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Modeling

Posted inResearch Spotlights

A Cooler Climate Would Trigger More Tropical Cyclones

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 22 October 201520 March 2023

New model reveals tropical cyclones could form at lower sea surface temperatures than previously thought.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

New Atmospheric Wave May Shape Venus's Clouds

by J. Calderone 16 October 201523 January 2023

A novel model suggests that a new wave may be responsible for Venus's iconic Y pattern.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Cave "Breathing" Affects Mineral Growth and Climate Clues

by J. Calderone 30 September 201518 October 2022

A new global model suggests how and where air flow in caves affects the growth of cave mineral deposits that scientists use to reconstruct ancient climates.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

To Help Fix the Hole in the Ozone Layer, Just Add Ice

by David Shultz 11 September 201523 January 2023

Computer simulations show that adding tiny droplets of ice to the atmosphere during the spring could help eliminate chlorofluorocarbons and repair the hole in the ozone layer.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Predicting Space Weather on a Satellite Superhighway

by E. Betz 9 September 201521 February 2023

Scientists combined 82 satellite years of data to create a more comprehensive model of how plasma behaves in a region of Earth's magnetosphere with heavy spacecraft traffic.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Surface Climate Processes Keep Earth's Energy Balance in Check

by E. Betz 31 August 201513 February 2023

Models show that an abrupt increase in carbon dioxide emissions would trigger feedback processes that would change Earth's hydrological cycle.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Lightning "Impulses" Improve Models of Global Electrical Circuit

by Mark Zastrow 19 August 201513 April 2023

New simulations of how thunderstorms drive electrical currents through the Earth's atmosphere combine precision with computational speed.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

New Models Explain Unexpected Magnitude of China's Wenchuan Quake

by David Shultz 17 August 20153 October 2022

The 2008 earthquake surprised scientists, but the inclusion of new variables reveals that Earth's crust under the Sichuan Province was under more strain than previously thought.

Posted inScience Updates

On the Rebound: Modeling Earth's Ever-Changing Shape

by D. Melini, P. Gegout, M. King, B. Marzeion and G. Spada 4 August 201528 October 2021

A new modeling tool easily computes the elastic response of changes in loading on Earth's surface to high resolution. Scientists test this tool using finely detailed data on glaciers' mass changes.

Posted inOpinions

Reality Check: Seismic Hazard Models You Can Trust

by V. G. Kossobokov, A. Peresan and G. F. Panza 25 June 20157 January 2022

Probabilistic hazard assessments, even the most recent models, routinely underestimate earthquake effects. A neodeterministic approach comes closer to observed data.

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