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Modeling

Water churns below a large dam.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

How We’re Reshaping Global Water Storage

by Saima May Sidik 21 September 202228 November 2022

Researchers modeled and mapped how eight key aspects of human societies affect hydrological cycles.

Figure 6 from the paper, showing equations and three maps.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Consistently Closing the Energy Budget in Earth System Models

by John Thuburn 19 September 202223 January 2023

Researchers review the challenges and prospects of Earth System Models that incorporate a consistent closed energy budget.

Dry patches of ground line a river basin in the Amazon rain forest.
Posted inNews

The Amazon Rain Forest Can’t Keep Up with Droughts

by Danielle Beurteaux 14 September 202214 September 2022

Droughts in one region of the Amazon can lead to less moisture elsewhere, and trees may not adapt quickly enough to survive.

Figure showing modeled atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations over an image of Earth’s surface, with warmer colors representing higher concentrations
Posted inFeatures

Simpler Presentations of Climate Change

by John Aber and Scott V. Ollinger 13 September 20221 June 2023

The basics of climate change science have been known for a long time, and the predicted impact of a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide on global temperature hasn’t changed much in 100 years.

Posted inEditors' Highlights

Why Does It Rain So Much Over Tropical Land?

by Nicolas Gruber 12 September 202220 December 2022

Analyses of observations show that tropical land receives more rain than its fair share, owing to a proposed negative feedback that is not captured in current climate models.

Posted inEditors' Highlights

The Long-Lasting Impact of a Nuclear War on the Ocean

by Nicolas Gruber 12 September 202227 September 2022

Model simulations of the impact of a large-scale nuclear war reveal long lasting effects with much of the ocean not returning to pre-war levels despite the cessation of the initial cooling.

Maps overlain with prediction accuracy.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Quantifying Changes in Midlatitude Subseasonal Prediction Skill

by Suzana Camargo 9 September 202230 September 2022

The differences between future and present subseasonal predictability in the Northern Hemisphere provided by the tropics are evaluated using neural networks.

Green building with many windows and white AC fans near each window
Posted inNews

Major Investment in Air-Conditioning Needed to Address Future Heat Waves

by Jennifer Schmidt 9 September 20221 June 2023

More than 80% of urban residents will need AC by the 2050s, but many of the world’s poorer countries may struggle to meet that demand.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

New Map of Proposed Mantle-Driven Topography Stirs the Pot

by Rebecca Dzombak 8 September 20224 August 2023

The role the deep Earth plays in creating topography is hotly debated. A new study uses subtle elevation changes around the globe as evidence that the mantle plays a key role in building topography.

Diagram showing the global mean full-cycle methane budget.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

A Significant Advancement in Modeling the Global Methane Cycle

by Jiwen Fan 8 September 202213 March 2023

The capability to fully model the global methane cycle advances the international climate science community’s ability of providing essential evidence to underpin climate mitigation policy.

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Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Maybe That’s Not Liquid Water on Mars After All

21 November 202521 November 2025
Editors' Highlights

The Language of the Crust: Investigating Fault-to-Fault Interactions

21 November 202519 November 2025
Editors' Vox

Echoes From the Past: How Land Reclamation Slowly Modifies Coastal Environments

19 November 202519 November 2025
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