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Modeling

A ship’s crew recovers the flotation sphere for an instrument mooring in the Irminger Sea
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Improving Proxy Representations of Ocean Properties

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 18 September 20204 October 2021

Many oceanic properties are not directly observed but are instead estimated using proxy measurements. A new method uses physics-based correlations to reduce uncertainty in this relationship.

Underwater bubbles rise toward the water surface
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Deep-Ocean Oxygen May Increase with Climate Change

Kate Wheeling, freelance science writer by Kate Wheeling 17 September 202028 March 2023

A millennial-scale ocean simulation indicates that oxygen gains in the deep ocean may offset oxygen losses in the upper water layer under a protracted climate change scenario.

The Huanza hydroelectric dam near Lima, Peru
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Dams Alter Nutrient Flows to Coasts

Elizabeth Thompson by Elizabeth Thompson 15 September 202022 December 2021

New models indicate how dams worldwide influence the mix of nutrients in river water reaching the ocean. As more dams are built, changing nutrient loads may adversely affect coastal ecosystems.

A close up image of a snowflake
Posted inNews

New Tool Quantifies and Predicts Snow Droughts

by David Shultz 31 August 202019 October 2021

A new metric for calculating snow water equivalence relies on three methodologies: modeling, satellite imagery, and direct observation.

Charts showing cumulative future CO2 emissions (left), surface temperature anomaly (center), and year when sea-ice area drops below 1 million km2 (right) under different CMIP6 emissions scenarios
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Characteristics of Polar Sea Ice in Latest Climate Models

by Gudrun Magnusdottir 21 August 202022 April 2022

Sea ice area in CMIP6 is similar to previous versions while its sensitivity to external forcing is subtly different and closer to observations, but still not in step with global surface temperature.

Schematic showing behavior of magma in the Main Ethiopian Rift
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Gas-Rich, Transcrustal Magma Storage in the Main Ethiopian Rift

by Claudio Faccenna 14 August 202024 March 2023

Increments of melt trapped in crystals reveal upper crustal magmas in the Main Ethiopian Rift are rich in water and other volatiles, leading to extensive diffuse degassing and hydrothermal systems.

An AmeriFlux instrument tower rises above treetops in a New Mexico piñon-juniper forest
Posted inScience Updates

Measuring, Monitoring, and Modeling Ecosystem Cycling

by L. R. Hawkins, J. Kumar, X. Luo, D. Sihi and S. Zhou 5 August 202015 March 2023

Scientists leverage long-term environmental measurements, emerging satellite observations, and recent modeling advances to examine changes in ecosystem carbon and water cycling.

A home severely damaged by a tornado
Posted inOpinions

Weathering Environmental Change Through Advances in AI

by Amy McGovern, A. Bostrom, I. Ebert-Uphoff, R. He, C. Thorncroft, P. Tissot, S. Boukabara, J. Demuth, D. J. Gagne II, J. Hickey and J. K. Williams 28 July 202022 November 2021

Developing trustworthy artificial intelligence for weather and ocean forecasting, as well as for long-term environmental sustainability, requires integrating collaborative efforts from many sources.

Example time slices of geomagnetic field intensity at Earth’s surface over the past 100 thousand years from the global GGF100k model
Posted inEditors' Vox

The Global Geomagnetic Field of the Past Hundred Thousand Years

by S. Panovska, M. Korte and C. G. Constable 22 July 202014 March 2023

Global data compilations and the production of time-varying paleomagnetic field models over the past hundred thousand years provide insights into geomagnetic field evolution.

The Chicxulub impact event, framed by fluffy clouds and flying pterosaurs
Posted inNews

Asteroid Impact, Not Volcanism, Likely Spelled Dinosaurs’ End

Katherine Kornei, Science Writer by Katherine Kornei 21 July 202010 November 2021

Using climate and habitat modeling, researchers show that solar dimming caused by an asteroid impact would have plunged the world into an “impact winter” and decimated dinosaur habitats.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

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2 June 20261 June 2026
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Small-Scale Indian Ocean Dynamics Underpin Marine Ecology and Climate

4 June 20263 June 2026
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