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forecasting

Lightning strikes the ocean behind two lighthouses.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Storm Prediction Gets 10 Times Faster Thanks to AI

by Saima May Sidik 20 May 202520 May 2025

Forecasters hope new algorithms will lead to earlier warnings of when dangerous weather is on the way.

Satellite photo of a subtropical cyclone.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

The All-In-One Cyclone Identification Framework

by Matei Georgescu 22 April 202517 April 2025

Researchers present a new framework for global detection and classification of all low-pressure systems.

Photo of a caldera
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Deflected Dikes Perturb the Plumbing System

by Thorsten W. Becker 11 April 202510 April 2025

A multidisciplinary synthesis of the Campi Flegrei, Italy volcanic setting highlights the importance of sub-caldera layering for magma dynamics.

Graphs and a map from the study.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Fast Adept Sea Ice Forecasts

by Andrew Roberts 8 January 202520 December 2024

Artificial intelligence facilitates an efficient, skillful surrogate of a coupled Arctic sea ice prediction model using generative diffusion.

Scientists stand atop Arctic ice.
Posted inFeatures

The Arctic’s Uncertain Future

by Grace van Deelen 15 November 202415 November 2024

Over the next century, the Arctic will change and look much different than it does today. Just how different is still unknown.

Foto satelital del Huracán Helene en el Golfo de México
Posted inNews

Las olas de calor marinas incrementan la probabilidad de intensificación de las tormentas tropicales

by Roberto González 1 November 20245 November 2024

La probabilidad de que los huracanes experimenten una intensificación rápida aumenta en un 50% durante las olas de calor marinas que se desarrollan en el Golfo de México y en la región noroeste del Mar Caribe.

A map of the Pacific Northwest and southwestern Canada showing the anomalous heat wave of 2021. Much of Washington and Oregon, except for the coastal or mountainous areas, shows temperatures in red, designating heat exceeding 20°C with maximum temperatures recorded at 69°C in Washington State.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Machine Learning Could Improve Extreme Weather Warnings

Sarah Derouin, Science Writer by Sarah Derouin 11 October 202411 October 2024

A deep learning technique could reduce the error in 10-day weather forecasts by more than 90%, allowing communities to better prepare for extreme events such as heat waves.

Satellite image of Hurricane Helene with its eye over the Florida coast
Posted inNews

Marine Heat Waves Make Tropical Storm Intensification More Likely

by Roberto González 4 October 20244 October 2024

Rapid intensification of hurricanes is 50% more likely to occur during marine heat waves in the Gulf of Mexico and northwestern Caribbean Sea.

Aerial photo of Mount Kīlauea
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Forecasting Caldera Collapse Using Deep Learning

by Olivier Roche 18 September 202417 September 2024

A deep learning model trained with geophysical data recorded during the well-documented 2018 Kilauea volcano eruption, Hawaii, predicts recurrent caldera collapse events.

Aerial view of muddy-looking floodwaters from a meandering river flooding houses and buildings throughout a town spread on either side of the river
Posted inOpinions

Cultivating Trust in AI for Disaster Management

by Monique M. Kuglitsch, Ivanka Pelivan, Chinnawat Danakkaew, Jesper Dramsch and Reza Arghandeh 11 September 202416 January 2025

Artificial intelligence applied in disaster management must be reliable, accurate, and, above all, transparent. But what does transparency in AI mean, why do we need it, and how is it achieved?

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Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

River Alkalinization and Ocean Acidification Face Off in Coastal Waters

21 May 202521 May 2025
Editors' Highlights

Rock Solid Augmentation: AI-Driven Digital Rock Analysis

21 May 202521 May 2025
Editors' Vox

Decoding Crop Evapotranspiration

6 May 20256 May 2025
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