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Modeling

Dry patches of ground line a river basin in the Amazon rain forest.
Posted inNews

The Amazon Rain Forest Can’t Keep Up with Droughts

by Danielle Beurteaux 14 September 202214 September 2022

Droughts in one region of the Amazon can lead to less moisture elsewhere, and trees may not adapt quickly enough to survive.

Figure showing modeled atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations over an image of Earth’s surface, with warmer colors representing higher concentrations
Posted inFeatures

Simpler Presentations of Climate Change

by John Aber and Scott V. Ollinger 13 September 20221 June 2023

The basics of climate change science have been known for a long time, and the predicted impact of a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide on global temperature hasn’t changed much in 100 years.

Posted inEditors' Highlights

Why Does It Rain So Much Over Tropical Land?

by Nicolas Gruber 12 September 202220 December 2022

Analyses of observations show that tropical land receives more rain than its fair share, owing to a proposed negative feedback that is not captured in current climate models.

Posted inEditors' Highlights

The Long-Lasting Impact of a Nuclear War on the Ocean

by Nicolas Gruber 12 September 202227 September 2022

Model simulations of the impact of a large-scale nuclear war reveal long lasting effects with much of the ocean not returning to pre-war levels despite the cessation of the initial cooling.

Maps overlain with prediction accuracy.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Quantifying Changes in Midlatitude Subseasonal Prediction Skill

by Suzana Camargo 9 September 202230 September 2022

The differences between future and present subseasonal predictability in the Northern Hemisphere provided by the tropics are evaluated using neural networks.

Green building with many windows and white AC fans near each window
Posted inNews

Major Investment in Air-Conditioning Needed to Address Future Heat Waves

by Jennifer Schmidt 9 September 20221 June 2023

More than 80% of urban residents will need AC by the 2050s, but many of the world’s poorer countries may struggle to meet that demand.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

New Map of Proposed Mantle-Driven Topography Stirs the Pot

by Rebecca Dzombak 8 September 20224 August 2023

The role the deep Earth plays in creating topography is hotly debated. A new study uses subtle elevation changes around the globe as evidence that the mantle plays a key role in building topography.

Diagram showing the global mean full-cycle methane budget.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

A Significant Advancement in Modeling the Global Methane Cycle

by Jiwen Fan 8 September 202213 March 2023

The capability to fully model the global methane cycle advances the international climate science community’s ability of providing essential evidence to underpin climate mitigation policy.

A glacier cascades down the side of a mountain along the left side of this photograph. In the foreground is a shallow glacial lake that transitions from clear to icy blue and has numerous pebbles and smooth rocks strewn along the bottom. The sky is bright blue but shielded by low hanging clouds.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Models Oversimplify How Melting Glaciers Deform Land

by Saima May Sidik 7 September 202228 September 2022

When glaciers melt, the land below deforms. Sea level data show that widely used models oversimplify the process.

One of two fire-generated vortices at the 2021 Dixie Fire
Posted inNews

Chasing Fire Tornadoes for Science

by Emily Shepherd 6 September 20226 September 2022

Recent research suggests fire-generated vortices are always present during wildfires.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

How Internal Waves Transport Energy Thousands of Miles Across the Ocean

26 March 202626 March 2026
Editors' Highlights

Simplified Noon-Temperature Calculations for Planetary Bodies   

26 March 202626 March 2026
Editors' Vox

The Future of Earth’s Future

24 March 202624 March 2026
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