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Modeling

An optical astronomy image shows hundreds of stars in shades of blue, white, yellow, and red, with a dark band of dust running horizontally across the image. The stars are a range of sizes, from bright blue spots to no more than pinpricks.
Posted inNews

Massive Stars May Commit Grand Theft Planet

Kimberly M. S. Cartier, News Writing and Production Intern for Eos.org by Kimberly M. S. Cartier 23 September 202223 September 2022

New simulations show that planets around young, massive stars may have been captured or stolen rather than homegrown.

Air bubbles rise from a scuba diver who is looking at a coral reef.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Unchecked Ocean Warming Threatens Many Gulf and Caribbean Corals

Rachel Fritts, Science Writer by Rachel Fritts 23 September 202223 September 2022

Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean sea surface temperatures could surpass coral bleaching thresholds in the region as soon as 2050, motivating the need for prompt mitigation, researchers say.

Six graphs showing the correlation skill between the new hindcasts SEAS5-20C and the reanalysis CERA-20C.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Variability of ENSO Forecast Skill Over the 20th Century

by Suzana Camargo 21 September 20226 March 2023

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability is examined in a new global coupled retrospective forecast ensemble for the 20th Century.

Water churns below a large dam.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

How We’re Reshaping Global Water Storage

by Saima May Sidik 21 September 202228 November 2022

Researchers modeled and mapped how eight key aspects of human societies affect hydrological cycles.

Figure 6 from the paper, showing equations and three maps.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Consistently Closing the Energy Budget in Earth System Models

by John Thuburn 19 September 202223 January 2023

Researchers review the challenges and prospects of Earth System Models that incorporate a consistent closed energy budget.

Dry patches of ground line a river basin in the Amazon rain forest.
Posted inNews

The Amazon Rain Forest Can’t Keep Up with Droughts

by Danielle Beurteaux 14 September 202214 September 2022

Droughts in one region of the Amazon can lead to less moisture elsewhere, and trees may not adapt quickly enough to survive.

Figure showing modeled atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations over an image of Earth’s surface, with warmer colors representing higher concentrations
Posted inFeatures

Simpler Presentations of Climate Change

by John Aber and Scott V. Ollinger 13 September 20221 June 2023

The basics of climate change science have been known for a long time, and the predicted impact of a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide on global temperature hasn’t changed much in 100 years.

Posted inEditors' Highlights

Why Does It Rain So Much Over Tropical Land?

by Nicolas Gruber 12 September 202220 December 2022

Analyses of observations show that tropical land receives more rain than its fair share, owing to a proposed negative feedback that is not captured in current climate models.

Posted inEditors' Highlights

The Long-Lasting Impact of a Nuclear War on the Ocean

by Nicolas Gruber 12 September 202227 September 2022

Model simulations of the impact of a large-scale nuclear war reveal long lasting effects with much of the ocean not returning to pre-war levels despite the cessation of the initial cooling.

Maps overlain with prediction accuracy.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Quantifying Changes in Midlatitude Subseasonal Prediction Skill

by Suzana Camargo 9 September 202230 September 2022

The differences between future and present subseasonal predictability in the Northern Hemisphere provided by the tropics are evaluated using neural networks.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

The Speedy Particles That Could Help Us Learn More About Uranus

18 June 202618 June 2026
Editors' Highlights

Where Methane is Emitted Matters for Global Burden

18 June 202616 June 2026
Editors' Vox

Small-Scale Indian Ocean Dynamics Underpin Marine Ecology and Climate

4 June 20263 June 2026
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