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Bayesian analyses

Sulfuric lake Kawah Ijen was used to study volcanic activity.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

A New Tool to Better Forecast Volcanic Unrest

Shannon Hall by S. Hall 8 July 201615 September 2026

In a retrospective study of volcanic unrest at Indonesia's Kawah Ijen, a new model was able to pick up on the rising probability of eruption 2 months before authorities were aware of the risk.

A December 2015 eruption of Mexico’s Colima volcano.
Posted inScience Updates

Enhancing Safety in a Volcano's Shadow

by J. Martí, S. Bartolini and L. Becerril 21 June 201615 September 2026

A new project gives civil authorities and scientists a common set of tools for assessing volcanic hazards and managing associated risks.

Posted inScience Updates

Better Forecasting for the Next Volcanic Eruption

by V. Acocella and G. Chiodini 12 November 201515 September 2026

The Eruptive Precursors project in Campi Flegrei, Italy, seeks to understand conditions leading to caldera eruptions.

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