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forecasting

A satellite image shows Hurricane Katrina over the Gulf Coast.
Posted inFeatures

How Researchers Have Studied the Where, When, and Eye of Hurricanes Since Katrina

by Emily Dieckman 29 August 202529 August 2025

Twenty years after one of the country’s deadliest storms, scientists reflect on improvements in the ability to understand and predict disasters.

Photo of a large plume of smoke emitting from a volcano.
Posted inEditors' Vox

Inside Volcanic Clouds: Where Tephra Goes and Why It Matters

by Federica Pardini 16 June 202512 June 2025

Monitoring and forecasting the movement of volcanic clouds is key to mitigating the impacts on communities, infrastructure, and air traffic.

Map of the ENSO in the pacific ocean with 2 equations overlain.
Posted inEditors' Vox

Two Equations that Unlock El Niño

by Jérôme Vialard 5 June 20254 June 2025

Despite the El Niño–Southern Oscillation’s global reach and complex ocean–atmosphere interactions across timescales, two simple, elegant equations capture its key dynamics and defining properties.

A silver cooler with 20 round hailstones
Posted inNews

Isotopes Map Hailstones’ Paths Through Clouds

by Carolyn Wilke 30 May 20253 June 2025

Hailstones have been said to bounce up and down through clouds as they grow. A new study found that many stones take much simpler paths.

A satellite image shows a hurricane in the Caribbean Sea.
Posted inNews

Busy Hurricane Season Expected in 2025

by Grace van Deelen 22 May 202522 May 2025

A new NOAA report predicts an active Atlantic hurricane season, though global weather patterns could still shift predictions.

Lightning strikes the ocean behind two lighthouses.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Storm Prediction Gets 10 Times Faster Thanks to AI

by Saima May Sidik 20 May 202520 May 2025

Forecasters hope new algorithms will lead to earlier warnings of when dangerous weather is on the way.

Satellite photo of a subtropical cyclone.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

The All-In-One Cyclone Identification Framework

by Matei Georgescu 22 April 202517 April 2025

Researchers present a new framework for global detection and classification of all low-pressure systems.

Photo of a caldera
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Deflected Dikes Perturb the Plumbing System

by Thorsten W. Becker 11 April 202510 April 2025

A multidisciplinary synthesis of the Campi Flegrei, Italy volcanic setting highlights the importance of sub-caldera layering for magma dynamics.

Graphs and a map from the study.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Fast Adept Sea Ice Forecasts

by Andrew Roberts 8 January 202520 December 2024

Artificial intelligence facilitates an efficient, skillful surrogate of a coupled Arctic sea ice prediction model using generative diffusion.

Scientists stand atop Arctic ice.
Posted inFeatures

The Arctic’s Uncertain Future

by Grace van Deelen 15 November 202415 November 2024

Over the next century, the Arctic will change and look much different than it does today. Just how different is still unknown.

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A view of a Washington, D.C., skyline from the Potomac River at night. The Lincoln Memorial (at left) and the Washington Monument (at right) are lit against a purple sky. Over the water of the Potomac appear the text “#AGU24 coverage from Eos.”

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Machine Learning Simulates 1,000 Years of Climate

27 August 202527 August 2025
Editors' Highlights

As Simple as Possible: The Importance of Idealized Climate Models

28 August 202526 August 2025
Editors' Vox

Waterworks on Tree Stems: The Wonders of Stemflow

21 August 202520 August 2025
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