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ENSO

Six graphs showing the correlation skill between the new hindcasts SEAS5-20C and the reanalysis CERA-20C.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Variability of ENSO Forecast Skill Over the 20th Century

by Suzana Camargo 21 September 20226 March 2023

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability is examined in a new global coupled retrospective forecast ensemble for the 20th Century.

Imagen aérea en blanco y negro de una tormenta espiral sobre el sureste de los Estados Unidos. La imagen muestra puntos brillantes que son las concentraciones lumínicas de las ciudades en la zona.
Posted inNews

Un nuevo enfoque para un misterio sin resolver en la economía climática

Jenessa Duncombe, Staff Writer by Jenessa Duncombe 19 September 202221 September 2022

¿Tienen los cambios de temperatura impactos económicos duraderos? Un truco “ingenioso” que identifica tendencias climáticas nos lleva un paso más cerca a abordar esta vieja pregunta en la economía climática.

Maps overlain with prediction accuracy.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Quantifying Changes in Midlatitude Subseasonal Prediction Skill

by Suzana Camargo 9 September 202230 September 2022

The differences between future and present subseasonal predictability in the Northern Hemisphere provided by the tropics are evaluated using neural networks.

Aerial image of a spiral storm over the southern United States
Posted inNews

A New Approach to an Unresolved Mystery in Climate Economics

Jenessa Duncombe, Staff Writer by Jenessa Duncombe 2 September 202226 October 2022

Do shifts in temperature have enduring economic impacts? A “clever” trick identifying climate trends gets us one step closer to addressing this long-standing question in climate economics.

An image of a partially submerged house, powerline pole, and foliage in a flooded neighborhood in Asunción, Paraguay
Posted inNews

More Frequent El Niño Events Predicted by 2040

Rachel Fritts, Science Writer by Rachel Fritts 20 April 20221 December 2022

Cutting-edge models predict that El Niño frequency will increase within 2 decades because of climate change, regardless of emissions mitigation efforts.

Figure 4 from the paper
Posted inEditors' Highlights

El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Radiation Two-Way Coupling

by Suzana Camargo 9 February 20221 August 2022

Changes in sea surface temperature during ENSO events and radiation are related, suggesting a two-way coupling between sea surface temperature and radiation in coupled climate variability.

A coast of the Galapagos Islands in the eastern tropical Pacific
Posted inNews

Tropical Climate Change Is a Puzzle—Could Aerosols Be a Piece?

by Andrew Chapman 9 September 202114 April 2022

The eastern tropical Pacific Ocean hasn’t warmed as much as climate change models projected. A new study shows that aerosols in the atmosphere could be responsible.

The heat surface of El Niño in 2015 looks like El Niño in 1997.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Explaining Thermal Tides in the Upper Atmosphere During the 2015 El Niño

by David Shultz 26 August 202116 March 2023

Increased tropospheric heating and reduced dissipation combine to explain an anomalously large thermal tide.

Green shoots rise from dry, cracked soil.
Posted inFeatures

Climate Change Uproots Global Agriculture

Kimberly M. S. Cartier, News Writing and Production Intern for Eos.org by Kimberly M. S. Cartier 25 January 202130 September 2022

Climate change is shifting where ideal growing conditions exist and is leaving farmers behind. How can we secure our future food supply and support the people who grow it?

A farmer in New South Wales, Australia, stood beside an animal carcass during a drought caused by the 2018–2019 El Niño
Posted inEditors' Vox

Advancing Knowledge of ENSO in a Changing Climate

by M. J. McPhaden, A. Santoso and W. Cai 9 November 202022 March 2023

A new book highlights research progress on El Niño Southern Oscillation dynamics and impacts and how they may change in a warmer world.

Posts pagination

Newer posts 1 2 3 4 5 6 … 9 Older posts
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Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

By 2051, Emissions from Coal Mining on Federal Lands Could Drop by 86%

20 August 202520 August 2025
Editors' Highlights

Tree Rings Record History of Jet Stream-Related Climate Extremes

20 August 202520 August 2025
Editors' Vox

Mid-Career Book Publishing: Bridging Experience with Discovery

20 August 202514 August 2025
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