A new study finds that ocean temperatures thousands of kilometers away shape soil moisture in Malawi, offering a potential tool for forecasting malaria outbreaks months in advance.
forecasting
Posted inNews
What Drives Derechos? The First Derecho Archive Could Help Meteorologists Figure It Out.
Researchers can now use 70 years of data to examine the conditions that create these destructive windstorms.
Posted inScience Updates
Vast Space, Sparse Data: An AI Answer to Twin Space Weather Challenges
Modern machine learning and AI methods can help heliophysics researchers and space weather forecasters overcome limitations from a dearth of observations and the infrequency of extreme events.
Posted inEditors' Vox
From Volcanic Vents to Safer Skies
Improved estimates of Eruption Source Parameters can sharpen forecasts of volcanic plume rise and ash dispersal, supporting aviation safety and hazard response.
Posted inNews
NOAA Forecasts a Below-Average Hurricane Season
A potentially record-breaking El Niño may reduce the likelihood of storms, but the agency still stressed the importance of preparedness.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Keeping Humans in the Loop Improves Flood Forecasting
Artificial intelligence and machine learning can improve flood predictions—but human expertise still matters for accurate warnings, new research says.
Posted inResearch & Developments
2026 Has Already Broken Climate Records. El Niño Could Break More.
As the midpoint of the year approaches, several climate records have already been broken. Arctic winter sea ice extent reached a record low. Several countries saw record-breaking winter heat waves. And more than 150 million acres have already burned globally in wildfires.
Posted inNews
Most of the U.S. West Will Face Above-Normal Wildfire Risk This Summer
The National Interagency Fire Center predicts elevated wildfire potential across much of the West and many Southeast states through August.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Harnessing Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Predictability from Annual Evolution
Capturing year-to-year variations of the stratospheric polar vortex’s annual evolution enables skillful prediction of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) cold-season anomalies up to six months in advance.
Posted inScience Updates
Geostationary Satellite Applications Expand into Land Monitoring
Known for their weather-observing prowess, these satellites can also track land surface processes and disturbances over broad areas in near-real time.