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Modeling

Tall, green marsh grasses at sunrise
Posted inNews

Machine Learning Model Flags Early, Invisible Signs of Marsh Decline

by Skyler Ware 17 July 202517 July 2025

Decreases in underground plant biomass could signal future marsh loss and prompt conservation measures.

Historic black-and-white photo of a humpback whale diving, flukes visible above the surface
Posted inNews

Whaling Records Can Help Improve Estimates of Sea Ice Extent

by Syris Valentine 15 July 202515 July 2025

The locations of humpback whale catches in the early 20th century indicate that most climate models overestimate the historic extent of sea ice in the Southern Ocean.

A snapshot of the UCI chemical transport model.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Defining the Tropopause in Chemical Transport Models

by Kristina Vrouwenvelder 8 July 20258 July 2025

Synthetic tracers are useful in defining the chemically-heterogeneous tropopause in chemical transport models, especially where more traditional gradient-based tropopause methods may be lacking.

Graph from the paper
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Earth’s Energy Imbalance is Growing Faster Than Expected

by Kristina Vrouwenvelder 8 July 20258 July 2025

Satellite observation of the imbalance between incoming and outgoing radiation in the atmosphere, which causes global warming, shows growth beyond what climate models have predicted.

A photo of bubbles near the ocean’s surface, taken from underwater
Posted inResearch Spotlights

More Bubbles Means More Variation in Ocean Carbon Storage

by Saima May Sidik 8 July 20258 July 2025

A new model accounting for the role of bubbles in air-sea gas exchanges suggests that ocean carbon uptake is more variable than previously thought.

A raging stream in Rocky Mountain National Park in north central Colorado
Posted inNews

Years-Old Groundwater Dominates Spring Mountain Streams

by Mark DeGraff 3 July 20253 July 2025

Alpine rain and snow take much longer to percolate into western U.S. streams than previously thought, adding complexity to long-standing hydrologic models.

Diagram of the field experiment used in the study.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Deep Root Respiration Helps Break Down Rocks

by Marc F. P. Bierkens 2 July 20252 July 2025

The carbon dioxide that results from respiration in and around deep roots is an essential component in the chemical weathering of sandstone rock soils.

Imagen satelital de un paisaje rocoso en tonos marrones y rojizos, con llamativos pliegues y curvas geológicas.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Un antiguo evento de calentamiento podría haber durado más de lo que pensábamos

by Rebecca Owen 2 July 20252 July 2025

Una nueva investigación sobre el Máximo Térmico del Paleoceno-Eoceno usó análisis probabilístico para entender mejor su duración y sobre cuánto tiempo podría afectar el calentamiento moderno al ciclo del carbono.

Photo of clouds
Posted inEditors' Highlights

ARMing SCREAM with Observations to Expose Cloud Errors

by Yun Qian 1 July 20251 July 2025

Modern ARM observations expose persistent process-level errors in a global cloud-permitting model, guiding future developments and improvements.

2 graphs from the article.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Obtaining Local Streamflow at Any Resolution

by Marc F. P. Bierkens 30 June 202530 June 2025

A new upscaling method ensures that global simulations at low resolution preserve the streamflow at local points of interest, such as stream gauges.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Extreme Heat May Drive Asthma Risk in Baltimore, Especially at Night

12 August 202612 August 2026
Editors' Highlights

How Fluid Mixing due to Kelvin-Helmholtz Instabilities Really Works

13 August 202613 August 2026
Editors' Vox

Introducing Research Letters in Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology

12 August 202610 August 2026
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