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Modeling

A boat floats atop an inlet covered in brown Sargassum seaweed.
Posted inNews

Have We Finally Found the Source of the “Sargassum Surge”?

by Sarah Nelson 14 May 202514 May 2025

The complexity of modeling the tropical Atlantic makes identifying the source of the ongoing seaweed blooms difficult.

A satellite image of a river flowing into the ocean. The area where it meets the ocean is cloudy.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

The Uncertain Fate of the Beaufort Gyre

by Saima May Sidik 13 May 202513 May 2025

Climate models produce widely varying predictions for what will happen to this influential ocean current, but most models predict it will weaken or stop.

Aerial photo of Arctic ponds.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Beyond Up and Down: How Arctic Ponds Stir Sideways

by Valeriy Ivanov 13 May 20257 May 2025

Contrary to common assumptions, Arctic ponds mix in more than one direction. A new study finds that nighttime sideways flows, not vertical mixing, renew bottom waters.

Diagram from the study.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

First Benchmarking System of Global Hydrological Models

by Kei Yoshimura 7 May 20257 May 2025

A benchmarking framework for global hydrological models, essential for Earth System Model evaluations, has finally been proposed.

Photo of a rice paddy.
Posted inEditors' Vox

Decoding Crop Evapotranspiration

by Rangjian Qiu 6 May 20256 May 2025

The intricate factors influencing cropland evapotranspiration is uncovered in a new article, from stressors to diverse management practices, and reveals critical insights into changing climates.

Fine-grained sand on the ocean floor, marked by the rippling movement of currents
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Mapping the Ocean Floor with Ancient Tides

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 6 May 20256 May 2025

A new study uses a paleotidal model to trace the formation of carbon-rich mud deposits over thousands of years.

World maps with simulations projected on them.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

A Leap Toward Next-Generation Ocean Models

by Florian Lemarié and Stephen M. Griffies 1 May 20251 May 2025

GPU-optimized ocean modeling achieves decade-long simulations in a day, enabling mesoscale-resolving climate simulations that open new opportunities for long-term planning in a changing climate.

Schematic of the calibration workflow.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Calibrating Climate Models with Machine Learning

by Tapio Schneider 29 April 202525 April 2025

Using machine learning, researchers automatically calibrate a comprehensive climate model, improving simulations of difficult features and taking steps toward more reliable climate projections.

Photo of a space shuttle in front of Earth's atmosphere.
Posted inEditors' Vox

An Air Parcel’s Journey Through the Stratosphere

by Hella Garny 25 April 202525 April 2025

The “age of stratospheric air” measures the speed of the global transport circulation in the stratosphere, which is crucial for understanding the distribution of important trace gases, like ozone.

Posted inEditors' Highlights

二氧化碳恢复后的北极海冰:对北大西洋天气的影响

by Gudrun Magnusdottir 24 April 202524 April 2025

北极海冰恢复不完全导致冬季急流向赤道偏移。由于海洋环流起到了额外的驱动作用,北大西洋急流的偏移尤其不确定。

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Carbon-Rich Rocks May Have Cooled the Ancient Martian Atmosphere

28 May 202628 May 2026
Editors' Highlights

From Grains to Bands: Modeling Deformation in Porous Rocks

26 May 202621 May 2026
Editors' Vox

From Volcanic Vents to Safer Skies

27 May 202627 May 2026
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