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forecasting

A river with milky blue water is bordered by trees and fields of grass.
Posted inNews

Forecasting Earthquake-Induced Floods

Katherine Kornei, Science Writer by Katherine Kornei 12 June 202312 June 2023

Surface-rupturing earthquakes can abruptly reroute rivers when fault scarps function like dams. Researchers have now successfully modeled such an event that occurred in New Zealand.

Satellite image of a close-in view of the clouds of a hurricane eye
Posted inNews

Outlook: Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season Expected

Jenessa Duncombe, Staff Writer by Jenessa Duncombe 25 May 202330 May 2023

Atmospheric and oceanic features are simultaneously strengthening and suppressing hurricane activity this year.

Green grape plants grow in neat rows on light brown soil. Interspersed trees and buildings line the background.
Posted inNews

New Forecasting Tool Could Help Indian Farmers Plan Irrigation

Rishika Pardikar, Science Writer by Rishika Pardikar 18 May 202318 May 2023

Tropical weather is unpredictable, but a new tool could help farmers get a better grasp on it.

Vertical streaks of digital ones and zeroes rise from digitized representation of Earth against a deep blue background.
Posted inOpinions

We Need a Better Way to Share Earth Observations

by Zhong Liu, Yixin Wen, Vasco Mantas and David Meyer 12 May 202325 July 2023

A more accessible, open data-sharing infrastructure will engage a broader community of contributors, helping to develop satellite data products that benefit Earth science research and applications.

Graph from the paper
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Quantifying Extreme Events from Short Weather Forecast Data

by Sarah Kang 13 April 202310 April 2023

Subseasonal weather forecast ensembles are a useful tool for overcoming the inherent difficulty of quantifying extreme weather risk caused by data scarcity.

A blue truck with a tall pole and a large, gray circular device is parked on a street next to a person. A tornado spins in a field far in the background.
Posted inNews

Tornadoes’ Fastest Winds Howl Close to the Ground

by Carolyn Wilke 3 April 20235 April 2023

Radar data from storm-tracking scientists reveal that twisters’ winds churn 30% faster near Earth’s surface than above 100 meters, where measurements usually are taken.

Satellite image of tan whisps of clouds over green land. There is brown land to the right and blue ocean to the left.
Posted inNews

Extreme Wildfires Make Their Own Weather

by Elise Cutts 8 March 202313 March 2023

Extreme fires in the western United States and Southeast Asia influenced the local weather in ways that make fires and smoke pollution worse.

Aerial photo of the San Andreas Fault
Posted inNews

Accounting for Offbeat Earthquakes Could Improve Forecasts

by Erin Martin-Jones 2 March 20232 March 2023

A new model considers the full history of earthquakes on a fault, improving forecasts of when the next will strike.

Four bar graphs from the paper.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

A New Coupled Modeling System Improves Forecast Skills

by Minghua Zhang 27 February 202322 February 2023

Building on older versions, the new Global Ensemble Forecast System with coupled atmosphere-land-ocean-ice-wave models has better forecasting skills of the atmosphere than the uncoupled system.

Graphs showing examples of predicted extreme streamflow in catchments.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Predicting Flood Conditions in the Next Few Years

by Valeriy Ivanov 7 February 20237 June 2023

Multiyear flood predictions are possible for watersheds in which the magnitude and frequency of flooding can be related to an atmospheric pressure see-saw in the North Atlantic region.

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