In 1972, Mikhail Ivanovich Budyko used a simple methodology to make climate predictions that remain surprisingly accurate today and that could serve as a new “business-as-usual” scenario.
Modeling
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Moon May Hold Billions of Tons of Subterranean Ice at Its Poles
By modeling over 4 billion years of the Moon’s impact history, scientists estimate that the lunar poles may harbor billions of metric tons of subsurface ice.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Different Models, Different Answers in Water Resource Planning
The experimental design used in climate vulnerability assessments can strongly influence the assessments’ findings and skew decisions about which factors are most important for informing adaptation.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Researchers Produce First Artificial Icequakes
Laboratory experiments show similarities between glacier beds and tectonic faults.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
The Importance of Wind for the Fate of Volcanic Eruption Columns
A theoretical model coupled to lab experiments on turbulent jets with reversing buoyancy sheds new light on the role of wind in controlling the dynamics of volcanic eruptive columns.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Modeling Gravity Waves with Machine Learning
Researchers used neural networks to better define the parameterizations necessary for modeling the distribution and characteristics of orographic gravity waves.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
A Juno Era Model of the Jovian Magnetosphere
Updating a model developed during the Voyager flybys will enable better mission planning and a deeper understanding of Juno data.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
New Insights into Uncertainties About Earth’s Rising Temperature
A comparison of climate models finds that much of the variation in their predictions of global warming arises from differences in how they simulate the response of convective processes to warming.
Posted inScience Updates
Torrential Rains and Poor Forecasts Sink Panama’s Infrastructure
Scientists are working to improve the forecasting of heavy rains in Panama following several events over the past decade that caused substantial flooding and damage.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Modeling the Cascading Infrastructure Impacts of Climate Change
New research highlights how interdependences among infrastructure systems like roads can complicate climate adaptation.