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Modeling

Plots showing the precipitation errors using the new error metric as a function of absolute errors.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Uncovering Hidden Errors in Simulated Precipitation

by Jiwen Fan 18 October 202113 March 2023

New metrics used to quantify errors in precipitation show that convection permitting simulations outperform coarser resolution simulations.

View of the Brahmaputra River with the sun low on the horizon
Posted inScience Updates

Tree Rings Reveal a 700-Year Record of Flooding in Bangladesh

by Mukund Palat Rao and Benjamin I. Cook 15 October 202115 October 2021

Trees tell of a wetter past along the Brahmaputra River and, combined with climate modeling, suggest heightened future flood risks in one of the world’s most densely populated areas.

Posted inEditors' Vox

Tools for Improved Drought and Flood Response

by H. Wu, D.P. Lettenmaier, Q. Tang and P.J. Ward 29 September 20213 June 2022

A new book presents recent advances in the modeling and remote sensing of droughts and floods of use to emergency response organizations and policy makers on a global scale.

Several charts showing the results of hydrothermal flow modelling along a 26 km-long line located on 7-million-year-old Atlantic oceanic crust.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Mechanisms of Hydrothermal Ocean Plate Cooling Revealed

by V. Sallarès 28 September 202127 January 2023

A combination of waveform tomography and hydrothermal modelling allows characterizing the mechanisms and reach of fluid flux and ocean plate cooling near mid-ocean ridges with unprecedented detail.

On the left is a schematic illustrating the model setup in an idealized rectangular channel. On the right is a contour plot of predicted ratio of lateral erosion rate to vertical erosion rate as a function of transport stage and relative sediment supply.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Impacts by Moving Gravel Cause River Channels to Widen or Narrow

by Mikaël Attal 24 September 202115 February 2023

A new analytical model describes how the amount and grain size of sediment transported by rivers influences bedrock channel width, which can be used to predict where rivers will widen or narrow.

SAIL site in Gothic, Colo..
Posted inENGAGE, News

Collaboration in the Rockies Aims to Model Mountain Watersheds Worldwide

by Saima May Sidik 21 September 202129 March 2023

As Earth’s climate changes at an unprecedented rate, the Surface Atmosphere Integrated Field Laboratory is studying precipitation on an unprecedented scale.

Photo of the Makahiku Falls in the Haleakala National Park Maui, Hawaii
Posted inEditors' Vox

Evaluating the Impact and Reach of Biogeochemical Cycles

by K. Dontsova, Z. Balogh‐Brunstad and G. Le Roux 20 September 20211 October 2021

A new book examines flow of the elements in the biosphere from biological drivers to human influences, and explores the analytical and computational methods used to access biogeochemical cycles.

A burst of sunlight above a cloudy Earth.
Posted inENGAGE, News

Small Climate Changes Could Be Magnified by Natural Processes

Damond Benningfield, Science Writer by Damond Benningfield 16 September 202129 March 2023

A new study uses modeling techniques to uncover how small incidents of warming may be turned into hyperthermal events lasting thousands of years.

Two world maps with colored dots and stars denoting maximum mantle temperatures retrieved by the RevPET algorithm for the basaltic melts from the global submarine mid-ocean ridge system.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

A Novel Thermobarometer to Infer Mantle Melting Conditions

by Susanne Straub 16 September 20214 August 2023

The algorithm RevPET automatically reverses the complex multi-phase fractional crystallization path of oceanic basalts and offers new perspectives for advancing mantle thermobarometry.

Plot of methane emissions with time, noting the target amount for 2050
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Bottom-up Meets Top-down Estimates of Wetland Methane Emissions

Eric Davidson, president-elect of AGU by Eric Davidson 15 September 20212 November 2021

An innovative integration of models and satellite observations indicates weak temperature sensitivity of CH4 emissions from tropical wetlands, but temperature sensitivity is high at higher latitudes.

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