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Modeling

A mottled red and blue surface with ridges, valleys, and cracks. The ridges sweep from top left to bottom right.
Posted inNews

Where Did Formaldehyde Rain Down on Mars? Almost Everywhere.

Kimberly M. S. Cartier, News Writing and Production Intern for Eos.org by Kimberly M. S. Cartier 22 October 202622 October 2026

More formaldehyde rained down in places that were already wet and favorable for prebiotic chemistry.

The Chicago skyline with Lake Michigan in the foreground on a cold day
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Using Machine Learning Techniques for Polar Vortex Predictions

by Nathaniel Scharping 20 October 202620 October 2026

A new model accurately reproduces aspects of polar vortex behavior, extracting indicators of imminent vortex collapse and accompanying frigid weather in North America and Europe.

Global map of surface air temperature and diagram of wind stress.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Equatorial Pacific Warming Pattern Mitigated by Slow Ocean Adjustment

by Alberto Montanari 19 October 202619 October 2026

Model simulations under an abrupt 4x CO2 scenario reveal that initially enhanced gradients in sea surface temperature under global warming are then mitigated by circulation changes.

A satellite image shows sediment from winding river extending far beyond its borders. The brown area of sediment is surrounded by green.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

The Ambiguous Costs of Climate Change

by Rebecca Owen 16 October 202616 October 2026

To put a price tag on climate change, some approaches focus on whether it made an event more likely, whereas others focus on whether it made an event more severe and damaging. A new study examines the validity of both approaches.

An iceberg floats in blue water.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

The Ocean Circulation That Persists Even After a Key AMOC Component Fails

by Nathaniel Scharping 13 October 202613 October 2026

A new study suggests cross-hemispheric overturning circulation could continue for centuries, even as North Atlantic Deep Water formation shuts down.

A researcher kneels on a large piece of sea ice to collect measurements as six other people stand in an inflatable powerboat nearby at the edge of the sea ice. A large, orange-hulled icebreaking vessel sits in the open water beyond the researchers in the boat.
Posted inScience Updates

Reliable AI Sea Ice Forecasts Depend on Sustained Observations

by Clare Eayrs, Zachary Labe, François Massonnet, Tian Tian and Malte Müller 9 October 20269 October 2026

Sea ice is a fundamental regulator of Earth’s climate and an increasingly urgent forecast target itself. Can we trust the AI systems now being built to predict it?

A satellite image shows a brown and green landmass with peninsulas and bays meeting a teal and blue body of water, with both partially overlain by a grayish haze.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Scientists Zero In on Tiny Particles to Improve Weather and Air Quality Forecasts

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 2 October 20262 October 2026

A new method for handling satellite aerosol observations boosts simulation accuracy, with potential benefits for weather and climate forecasting.

Flowchart from the article.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Reducing Uncertainty in Groundwater Models Using Airborne Geophysics

by Andrew Binley 28 September 202625 September 2026

Scientists present a probabilistic framework for exploiting airborne geophysical data for groundwater model parameterization and apply it to the Scott River aquifer system in Northern California.

Bubbles rising to the surface of the ocean.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

“Young Get Older, but Old Get Younger”: Counterintuitive Ocean Waters

by Eileen Hofmann 25 September 202625 September 2026

Warming surface waters and increased stratification result in uneven loss of dissolved oxygen across the Pacific basin that shifts water mass age.

Fireweed plants bloom in a field in Alaska.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

In Alaska, Wildfires Help Prevent Future Burns. Will That Feedback Loop Hold?

by Nathaniel Scharping 24 September 202625 September 2026

Without the suppressive effects of younger vegetation, Alaskan fire activity would be 5 times higher.

Posts pagination

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

InSight into Seismology on the Red Planet

21 October 202621 October 2026
Editors' Highlights

Equatorial Pacific Warming Pattern Mitigated by Slow Ocean Adjustment

19 October 202619 October 2026
Editors' Vox

Opening Access to Earth Observation Data for Disaster Mitigation

21 October 202620 October 2026
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