A person lowering their head with the setting Sun in the background
Warming of 1°C–6°C could lead to 283–1,660 more suicides each year in the United States. Credit: pxhere.com, CC0, Public Domain
Source: GeoHealth

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Content warning: This article discusses suicide and potential risk factors of suicide.

As of 2019, around one fifth of the U.S. population has been diagnosed with a mental illness or disorder. Changes to the climate are known to affect mental health—for example, more frequent heat waves and storms can lead people to stay indoors, get less exercise, and become more stressed. In severe cases, poor mental health can lead to suicide. It is therefore important to better understand the relationship between climate change and mental health outcomes, like suicide prevalence and its monetized impact.

To quantify changes in suicide incidence in the continental United States, Belova et al. created an integrated health impact assessment model. They combined this model with suicide incidence data, projections from six climate models, and county-scale population projections. They found that warming of 1°C–6°C (relative to a 1986–2005 climate baseline) could contribute to 283–1,660 more suicides each year, up to a 4% increase from 2015. The authors discovered that the Midwest, North and South Central, and Southeast regions of the country could see the greatest impacts, whereas the Northeast could see the fewest.

Belova and colleagues also looked at the monetized impact of climate change on suicide incidence. They determined that on the basis of 2015 population and income levels, the economic value of avoiding these additional suicides, such as the costs associated with mental health care, would range from $2.1 billion to $3.06 billion.

Further research is needed to shed light on climate change’s impacts on suicide incidence, as well as anxiety and depressive disorders, in vulnerable populations, such as children, older adults, and groups including people of color and low-income communities that are known to be afflicted with inequitable health risks. (GeoHealth, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GH000580, 2022)

—Alexandra Scammell (@alexkscammell), Associate Editor

If you or someone you know is in crisis, please reach out to a prevention network for help. The U.S. National Suicide Prevention Lifeline is 1-800-273-TALK (8255) (En Español, Nacional de Prevención del Suicidio es 1-888-628-9454). You can reach the Crisis Text Line by texting HOME to 741741 (United States and Canada), 85285 (United Kingdom), or 50808 (Ireland) and also through Facebook Messenger.

Citation: Scammell, A. (2022), The effects of climate change on U.S. suicide rates, Eos, 103, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EO220379. Published on 5 August 2022.
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