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Modeling

Satellite image of Hurricane Harvey swirling over the Texas coast
Posted inNews

To Make Better Hurricane Models, Consider Air Pollution

Rachel Fritts, Science Writer by Rachel Fritts 23 December 20203 November 2022

New research uses Hurricane Harvey as a case study to demonstrate the devastating power of aerosols to supercharge tropical storms.

Plot showing a crater produced by the impact of a 10 km diameter bolide impacting a model of (16) Psyche
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Predicting the Unique Shape of Craters on Asteroid (16) Psyche

by Laurent G. J. Montési 21 December 202015 February 2022

Models link the variety of crater shapes expected on (16) Psyche with the interior structure of this unique asteroid, in preparation for the arrival of the Psyche probe in 2026.

Smokestacks release smoke into the sky at an industrial site surrounded by trees and sparse buildings.
Posted inNews

The Debate over the United Nations’ Energy Emissions Projections

Kate Wheeling, freelance science writer by Kate Wheeling 18 December 20202 September 2022

A new study finds the economic factor driving the divergence between emissions trajectories in climate assessments and reality.

Cutaway model of Earth’s interior
Posted inNews

Geologists to Shed Light on the Mantle with 3D Model

by E. Gribkoff 4 December 20204 August 2023

The model, which will incorporate 227 million surface wave measurements, could help with everything from earthquake characterization to neutrino geosciences.

Six plots showing spatial distribution of steady-state groundwater aquifer salinity (colors) and flow streamlines (white) for the two-dimensional simulations of the floodplain
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Evaporation Reverses Groundwater Flow and Forms Hyper-Salinity

by D. Scott Mackay 4 December 20201 December 2022

A numerical model of groundwater-surface water systems shows how floodplain evaporation can reverse stream-groundwater flow and produce strong buoyancy changes associated with salinity.

Processed image of the 1919 solar eclipse
Posted inResearch Spotlights

A Better Understanding of How the Sun Bends Light

Damond Benningfield, Science Writer by Damond Benningfield 3 December 202023 September 2022

Incorporating the refractive index of the Sun into models of gravitational lensing effects improves agreement with measurements of the phenomenon.

Smoke billows in the distance from a mountain near Ukiah, Calif., as motorists drive down a street in the foreground.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

“Thirstier” Atmosphere Will Increase Wildfire Risk out West

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 2 December 202022 February 2023

New climate projections could inform long-term wildfire and water resources management strategies in California and Nevada.

A field on a Nebraska farm with a large irrigation arm watering the crop. Grain storage elevators are visible in the background.
Posted inNews

Modeling Groundwater and Crop Production in the U.S. High Plains

by Jady Carmichael 30 November 20208 November 2022

Innovative new research by a team of international scholars borrows modeling methods from ecology and applies them to groundwater sustainability.

Light clouds sit high in the sky on an otherwise sunny day
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Boosting Weather Prediction with Machine Learning

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 25 November 202028 March 2023

WeatherBench is a data set compiled to serve as a standard for evaluating new approaches to artificial intelligence–driven weather forecasting.

The U.S. Coast Guard Cutter Healy sails through sea ice in the Beaufort Sea
Posted inFeatures

A 50-Year-Old Global Warming Forecast That Still Holds Up

by A. Lapenis 25 November 20209 December 2022

In 1972, Mikhail Ivanovich Budyko used a simple methodology to make climate predictions that remain surprisingly accurate today and that could serve as a new “business-as-usual” scenario.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

As Wildfires Increase in the West, So Does Suppression Spending

10 June 202610 June 2026
Editors' Highlights

Pre-Existing Structure and Stress Shape Geothermal-Induced Seismicity

2 June 20261 June 2026
Editors' Vox

Small-Scale Indian Ocean Dynamics Underpin Marine Ecology and Climate

4 June 20263 June 2026
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