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Modeling

Outflow from Lake Superior to Lake Michigan-Huron through the St. Marys River was high in 2013 and 2014.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

What Caused Record Water Level Rise in the Great Lakes?

by Terri Cook 21 July 201624 February 2023

A new modeling framework offers insight into how specific lakes' water levels respond to short- and long-term climate trends.

Ocean wave viewed from below.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

The Dance of Surface Waves and Ocean Circulation

Shannon Hall by S. Hall 19 July 20168 June 2022

One mathematical model best describes the complex interplay between an ocean's surface waves and its underlying circulation.

Sulfuric lake Kawah Ijen was used to study volcanic activity.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

A New Tool to Better Forecast Volcanic Unrest

Shannon Hall by S. Hall 8 July 20161 November 2022

In a retrospective study of volcanic unrest at Indonesia's Kawah Ijen, a new model was able to pick up on the rising probability of eruption 2 months before authorities were aware of the risk.

An eruption event at the Telica Volcano in León, Nicaragua.
Posted inNews

Telica Volcano Rested Quietly Right Before Spewing Ash

Amy Coombs by A. Coombs 5 July 20162 May 2022

The length of quiet periods predicts the severity of eruption events, according to a new model that might soon help forecast explosions worldwide.

Ocean-going ships like this National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration vessel plying rough water off North Carolina occasionally encounter huge waves that science still cannot predict.
Posted inNews

Model Predicts Heights of Rogue Waves

Amy Coombs by A. Coombs 29 June 201617 October 2022

Rogue waves form without warning and can tower more than 25 meters high. A new mathematical approach shows promise at simulating how high these waves can be.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Patches of Low Electron Density Help to Heat the Ionosphere

by A. K. Higginson 23 June 201612 October 2022

Simulations show how changes in electron density can trap electromagnetic waves and heat electrons in the ionosphere.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

How Accurate Are Ionospheric Models?

by Mark Zastrow 21 June 201612 October 2022

A new study puts the latest version of a venerable model of Earth's ionosphere to the test, with some unexpected results.

The Sleeping Dragon seep site, one of two sites where hydrocarbons seep naturally, surveyed by the ROV Hercules.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

The Fate of Hydrocarbons Seeping from the Ocean Floor

by W. Yan 17 June 20163 March 2023

Researchers investigate the properties of bubbles at deep-ocean oil seeps to improve oil spill models.

Posted inEditors' Vox

AOMIP and FAMOS for Enhancing Understanding of Arctic Changes

by A. Proshutinsky 15 June 201612 January 2022

This community-based approach to modeling provides a unique forum for coordination, investigation, and synthesis.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

A River Runs Through It, but Why?

by W. Yan 14 June 201630 March 2023

Researchers investigate the factors that cause river terraces to form.

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Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

As Wildfires Increase in the West, So Does Suppression Spending

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Editors' Highlights

Multi-Scale Fault Roughness Encapsulated in a Friction Law

11 June 202611 June 2026
Editors' Vox

Small-Scale Indian Ocean Dynamics Underpin Marine Ecology and Climate

4 June 20263 June 2026
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