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forecasting

Two men install a weather station mounted on a tall metal pole.
Posted inFeatures

Building Better Weather Networks

by Grace van Deelen 27 October 202527 October 2025

A lack of weather data often leaves African communities vulnerable. Convergent efforts to improve observational networks throughout the continent are slowly filling the gaps.

Aerial view of a green tractor pulling a red seeder across an large unplanted farm plot
Posted inOpinions

Scientists Must Join Forces to Solve Forecasting’s Predictability Desert

by Jadwiga H. Richter and Everette Joseph 17 October 202517 October 2025

To strengthen societal resilience to worsening natural hazards, siloed Earth system science communities must collaborate to understand conditions that favor skillful subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasts.

Satellite view of the swirling clouds of a large storm over the Bay of Biscay.
Posted inFeatures

The AI Revolution in Weather Forecasting Is Here

by Justin Shenolikar, Paolo Ruti and Chris Yoon Sang Chung 3 October 20253 October 2025

The past decade has seen explosive growth in forecasting research and applications using AI. Sophisticated new approaches show vast potential to support public safety, health, and economic prosperity.

A hurricane rotates over the Caribbean Sea in a satellite image.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Unveiling What’s Under the Hood in AI Weather Models

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 30 September 202530 September 2025

Artificial intelligence models have improved weather forecasting, but their inner workings are largely opaque. A new approach could make their predictions more interpretable by scientists.

Mount Pinatubo, Philippines, erupts in 1991.
Posted inNews

Volcanic Eruptions in One Hemisphere Linked to Floods in the Opposite One

by Grace van Deelen 22 September 202522 September 2025

Asymmetric volcanic plumes may shift equatorial weather patterns and increase tropical stream flow, according to new simulations.

A satellite image shows Hurricane Katrina over the Gulf Coast.
Posted inFeatures

How Researchers Have Studied the Where, When, and Eye of Hurricanes Since Katrina

by Emily Dieckman 29 August 20258 September 2025

Twenty years after one of the country’s deadliest storms, scientists reflect on improvements in the ability to understand and predict disasters.

Photo of a large plume of smoke emitting from a volcano.
Posted inEditors' Vox

Inside Volcanic Clouds: Where Tephra Goes and Why It Matters

by Federica Pardini 16 June 202512 June 2025

Monitoring and forecasting the movement of volcanic clouds is key to mitigating the impacts on communities, infrastructure, and air traffic.

Map of the ENSO in the pacific ocean with 2 equations overlain.
Posted inEditors' Vox

Two Equations that Unlock El Niño

by Jérôme Vialard 5 June 20254 June 2025

Despite the El Niño–Southern Oscillation’s global reach and complex ocean–atmosphere interactions across timescales, two simple, elegant equations capture its key dynamics and defining properties.

A silver cooler with 20 round hailstones
Posted inNews

Isotopes Map Hailstones’ Paths Through Clouds

by Carolyn Wilke 30 May 20253 June 2025

Hailstones have been said to bounce up and down through clouds as they grow. A new study found that many stones take much simpler paths.

A satellite image shows a hurricane in the Caribbean Sea.
Posted inNews

Busy Hurricane Season Expected in 2025

by Grace van Deelen 22 May 202522 May 2025

A new NOAA report predicts an active Atlantic hurricane season, though global weather patterns could still shift predictions.

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Global Climate Models Need the Nitrogen Cycle—All of It

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Voicing Farmers’ Concerns on the Future of Agriculture

31 October 202531 October 2025
Editors' Vox

Publishing Participatory Science: The Community Science Exchange

20 October 202517 October 2025
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