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Modeling

The West Kern Fire and thick smoke move through trees near the boundary of California’s Sequoia National Park.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

How Much Will Western Wildfires Worsen Under Warming?

by Rebecca Owen 15 May 202615 May 2026

A new study reevaluates the use of vapor pressure deficit, or VPD, in climate models to predict increases in area burned by wildfire across the U.S. West.

A river flowing through a mountainous region.
Posted inEditors' Vox

Tracing Water’s Hidden Journey Through the Earth’s Living Skin

by Andrea L. Popp and Harsh Beria 13 May 202612 May 2026

Water’s natural fingerprints reveal how it’s stored, mixed, and released through the Earth’s Critical Zone, potentially improving Earth System models in a rapidly warming world.

Map of the study region with a graph.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Let’s Not Forget About Long Droughts

by Stefan Kollet 5 May 20264 May 2026

Why do conceptual hydrologic models struggle to model long-term droughts? A new study investigates.

Large plumes of smoke rise from a hillside. Two vehicles on a roadside are dwarfed by the smoke cloud.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Want to Predict Wildfire Severity? Look to the State of Vegetation

by Rebecca Owen 4 May 20264 May 2026

A new study connects satellite data on vegetation condition, topography, and weather conditions to examine the predicted versus actual burn severity of the 2025 Los Angeles wildfires.

Snow drifts.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Drone Imagery Reveals Marked Variability in Antarctic Snow Roughness

by Elizabeth Orr 4 May 20264 May 2026

Multi-temporal UAV oblique photogrammetry reveals significant fine-scale variability in Antarctic snow roughness driven by surface type, measurement scale, model choice, and meteorological conditions.

Satellite image of The Dalles Google data center and the adjacent Columbia River.
Posted inOpinions

The Genesis Mission Needs Hydrology: Here’s How to Incorporate It

by Amobichukwu C. Amanambu and Jonathan Frame 28 April 20265 May 2026

By positioning water security as one of the “most challenging problems of this century,” the Genesis Mission can become the sandbox in which AI reshapes how the United States measures, models, and manages water.

An aerial view of the Southern Ocean and coastline of Antarctica, which is a brown landmass mostly covered in snow
Posted inNews

Widening Channels and Westerly Winds Together Formed Earth’s Strongest Current

by Grace van Deelen 24 April 20261 May 2026

The Antarctic Circumpolar Current could only develop once wind patterns aligned with new ocean passages 34 million years ago, a new study suggests.

A forest at golden hour
Posted inNews

Location, Location, Location: The “Where” of Reforestation May Matter More Than the Extent

by Andrew Meissen 22 April 20261 May 2026

A new study finds that focusing reforestation efforts in strategic locations, such as the tropics, can accomplish global cooling levels comparable to less strategic reforestation efforts covering twice as much area.

Four small docks overlook a waterfront. In the distance, wooden structures, shellfish farms, are visible in the water. The sky is pale.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Mediterranean Mussel Farming Could Collapse by 2050

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 17 April 20261 May 2026

New experiments suggest that ocean warming and acidification are on track to slash both oyster and mussel farming yields.

Large crevasses and cracks in a glacier are seen from overhead.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Glaciers May Flow into the Ocean More Quickly Than We Think

by Madeline Reinsel 14 April 20261 May 2026

New research found that adjusting a key model variable may give more accurate predictions of glacial retreat.

Posts pagination

1 2 3 … 115 Older posts
Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

How Much Will Western Wildfires Worsen Under Warming?

15 May 202615 May 2026
Editors' Highlights

A Digital Twin for Arctic Permafrost Beneath Roads

8 May 202612 May 2026
Editors' Vox

The Impact of Advocacy: American Geophysical Union’s Days of Action

14 May 202613 May 2026
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