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ENSO

A dry tree stands out amid green trees in an Amazon forest.
Posted inNews

South American Rainforests Are on the Brink of Becoming Carbon Sources

by Sofia Moutinho 17 October 202317 October 2023

Plants’ ability to stock carbon ceased during the 2015–2016 El Niño, as temperatures skyrocketed and trees died.

Satellite image of a close-in view of the clouds of a hurricane eye
Posted inNews

Outlook: Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season Expected

Jenessa Duncombe, Staff Writer by Jenessa Duncombe 25 May 202330 May 2023

Atmospheric and oceanic features are simultaneously strengthening and suppressing hurricane activity this year.

Diagrams from the paper.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Impact of Tropical Cyclones on El Niño-Southern Oscillation

by Suzana Camargo 7 April 20234 April 2023

A suite of Earth Systems model experiments is used to explore how tropical cyclones influence the frequency, magnitude, and timing of El Niño-Southern Oscillation events.

Satellite image showing black water next to white ice with cracks
Posted inNews

Supercharged El Niño Could Speed Up Southern Ocean Warming

by Erin Martin-Jones 24 March 202324 April 2023

Projected changes to El Niño will likely accelerate warming of the deep oceans around the Antarctic, supplying heat that could drive ice loss and sea level rise.

Two people, flanked by two observers, stand among a field of boulders, guiding a large hand drill through the length of a white fossilized coral.
Posted inNews

El Niño Varies More Intensely Now Than in the Past Millennium

by Luis Melecio-Zambrano 15 December 20221 February 2023

Researchers found evidence for a strengthening El Niño in living and fossilized Galápagos corals.

Six graphs showing the correlation skill between the new hindcasts SEAS5-20C and the reanalysis CERA-20C.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Variability of ENSO Forecast Skill Over the 20th Century

by Suzana Camargo 21 September 20226 March 2023

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability is examined in a new global coupled retrospective forecast ensemble for the 20th Century.

Imagen aérea en blanco y negro de una tormenta espiral sobre el sureste de los Estados Unidos. La imagen muestra puntos brillantes que son las concentraciones lumínicas de las ciudades en la zona.
Posted inNews

Un nuevo enfoque para un misterio sin resolver en la economía climática

Jenessa Duncombe, Staff Writer by Jenessa Duncombe 19 September 202221 September 2022

¿Tienen los cambios de temperatura impactos económicos duraderos? Un truco “ingenioso” que identifica tendencias climáticas nos lleva un paso más cerca a abordar esta vieja pregunta en la economía climática.

Maps overlain with prediction accuracy.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Quantifying Changes in Midlatitude Subseasonal Prediction Skill

by Suzana Camargo 9 September 202230 September 2022

The differences between future and present subseasonal predictability in the Northern Hemisphere provided by the tropics are evaluated using neural networks.

Aerial image of a spiral storm over the southern United States
Posted inNews

A New Approach to an Unresolved Mystery in Climate Economics

Jenessa Duncombe, Staff Writer by Jenessa Duncombe 2 September 202226 October 2022

Do shifts in temperature have enduring economic impacts? A “clever” trick identifying climate trends gets us one step closer to addressing this long-standing question in climate economics.

An image of a partially submerged house, powerline pole, and foliage in a flooded neighborhood in Asunción, Paraguay
Posted inNews

More Frequent El Niño Events Predicted by 2040

Rachel Fritts, Science Writer by Rachel Fritts 20 April 20221 December 2022

Cutting-edge models predict that El Niño frequency will increase within 2 decades because of climate change, regardless of emissions mitigation efforts.

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Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Denitrification Looks Different in Rivers Versus Streams

16 January 202616 January 2026
Editors' Highlights

Kyanite Exsolution Reveals Ultra-Deep Subduction of Continents

23 January 202622 January 2026
Editors' Vox

Bridging the Gap: Transforming Reliable Climate Data into Climate Policy

16 January 202616 January 2026
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