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Modeling

The Darling River in Australia during a flood in 2012
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Identifying the World’s Most At-Risk River Basins

by Emily Cerf 3 November 202119 October 2022

Major river basins around the world, including the Amazon, may be hot spots for ecological shifts as the planet warms.

Series of charts from the paper by Feng et al.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

A New Way to Represent Microphysical Uncertainty

by Jiwen Fan 2 November 202111 August 2022

A new way of representing microphysical uncertainty in convective-scale data assimilation reduces biases in model states and improves the accuracy of short-term precipitation forecasts.

Photograph of the Sheep Mountain Anticline.
Posted inEditors' Vox

The Birth, Growth, and Death of Continents

by Rixiang Zhu, Guochun Zhao, Wenjiao Xiao, Ling Chen and Yanjie Tang 28 October 202120 June 2024

There are various explanations for how the Earth’s continents form, develop, and change but challenges remain in fully understanding the driving forces behind plate tectonics on our planet.

An icy Arctic vista is seen from a slight elevation. The landscape contains patches of white ice and randomly positioned pools of meltwater. Four scientists, small and seen from a distance, stand on the ice on the right side of the image.
Posted inNews

Melting Arctic Sea Ice Strengthens Tides

Kimberly M. S. Cartier, News Writing and Production Intern for Eos.org by Kimberly M. S. Cartier 21 October 20213 January 2023

If climate change throws off the seasonal freeze-thaw cycle of Arctic sea ice, it could trigger a reinforcing cycle of sea ice melt in parts of the Canadian Arctic.

Two graphs showing monthly mean multi-model mean shortwave flux biases over ocean and land.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

AeroCom Models Improved with Aerosol and Albedo Constraints

by Jiwen Fan 20 October 202113 March 2023

Satellite data has been used to correct the aerosol loading and land surface albedo in several AeroCom models, which has improved shortwave flux biases between models and observations.

Plots showing the precipitation errors using the new error metric as a function of absolute errors.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Uncovering Hidden Errors in Simulated Precipitation

by Jiwen Fan 18 October 202113 March 2023

New metrics used to quantify errors in precipitation show that convection permitting simulations outperform coarser resolution simulations.

View of the Brahmaputra River with the sun low on the horizon
Posted inScience Updates

Tree Rings Reveal a 700-Year Record of Flooding in Bangladesh

by Mukund Palat Rao and Benjamin I. Cook 15 October 202115 October 2021

Trees tell of a wetter past along the Brahmaputra River and, combined with climate modeling, suggest heightened future flood risks in one of the world’s most densely populated areas.

Posted inEditors' Vox

Tools for Improved Drought and Flood Response

by H. Wu, D.P. Lettenmaier, Q. Tang and P.J. Ward 29 September 20213 June 2022

A new book presents recent advances in the modeling and remote sensing of droughts and floods of use to emergency response organizations and policy makers on a global scale.

Several charts showing the results of hydrothermal flow modelling along a 26 km-long line located on 7-million-year-old Atlantic oceanic crust.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Mechanisms of Hydrothermal Ocean Plate Cooling Revealed

by V. Sallarès 28 September 202127 January 2023

A combination of waveform tomography and hydrothermal modelling allows characterizing the mechanisms and reach of fluid flux and ocean plate cooling near mid-ocean ridges with unprecedented detail.

On the left is a schematic illustrating the model setup in an idealized rectangular channel. On the right is a contour plot of predicted ratio of lateral erosion rate to vertical erosion rate as a function of transport stage and relative sediment supply.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Impacts by Moving Gravel Cause River Channels to Widen or Narrow

by Mikaël Attal 24 September 202115 February 2023

A new analytical model describes how the amount and grain size of sediment transported by rivers influences bedrock channel width, which can be used to predict where rivers will widen or narrow.

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