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Modeling

Looking across Midwestern cropland, the viewer sees a tornado extending down from thick, gray-blue clouds to meet the horizon. To the tornado’s left, a funnel cloud companion looks like a thin finger pointing toward Earth from the bottom of the clouds.
Posted inNews

A Hotter Earth Means Stronger Tornadoes

by Saima May Sidik 13 December 202113 December 2021

Although their frequency may decrease, models suggest anthropogenic climate change will increase the intensity of tornado outbreaks.

View of the Los Angeles basin with mountains in the background
Posted inENGAGE, News

Earthquakes Ripple Through 3D Printed Models of Los Angeles

Katherine Kornei, Science Writer by Katherine Kornei 13 December 202127 March 2023

Using stainless steel models, researchers find that high-frequency seismic waves—the most damaging to buildings—are attenuated in the Los Angeles sedimentary basin.

Photograph of a rainforest
Posted inEditors' Vox

New Insights into Terrestrial Ecosystems Through Reanalysis

by Roland Baatz, Harrie-Jan Hendricks-Franssen and Harry Vereecken 10 December 202122 December 2021

Reanalysis data, already used to understand terrestrial processes on the physical land surface, the carbon cycle, and the hydrologic cycle, is now being applied to terrestrial ecosystems.

Scientists living in ice camps during an entire year in 1975 (top). Automated instruments attached to sea ice in 2006–2012 (bottom).
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Capturing How Fast the Arctic Ocean Is Gaining Fresh Water

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 8 December 20219 December 2021

A new analysis suggests that models do not accurately capture how fresh Arctic surface waters mix with deeper waters, contributing to underestimation of Arctic surface freshening.

Plot comparing the efficiency with which flood risk management is carried out and the effect on addressing socio-economic inequality.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Pro-Poor Flood Risk Management Can Reduce Urban Inequality

by Jim Hall 7 December 202121 February 2023

Rich people’s aversion to flood risk results in poor people living in the most vulnerable locations poverty. Pro-poor flood risk management policies could have a significant impact on inequality.

High school running track in Taiwan crossed by the Chelungpu fault
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Faulting and Folding Signals in Seismic Data

Kate Wheeling, freelance science writer by Kate Wheeling 6 December 202126 January 2022

A novel numerical model simulates folding in Earth’s crust throughout the earthquake cycle.

Black and white image taken from the air of a massive plume of smoke and a pyrocumulonimbus cloud over Earth’s surface
Posted inOpinions

Geoscientists Can Help Reduce the Threat of Nuclear Weapons

by Alan Robock and Stewart C. Prager 2 December 20213 December 2021

A nuclear war would claim many lives from its direct impacts and cause rapid climate change that would further imperil humanity. Scientists can help shape policies to put us on a safer path.

An ice cliff at the edge of a glacier sits in the water.
Posted inOpinions

Quit Worrying About Uncertainty in Sea Level Projections

by Jeremy Bassis 30 November 20213 February 2023

Emphasizing uncertainty in model projections of long-term sea level rise is a misguided approach. Instead, we should focus on communicating what we do know while improving model confidence.

Sunlight reflecting off tiny, interplanetary “cosmic dust” particles
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Cosmic Dust May Be Key Source of Phosphorus for Life on Earth

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 17 November 202117 November 2021

When tiny particles enter Earth’s atmosphere, a newly described series of chemical reactions may lead to production of phosphorus-containing molecules that are essential for biological processes.

Aerial view of flooding in around Houston, Texas.
Posted inScience Updates

Forecasting Compound Floods in Complex Coastal Regions

by Saeed Moghimi, Edward Myers, Shachak Pe’eri, Y. Joseph Zhang and Fei Ye 16 November 202127 October 2022

Coastal communities face more frequent floods in which rain, rivers, and ocean storm surge combine forces. A reliable system that accurately predicts inundation from these events is urgently needed.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

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InSight into Seismology on the Red Planet

21 October 202621 October 2026
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The Geomagnetic Polarity Time Scale Revisited Once Again

22 October 202622 October 2026
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Opening Access to Earth Observation Data for Disaster Mitigation

21 October 202620 October 2026
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