Heliospheric imaging data can be used in ensemble modeling of CME arrival time at Earth to improve space weather forecasts, treating the solar wind as a 1-D incompressible hydrodynamic flow.
forecasting
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Real-time Ground Motion Estimation for Large Earthquakes
Advanced computing technology can be used to forecast ground shaking from earthquakes and provide an early warning in real time.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Advancing Ensemble Methods in Space Weather Forecasting
A short, must-read, report for anyone developing new space weather forecasts.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
How to Improve Space Weather Forecasting
The field of space weather forecasting could take cues from its Earthly counterpart to increase the reliability of models as well as warning times ahead of inbound solar storms.
Posted inEditors' Vox
Bridging the Gap Between Weather and Climate Predictions
A special collection on subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction presents the latest progress in filling the gap between short-term weather prediction and longer-term climate prediction.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Improving Atmospheric Forecasts with Machine Learning
An efficient, low-resolution machine learning model can usefully predict the global atmospheric state as much as 3 days out.
Posted inNews
NOAA Predicts Busy Hurricane Season
FEMA issued new guidance yesterday advising states to prepare for evacuations during the pandemic.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Space Weather Forecasting Takes Inspiration from Meteorology
Solar features analogous to major atmospheric waves on Earth could offer more advanced warning of harmful solar storms.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Tracing the Past Through Layers of Sediment
Signals in layers of sedimentary rock hint at climates and ecosystems come and gone. Understanding this history can help us forecast the future, but challenges abound.
Posted inFeatures
Lightning Research Flashes Forward
A greater understanding of lightning mechanisms is spurring the development of more accurate weather forecasting, increased public health precautions, and a more sophisticated understanding of lightning itself.