters.
Inside Volcanic Clouds: Where Tephra Goes and Why It Matters
Monitoring and forecasting the movement of volcanic clouds is key to mitigating the impacts on communities, infrastructure, and air traffic.
Two Equations that Unlock El Niño
Despite the El Niño–Southern Oscillation’s global reach and complex ocean–atmosphere interactions across timescales, two simple, elegant equations capture its key dynamics and defining properties.
Isotopes Map Hailstones’ Paths Through Clouds
Hailstones have been said to bounce up and down through clouds as they grow. A new study found that many stones take much simpler paths.
Busy Hurricane Season Expected in 2025
A new NOAA report predicts an active Atlantic hurricane season, though global weather patterns could still shift predictions.
Storm Prediction Gets 10 Times Faster Thanks to AI
Forecasters hope new algorithms will lead to earlier warnings of when dangerous weather is on the way.
The All-In-One Cyclone Identification Framework
Researchers present a new framework for global detection and classification of all low-pressure systems.