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Modeling

Smoke billows in the distance from a mountain near Ukiah, Calif., as motorists drive down a street in the foreground.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

“Thirstier” Atmosphere Will Increase Wildfire Risk out West

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 2 December 202022 February 2023

New climate projections could inform long-term wildfire and water resources management strategies in California and Nevada.

A field on a Nebraska farm with a large irrigation arm watering the crop. Grain storage elevators are visible in the background.
Posted inNews

Modeling Groundwater and Crop Production in the U.S. High Plains

by Jady Carmichael 30 November 20208 November 2022

Innovative new research by a team of international scholars borrows modeling methods from ecology and applies them to groundwater sustainability.

Light clouds sit high in the sky on an otherwise sunny day
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Boosting Weather Prediction with Machine Learning

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 25 November 202028 March 2023

WeatherBench is a data set compiled to serve as a standard for evaluating new approaches to artificial intelligence–driven weather forecasting.

The U.S. Coast Guard Cutter Healy sails through sea ice in the Beaufort Sea
Posted inFeatures

A 50-Year-Old Global Warming Forecast That Still Holds Up

by A. Lapenis 25 November 20209 December 2022

In 1972, Mikhail Ivanovich Budyko used a simple methodology to make climate predictions that remain surprisingly accurate today and that could serve as a new “business-as-usual” scenario.

A color mosaic close-up of the pockmarked surface of a crescent Moon
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Moon May Hold Billions of Tons of Subterranean Ice at Its Poles

by J. Pinson 20 November 202028 January 2022

By modeling over 4 billion years of the Moon’s impact history, scientists estimate that the lunar poles may harbor billions of metric tons of subsurface ice.

Aerial view of the Green Mountain Reservoir and Heeney, Colo., in 2017
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Different Models, Different Answers in Water Resource Planning

by Terri Cook 19 November 202024 February 2023

The experimental design used in climate vulnerability assessments can strongly influence the assessments’ findings and skew decisions about which factors are most important for informing adaptation.

Photo of the apparatus used to produce icequakes
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Researchers Produce First Artificial Icequakes

by Jack Lee 17 November 202014 October 2021

Laboratory experiments show similarities between glacier beds and tectonic faults.

Schematic diagram of the experimental apparatus
Posted inEditors' Highlights

The Importance of Wind for the Fate of Volcanic Eruption Columns

by M. Pistolesi 13 November 20202 May 2022

A theoretical model coupled to lab experiments on turbulent jets with reversing buoyancy sheds new light on the role of wind in controlling the dynamics of volcanic eruptive columns.

Satellite image showing atmospheric gravity waves above the Hokkaido region of Japan
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Modeling Gravity Waves with Machine Learning

Kate Wheeling, freelance science writer by Kate Wheeling 11 November 202020 December 2022

Researchers used neural networks to better define the parameterizations necessary for modeling the distribution and characteristics of orographic gravity waves.

Jupiter as seen by the Juno spacecraft on 17 February 2020
Posted inResearch Spotlights

A Juno Era Model of the Jovian Magnetosphere

by Morgan Rehnberg 9 November 202020 July 2022

Updating a model developed during the Voyager flybys will enable better mission planning and a deeper understanding of Juno data.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

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Editors' Highlights

Enhancing Induced Seismicity: A New Window into Earthquake Physics

28 July 202627 July 2026
Editors' Vox

The Hidden Costs of Mining River Sand

27 July 202627 July 2026
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