In 1972, Mikhail Ivanovich Budyko used a simple methodology to make climate predictions that remain surprisingly accurate today and that could serve as a new “business-as-usual” scenario.
forecasting
Posted inNews
Can Newspaper Reporting Uncover Flood Risk?
In areas of low or no flood monitoring, archival coverage of historical flooding can help scientists make better risk predictions.
Posted inScience Updates
Torrential Rains and Poor Forecasts Sink Panama’s Infrastructure
Scientists are working to improve the forecasting of heavy rains in Panama following several events over the past decade that caused substantial flooding and damage.
Posted inNews
Winter Drought Relief Unlikely in Western U.S.
This year is still on track to be one of the hottest years on record around the globe.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Eruption Seismic Tremor Modeled as a Fluvial Process
Impact and turbulence models for river tremor are adapted and combined into a model that predicts the amplitude and frequency content of volcanic eruption tremor.
Posted inNews
Scientists Claim a More Accurate Method of Predicting Solar Flares
Supercomputer 3D modeling of magnetic fields could help mitigate damage from geomagnetic storms.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Rainwater Harvesting Can Reduce Flooding as Well as Saving Water
Weather forecasting can greatly improve benefits of rainwater harvesting.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Regional Sensitivities Strongly Affect Modeled Climate Extremes
Analysis of temperature and precipitation extremes in two generations of CMIP climate models revealed similarities in regional climate sensitivities, contrasting with divergent global sensitivities.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Ensemble Modeling of Coronal Mass Ejection Arrival at 1 AU
Heliospheric imaging data can be used in ensemble modeling of CME arrival time at Earth to improve space weather forecasts, treating the solar wind as a 1-D incompressible hydrodynamic flow.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Real-time Ground Motion Estimation for Large Earthquakes
Advanced computing technology can be used to forecast ground shaking from earthquakes and provide an early warning in real time.