As the midpoint of the year approaches, several climate records have already been broken. Arctic winter sea ice extent reached a record low. Several countries saw record-breaking winter heat waves. And more than 150 million acres have already burned globally in wildfires.
forecasting
Most of the U.S. West Will Face Above-Normal Wildfire Risk This Summer
The National Interagency Fire Center predicts elevated wildfire potential across much of the West and many Southeast states through August.
Harnessing Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Predictability from Annual Evolution
Capturing year-to-year variations of the stratospheric polar vortex’s annual evolution enables skillful prediction of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) cold-season anomalies up to six months in advance.
Geostationary Satellite Applications Expand into Land Monitoring
Known for their weather-observing prowess, these satellites can also track land surface processes and disturbances over broad areas in near-real time.
Slow and Fast Madden-Julian Oscillation Modes
The skill of Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) forecasts can be improved by identifying slow- and fast-MJO modes and their superposition.
How to Accelerate Advances in Ecological Forecasting
Developing shared cyberinfrastructure can enhance predictions of ecological change and enable improved decisionmaking for resource management and public well-being.
Tsunamis from the Sky
Not all tsunamis come from the seafloor, some are triggered by the atmosphere, driven by fast-moving storms and pressure waves, and can strike coasts with little warning.
What Americans Lose If Their National Center for Atmospheric Research Is Dismantled
Five ways dismantling NCAR will cost the American people, and two ways to save it.
New River Chemistry Insights May Boost Coastal Ocean Modeling
By more realistically accounting for river inputs, researchers reduced overestimation of the amount of carbon dioxide absorbed by coastal waters.
Warming May Make Tropical Cyclone “Seeds” Riskier for Africa
Intensified hurricane precursors may linger longer over the continent, worsening extreme flooding hazards.
