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El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

An orange Sun rises over a bank of clouds.
Posted inNews

Scientists “Astonished” at 2023 Temperature Record

by Grace van Deelen 12 January 202412 January 2024

Global temperatures in 2023 smashed records by a wide margin, surprising climate scientists and highlighting the need for more research.

Diagram from the study.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

ENSO Variations Modulate the Kuroshio in the East China Sea 

by Takeyoshi Nagai 7 December 20236 December 2023

Recent warm El Niño Southern Oscillation events strengthened winds over the western Subtropical North Pacific, leading to planetary waves with cyclonic eddies, weakening the Kuroshio in the East China Sea.

A group of East African people outdoors, sorting through large white bags of food with USAID labels.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Ocean Warming Sets the Stage for Dangerous but Predictable East Africa Droughts

by Saima May Sidik 6 December 202313 March 2024

Scientists have uncovered a connection between temperature gradients in the Pacific Ocean and deadly but predictable consecutive dry spells in East Africa.

A buoy with a red and yellow bottom and a white top, labeled “TAO,” is lowered into the ocean from a ship.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Bolstered by Buoys: Predicting El Niño

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 27 November 202327 November 2023

Scientists investigate the importance of a Pacific buoy network in monitoring and predicting the El Niño–Southern Oscillation.

A dry tree stands out amid green trees in an Amazon forest.
Posted inNews

South American Rainforests Are on the Brink of Becoming Carbon Sources

by Sofia Moutinho 17 October 202317 October 2023

Plants’ ability to stock carbon ceased during the 2015–2016 El Niño, as temperatures skyrocketed and trees died.

Satellite image of a close-in view of the clouds of a hurricane eye
Posted inNews

Outlook: Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season Expected

Jenessa Duncombe, Staff Writer by Jenessa Duncombe 25 May 202330 May 2023

Atmospheric and oceanic features are simultaneously strengthening and suppressing hurricane activity this year.

Diagrams from the paper.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Impact of Tropical Cyclones on El Niño-Southern Oscillation

by Suzana Camargo 7 April 20234 April 2023

A suite of Earth Systems model experiments is used to explore how tropical cyclones influence the frequency, magnitude, and timing of El Niño-Southern Oscillation events.

Satellite image showing black water next to white ice with cracks
Posted inNews

Supercharged El Niño Could Speed Up Southern Ocean Warming

by Erin Martin-Jones 24 March 202324 April 2023

Projected changes to El Niño will likely accelerate warming of the deep oceans around the Antarctic, supplying heat that could drive ice loss and sea level rise.

Two people, flanked by two observers, stand among a field of boulders, guiding a large hand drill through the length of a white fossilized coral.
Posted inNews

El Niño Varies More Intensely Now Than in the Past Millennium

by Luis Melecio-Zambrano 15 December 20221 February 2023

Researchers found evidence for a strengthening El Niño in living and fossilized Galápagos corals.

Six graphs showing the correlation skill between the new hindcasts SEAS5-20C and the reanalysis CERA-20C.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Variability of ENSO Forecast Skill Over the 20th Century

by Suzana Camargo 21 September 20226 March 2023

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability is examined in a new global coupled retrospective forecast ensemble for the 20th Century.

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