By segmenting the vertical structure of a lava flow, the Lava2d model provides more realism to operational lava forecasts.
forecasting
What is the Best Predictor of Landfalling Hurricane Damage?
A new study finds that the minimum sea level pressure, as another measure of hurricane strength, is a better predictor of hurricane damage in the United States than the maximum sustained wind speed.
Slight Shifts in Magnetic Field Preceded California Earthquakes
Magnetometers detected faint signals that with further study, may improve our understanding of what happens before earthquakes and offer promise for early detection.
Vegetation Carries the Signature of Recent Precipitation
Vegetation response to precipitation is important for near-term weather predictability, and researchers show that such a response can occur within a few days and last up to two months.
People Need to Think Bigger About Volcanic Catastrophes
New research outlines the risk of catastrophic eruptions and urges policymakers to support more widespread monitoring.
Variability of ENSO Forecast Skill Over the 20th Century
El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability is examined in a new global coupled retrospective forecast ensemble for the 20th Century.
Quantifying Changes in Midlatitude Subseasonal Prediction Skill
The differences between future and present subseasonal predictability in the Northern Hemisphere provided by the tropics are evaluated using neural networks.
11 Discoveries Awaiting Us at Solar Max
Each solar cycle might seem like the same old story, but one thing has changed significantly since the previous solar maximum–our technology.
Advanced Real-Time Prediction of Storms With 30-Second Refresh
A new-generation weather radar and a massive supercomputing system enables forecasts of storms refreshed every 30 seconds, a significant development in severe weather prediction.
AI Algorithm Provides More Accurate Forecasts of Water Use
The new graph convolutional recurrent neural network (GCRNN) will enable water utilities to forecast water use, even if some sensors fail.
