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Modeling

Photograph of USGS scientists collecting soil and worms at a site on Cape Cod, Massachusetts, that was contaminated by per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances.
Posted inEditors' Vox

Widespread “Forever Chemicals” in Subsurface Environments

by Dengjun Wang and Xueyan Lyu 30 September 20222 June 2025

Massive use of materials containing per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances in commercial and industrial sectors has led to their widespread occurrence in subsurface environments.

Aerial view of a muddy river delta with meandering stream channels emanating from a river emerging from a forest
Posted inResearch Spotlights

When Projecting Coastal Resilience, Sediment Compaction Is Key

by Morgan Rehnberg 30 September 202230 September 2022

The addition of new sediment helps build up lowland environments like deltas and marshes, but it also compacts materials beneath it—a vital, but often overlooked, factor in landscape evolution studies.

A bright red, orange, and yellow thermal image of London and the surrounding area maps hotter and cooler areas of the city. The center of the image is the city of London, which is yellow, indicating that it is hotter than surrounding suburbs, which appear in varying shades of orange and red. The suburbs tend to become cooler, and appear darker red, moving toward the edges of the image. The River Thames snakes from right to left across the center of the image. It and several water reservoirs to the left of center are black, indicating that they are much cooler than the neighboring land.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Satellites Can Accurately Take Earth’s Temperature

by Rebecca Dzombak 28 September 202228 September 2022

Satellite-based measurements of land surface temperature may prove to be an essential pairing with near-surface air temperatures to understand global warming and cooling trends.

Figure 1 from the paper, showing a schematic of key processes controlling coastal carbon dynamics.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Substantial Advance Towards a Global Coastal Carbon Model

by Andreas Oschlies 27 September 202220 October 2022

First simulations of a new biogeochemistry-circulation coastal grid refinement demonstrate seamless inclusion of small-scale coastal processes in a state-of-the-art Earth system model.

An optical astronomy image shows hundreds of stars in shades of blue, white, yellow, and red, with a dark band of dust running horizontally across the image. The stars are a range of sizes, from bright blue spots to no more than pinpricks.
Posted inNews

Massive Stars May Commit Grand Theft Planet

Kimberly M. S. Cartier, News Writing and Production Intern for Eos.org by Kimberly M. S. Cartier 23 September 202223 September 2022

New simulations show that planets around young, massive stars may have been captured or stolen rather than homegrown.

Air bubbles rise from a scuba diver who is looking at a coral reef.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Unchecked Ocean Warming Threatens Many Gulf and Caribbean Corals

Rachel Fritts, Science Writer by Rachel Fritts 23 September 202223 September 2022

Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean sea surface temperatures could surpass coral bleaching thresholds in the region as soon as 2050, motivating the need for prompt mitigation, researchers say.

Six graphs showing the correlation skill between the new hindcasts SEAS5-20C and the reanalysis CERA-20C.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Variability of ENSO Forecast Skill Over the 20th Century

by Suzana Camargo 21 September 20226 March 2023

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability is examined in a new global coupled retrospective forecast ensemble for the 20th Century.

Water churns below a large dam.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

How We’re Reshaping Global Water Storage

by Saima May Sidik 21 September 202228 November 2022

Researchers modeled and mapped how eight key aspects of human societies affect hydrological cycles.

Figure 6 from the paper, showing equations and three maps.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Consistently Closing the Energy Budget in Earth System Models

by John Thuburn 19 September 202223 January 2023

Researchers review the challenges and prospects of Earth System Models that incorporate a consistent closed energy budget.

Dry patches of ground line a river basin in the Amazon rain forest.
Posted inNews

The Amazon Rain Forest Can’t Keep Up with Droughts

by Danielle Beurteaux 14 September 202214 September 2022

Droughts in one region of the Amazon can lead to less moisture elsewhere, and trees may not adapt quickly enough to survive.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

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