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Modeling

Satellite image of a brown and red rocky landscape with striking geologic folds and curves
Posted inResearch Spotlights

An Ancient Warming Event May Have Lasted Longer Than We Thought

by Rebecca Owen 15 May 202515 May 2025

New research on the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum used probabilistic analysis to learn more about its duration and how long modern warming could affect the carbon cycle.

2 maps of Austinburg, Kentucky, showing climate impacts and the action plan.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Resilient Solutions Involve Input and Data from the Community

by Kathryn Semmens 14 May 202514 May 2025

Data dashboards assist in understanding a community’s vulnerability to climate impacts, but input from the communities themselves helps identify and support actionable solutions.

A boat floats atop an inlet covered in brown Sargassum seaweed.
Posted inNews

Have We Finally Found the Source of the “Sargassum Surge”?

by Sarah Nelson 14 May 202514 May 2025

The complexity of modeling the tropical Atlantic makes identifying the source of the ongoing seaweed blooms difficult.

A satellite image of a river flowing into the ocean. The area where it meets the ocean is cloudy.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

The Uncertain Fate of the Beaufort Gyre

by Saima May Sidik 13 May 202513 May 2025

Climate models produce widely varying predictions for what will happen to this influential ocean current, but most models predict it will weaken or stop.

Aerial photo of Arctic ponds.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Beyond Up and Down: How Arctic Ponds Stir Sideways

by Valeriy Ivanov 13 May 20257 May 2025

Contrary to common assumptions, Arctic ponds mix in more than one direction. A new study finds that nighttime sideways flows, not vertical mixing, renew bottom waters.

Diagram from the study.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

First Benchmarking System of Global Hydrological Models

by Kei Yoshimura 7 May 20257 May 2025

A benchmarking framework for global hydrological models, essential for Earth System Model evaluations, has finally been proposed.

Photo of a rice paddy.
Posted inEditors' Vox

Decoding Crop Evapotranspiration

by Rangjian Qiu 6 May 20256 May 2025

The intricate factors influencing cropland evapotranspiration is uncovered in a new article, from stressors to diverse management practices, and reveals critical insights into changing climates.

Fine-grained sand on the ocean floor, marked by the rippling movement of currents
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Mapping the Ocean Floor with Ancient Tides

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 6 May 20256 May 2025

A new study uses a paleotidal model to trace the formation of carbon-rich mud deposits over thousands of years.

World maps with simulations projected on them.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

A Leap Toward Next-Generation Ocean Models

by Florian Lemarié and Stephen M. Griffies 1 May 20251 May 2025

GPU-optimized ocean modeling achieves decade-long simulations in a day, enabling mesoscale-resolving climate simulations that open new opportunities for long-term planning in a changing climate.

Schematic of the calibration workflow.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Calibrating Climate Models with Machine Learning

by Tapio Schneider 29 April 202525 April 2025

Using machine learning, researchers automatically calibrate a comprehensive climate model, improving simulations of difficult features and taking steps toward more reliable climate projections.

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Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Orbiter Pair Expands View of Martian Ionosphere

20 June 202519 June 2025
Editors' Highlights

Coupled Isotopes Reveal Sedimentary Sources of Rare Metal Granites

17 June 202516 June 2025
Editors' Vox

Inside Volcanic Clouds: Where Tephra Goes and Why It Matters

16 June 202512 June 2025
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