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Modeling

Map of the study area.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Model of Complex Blanket Bog Improves Prediction of Peat Expansion

by Paul Whitfield 1 June 20261 June 2026

Peat expansion is tightly coupled to the global climate cycle. As a nature-based solution to climate change, we need to know how they will respond to different climate scenarios.

A small tree bearing red flowers grows from a lush, green hillside with mist and a small waterfall in the background.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

The Surprising Link Between a Cold Blob and the Indian Monsoon

by Saima May Sidik 1 June 202616 June 2026

Climate processes that at first glance appear separate can actually be intimately linked, modeling shows.

Photo of a volcano erupting.
Posted inEditors' Vox

From Volcanic Vents to Safer Skies

by Antonio Costa 27 May 202627 May 2026

Improved estimates of Eruption Source Parameters can sharpen forecasts of volcanic plume rise and ash dispersal, supporting aviation safety and hazard response.

Photo of a rock outcrop.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

From Grains to Bands: Modeling Deformation in Porous Rocks

by François Renard 26 May 202621 May 2026

How do bands emerge in highly porous rocks? A study based on energy minimization reveals how microscale heterogeneity and stress conditions drive the formation of complex deformation bands.

Photo of a scientists installing equipment in the field.
Posted inEditors' Vox

Mapping the Hidden Electrical Anatomy of a Continent

by Paul A. Bedrosian, Anna Kelbert, Adam Schultz and Gary D. Egbert 26 May 202621 May 2026

After nearly two decades, the first continent-wide magnetotelluric survey reveals the high-resolution electrical architecture of the North American continent.

A satellite image shows a mountainous landscape with a blue lake, covered in clouds.
Posted inNews

Weak Faults Play a Strong Role in the Tibetan Plateau’s Deformation

by Grace van Deelen 22 May 202622 May 2026

Ten years’ worth of data reveal that two theories about how the Tibetan Plateau deforms are both probably right.

Photo of a rocky landscape with labels for geologic features.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Recycled Rocks Reveal Subduction Zone Dynamics Off Baja California

by Alexis Ault 21 May 202621 May 2026

High-pressure rocks on Cedros Island were exhumed, eroded, and redeposited into the subduction trench multiple times, reshaping interpretations of ancient plate boundary processes.

An image of the microstructure of sea ice shows dappled green, blue, and purple colors in a pattern that looks similar to granite.
Posted inNews

Changes in Sea Ice Microstructure Could Affect Climate Models

by Skyler Ware 20 May 202620 May 2026

Granular sea ice needs to be twice as porous as columnar ice to allow water to flow through it—up to 10% brine by volume.

An array of solar panels on a field under a blue sky.
Posted inResearch & Developments

Why the IPCC Seems Poised to Eliminate Its Most Extreme Emissions Scenario

by Grace van Deelen 19 May 202619 May 2026

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the United Nations body whose mission is to “provide governments at all levels with scientific information that they can use to develop climate policies” will likely update the emissions and land use scenarios used in the models it considers in its bellwether assessment reports.

The flooded Yuba River rages underneath the Highway 49 Bridge in Nevada City, Calif.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Keeping Humans in the Loop Improves Flood Forecasting

by Rebecca Owen 19 May 202619 May 2026

Artificial intelligence and machine learning can improve flood predictions—but human expertise still matters for accurate warnings, new research says.

Posts pagination

Newer posts 1 2 3 4 … 117 Older posts
Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Machine Learning Rediscovers Equations Governing Ocean Biogeochemistry

24 June 202624 June 2026
Editors' Highlights

Where Methane is Emitted Matters for Global Burden

18 June 202616 June 2026
Editors' Vox

Small-Scale Indian Ocean Dynamics Underpin Marine Ecology and Climate

4 June 20263 June 2026
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