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Modeling

Aerial photo of Mount Kīlauea
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Forecasting Caldera Collapse Using Deep Learning

by Olivier Roche 18 September 202417 September 2024

A deep learning model trained with geophysical data recorded during the well-documented 2018 Kilauea volcano eruption, Hawaii, predicts recurrent caldera collapse events.

Three people wearing orange safety jackets stand on the deck of a ship in the Arctic.
Posted inNews

Swedish Icebreaker Is the First to Dig Into Greenland’s Remote Victoria Fjord

by Grace van Deelen 13 September 202413 September 2024

Data collected aboard Oden will shed light on the dynamics of the Greenland Ice Sheet.

Map of the Southern Ocean
Posted inEditors' Vox

An All-Community Push to “Close the Loops” on Southern Ocean Dynamics

by Luke G. Bennetts, Callum J. Shakespeare and Catherine A. Vreugdenhil 12 September 202412 September 2024

A new study highlights the connected nature of the Southern Ocean dynamic system, the research priorities needed to understand its influence on climate change, the importance of cross-disciplinary collaborations.

Photo of the Himalayas.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Sediment Dampens the Impact of Glaciation on Cenozoic Denudation

by Ann Rowan 9 September 20244 September 2024

Rates of continental-scale sediment flux and denudation are similar between glacial and interglacial periods when the aggradation of glacier-eroded sediment inhibits fluvial erosion downstream.

A graph from the study.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Spectral Solar Radiative Transfer in Plant Canopies

by Jiwen Fan 6 September 20244 September 2024

Spectrally resolved radiative transfer is needed to compute reliable estimates of sunlight transmission and photolysis of molecules within plant canopies.

Photo of Ariel, one of Uranus’ moons.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Investigating Origins of CO2 Ice on Uranian Moons

by Amanda Hendrix 29 August 202427 August 2024

A new study investigates the role of volatile migration in the unique Uranian thermal environment.

Photo of a long line of cracked earth within a mountain valley.
Posted inEditors' Vox

Operational Earthquake Forecasting – What Is It and How Is It Done?

by Leila Mizrahi 29 August 202410 September 2024

While earthquakes cannot be deterministically predicted, operational earthquake forecasting systems can provide valuable insights into the likelihood of future quakes.

Diagram from the study.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Improving Climate Models: Black Carbon Mixing and Shape Effects

by Nicole Riemer 28 August 202426 August 2024

A new study introduces a parameterization scheme to capture the complex optical properties of atmospheric black carbon, accounting for its mixing state, nonsphericity, and heterogeneous coatings.

Flood depth map from the study.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Future Global Flood Hazards at Unprecedented Accuracy

by Yoshihide Wada 27 August 202426 August 2024

A global flood hazard map at 30-meter resolution is constructed using latest hydrology, topography, and climate data, and its accuracy is approaching that of local to regional scale flood inundation maps.

Satellite image of blue and green phytoplankton blooms in the Southern Ocea
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Climate Model Simulates Unusually High Heat over the Southern Ocean

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 21 August 202421 August 2024

U.K. researchers compare HadGEM3-GC3.1 simulations of near-surface air temperatures with those from other state-of-the-art models.

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Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Strong Tides Speed Melting of Antarctic Ice Shelves

8 September 20258 September 2025
Editors' Highlights

Smallholder Farmers Face Risks in China’s Push for Modern Agriculture

9 September 20259 September 2025
Editors' Vox

Experienced Researcher Book Publishing: Sharing Deep Expertise

3 September 202526 August 2025
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