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Modeling

A map of the Pacific Northwest and southwestern Canada showing the anomalous heat wave of 2021. Much of Washington and Oregon, except for the coastal or mountainous areas, shows temperatures in red, designating heat exceeding 20°C with maximum temperatures recorded at 69°C in Washington State.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Machine Learning Could Improve Extreme Weather Warnings

Sarah Derouin, Science Writer by Sarah Derouin 11 October 202411 October 2024

A deep learning technique could reduce the error in 10-day weather forecasts by more than 90%, allowing communities to better prepare for extreme events such as heat waves.

Field photos of the study area.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

The Delicate Balance of Permafrost in Arctic River Floodplains

by Susan Trumbore 3 October 20241 October 2024

To evaluate the vulnerability of permafrost in Arctic floodplain landscapes to warming, scientists explore dynamics of its loss and reformation.

Two short stretches of fencing beside piled snow amid an open stretch of land, with mountains in the distance.
Posted inScience Updates

Simulating Arctic Carbon Emissions in a Warming World

by Jeralyn Poe, Jon Wells, Christina Schädel, Deborah N. Huntzinger and William J. Riley 2 October 20242 October 2024

Not all climate models include carbon from thawing permafrost, and those that do often disagree. Scientists are working to better inform models and assess how these crucial materials are simulated.

A gauge used to measure lake levels stands on a dry, sandy lake bed
Posted inNews

A Fuller Great Salt Lake Would Likely Narrow an Environmental Health Gap

by Grace van Deelen 1 October 20241 October 2024

Pacific Islander and Hispanic residents of Salt Lake City would benefit most from higher lake levels and reduced dust pollution.

Sea ice as seen from the air
Posted inNews

Heat Moves More Freely Through Warmer Sea Ice Than Scientists Thought

by Nathaniel Scharping 1 October 20241 October 2024

Flowing brines transport heat more effectively than old models showed, potentially changing climate simulations.

Mount Everest seen from far away
Posted inNews

A Pirate River May Be Giving Mount Everest a Boost

by Nathaniel Scharping 30 September 202430 September 2024

Rapid erosion can cause mountains to rise—even the world’s tallest peak.

An artist’s depiction of the Moon split in half, showing the mantle, the crust, an inner and outer core, and a low-viscosity zone between the mantle and the core
Posted inResearch Spotlights

The Moon’s Tides Hint at a Melty Lunar Layer

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 30 September 202419 February 2025

New lunar gravity measurements support the idea that a partially molten mantle layer is sandwiched between the rest of the Moon’s mantle and its core.

A brown plume of smoke leads to a tall, white popcorn-looking cloud.
Posted inNews

Black Carbon from Wildfire Smoke Can Double Warming Effects

by Saugat Bolakhe 25 September 202425 September 2024

The findings could help climate models be more accurate about warming projections.

Bubbles bubble up in the ocean.
Posted inNews

Model Suggests Undersea Mountains Help Mix the Global Ocean

Tim Hornyak, Science Writer by Tim Hornyak 24 September 202424 September 2024

Seamounts may play a significant role in ocean turbulence and the upwelling of deep waters.

A deep canyon, which can form when rocks shift.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

High-Pressure Reactions Can Turn Nonporous Rocks into Sponges

by Saima May Sidik 23 September 202423 September 2024

Mathematical models describe how water moves through rocks in deep Earth.

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Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Strong Tides Speed Melting of Antarctic Ice Shelves

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Smallholder Farmers Face Risks in China’s Push for Modern Agriculture

9 September 20259 September 2025
Editors' Vox

Experienced Researcher Book Publishing: Sharing Deep Expertise

3 September 202526 August 2025
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