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forecasting

A satellite image of Hurricane Edouard over the Atlantic Ocean
Posted inNews

2024 Could Be Among Most Active Hurricane Seasons Ever

by Grace van Deelen 23 May 202423 May 2024

A new NOAA report predicts an extraordinarily active Atlantic hurricane season spurred by record ocean temperatures and a shift to La Niña conditions.

World map from the paper.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

A Powerful New Model for U.S. Climate–Air Quality Interactions

by Jiwen Fan 10 May 202410 May 2024

NOAA’s Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory has developed a new variable-resolution global chemistry-climate model for research at the nexus of U.S. climate and air quality extremes.

Remote sensing image of the Pan-Third Pole region
Posted inEditors' Vox

Harmonizing Theory and Data with Land Data Assimilation

by Xin Li and Feng Liu 7 May 20249 May 2024

Land data assimilation advances scientific understanding and serves as an engineering tool for land surface process studies, reflecting the trend of harmonizing theory and data in the big data era.

Un Sol anaranjado se eleva sobre un banco de nubes.
Posted inNews

Temperaturas récord posiblemente continuarán ante la persistencia de El Niño

by Grace van Deelen 17 April 202417 April 2024

Es probable que las temperaturas globales superficiales del aire se mantengan elevadas durante el comienzo del verano debido a la persistencia del evento de El Niño.

Large smoke clouds swell behind trees.
Posted inNews

Forecasters Expect Slow Start to U.S. Wildfire Season

by Grace van Deelen 11 April 202411 April 2024

A wet spring in the United States will dampen early fires, but some regions will see elevated risk this summer.

A beach crowded with people
Posted inNews

Melting Ice in the Polar North Drives Weather in Europe

Katherine Kornei, Science Writer by Katherine Kornei 28 March 202428 March 2024

Influxes of meltwater into the North Atlantic eventually lead to warmer and drier conditions over Europe.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

ارتفاع درجة حرارة المحيطات يمهد الطريق لحدوث موجات جفاف خطيرة، ولكن يمكن التنبؤ بها، في شرق أفريقيا

by Saima May Sidik 13 March 202413 March 2024

اكتشف العلماء رابطة بين التدرجات الحرارية في المحيط الهادئ وبين موجات الجفاف الفتاكة والتي يمكن التنبؤ بها في شرق أفريقيا.

A bright Sun shines through the clouds.
Posted inNews

Record-Breaking Temperatures Likely as El Niño Persists

by Grace van Deelen 29 February 202417 April 2024

Global surface air temperatures will likely remain high through early summer because of a continuing El Niño event.

Radar equipment at a research site sits in the foreground, with flat grasslands stretching out beyond and the Sun low on the horizon illuminating some light clouds.
Posted inScience Updates

Decoding the Dialogue Between Clouds and Land

by Tianning Su and Zhanqing Li 16 February 2024

New research is challenging established assumptions about how clouds form and interact with Earth’s surface. One result may be better weather forecasts.

Fog settles in between mountain peaks at sunset.
Posted inNews

Cold Fog Is Capricious, but Not for Long

by Grace van Deelen 13 February 202413 February 2024

New observations of cold fog formation could eventually improve forecasting.

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Seasonal Iron Cycle and Production in the Subantarctic Southern Ocean

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