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Modeling

Diatom chains within glass shells shaped like toothpicks
Posted inNews

Wastewater Can Take Harmful Algal Blooms from Bad to Worse

by Lisa S. Gardiner 8 September 20268 September 2026

By modeling toxic diatoms and coastal processes, scientists have discovered the degree to which nutrients from Southern California’s densely populated coast affect these blooms.

An aerial photo shows two dome-shaped structures along a shoreline. The land is covered in greenery and uniquely shaped buildings. Water stretches out to the horizon.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

A High-Resolution Look at Singapore’s Water Budget

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 4 September 20264 September 2026

Simulations that account for nuanced interplay between hydrological and plant processes could help guide urban water management.

Evergreen trees are silhouetted against a smoky sky.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

What Will the Future of Alaskan Wildfire Look Like?

by Nathaniel Scharping 2 September 20262 September 2026

More and larger fires, including in areas of historically low fire activity, are likely but not a given.

A schematic illustration from the article.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

User-Friendly Interface for Trace Element Open-System Melting Model

by Paul Asimow 2 September 20261 September 2026

A 2001 model predicts trace element distributions in melts and residues of open-system mantle melting and melt migration. New software lets anyone apply this model despite its complex equations.

A rock outcrop with trees on top.
Posted inEditors' Vox

Decoding Rocks to Reveal What the Critical Zone Hides

by Dario Grana, Brady A. Flinchum, Denys Grombacher, Andrew D. Parsekian, Clifford S. Riebe and W. Steven Holbrook 31 August 202627 August 2026

Rock physics models translate geophysical measurements into volumetric rock and fluid properties to quantify weathering trends, water storage, and architecture within Earth’s critical zone.

A group of five Malawian women and children hold antimalarial bed nets (folded white fabric) outside in front of a green landscape.
Posted inNews

Climate Change Will Reshape Malaria Prevalence Across Africa

by Grace van Deelen 27 August 20261 September 2026

As the continent warms, once cooler regions will become prime habitat for mosquitoes and their parasites, while in other regions, heat will lower disease transmission.

两张图表展示了ENSO的不对称性。左侧标有“日变化”的图表显示,海表温度白天高于夜间。右侧标有“ENSO不对称性”的图表包含两条线,横轴为时间,纵轴为温度。两条线在中间达到峰值,但标有“厄尔尼诺”的红色线条峰值高于标有“拉尼娜”的蓝色线条。
Posted inResearch Spotlights

厄尔尼诺的增温效应强于拉尼娜的降温效应。如何准确模拟这种不对称性?

by Nathaniel Scharping 26 August 202626 August 2026

一项新研究分析了海表温度的每日波动,以期获得新的见解。

Photo of a hurricane from space.
Posted inEditors' Vox

Climate Model Benchmarking: Building Trust and Advancing Science

by Birgit Hassler, Forrest Hoffman, Ranjini Swaminathan and Beth Dingley 24 August 202624 August 2026

A critical look at how well climate models work, how to successfully use them, and the anticipated challenges for their next-generation development.

A view from near the ground of a stretch of soil, marked by a tractor tire, between two rows of crops
Posted inResearch Spotlights

It Takes Three to Model Methane Right

by Rebecca Dzombak 20 August 202620 August 2026

By combining conventional process-based and atmospheric inversion modeling with machine learning, scientists home in on a more realistic methane model.

Lightning bolts striking the Earth.
Posted inEditors' Vox

Decoding the Origins of Lightning’s Violent Currents

by Caitano da Silva, Logan Baeza, Jacob Wemhoner and Saulo Orizaga 19 August 202619 August 2026

A compact set of physical equations delivers a unified, first-principles explanation for how lightning’s most destructive surge of current is born, races towards the clouds, and fades.

Posts pagination

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

The Economic Costs of Solar Storms

4 September 20264 September 2026
Editors' Highlights

Unveiling Atmospheric Circulation on Mars with Magnetic Field Data 

3 September 20261 September 2026
Editors' Vox

AGU Launches New Special Collection at the Nexus of Science and Policy

3 September 20263 September 2026
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