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Modeling

A burst of sunlight above a cloudy Earth.
Posted inENGAGE, News

Small Climate Changes Could Be Magnified by Natural Processes

Damond Benningfield, Science Writer by Damond Benningfield 16 September 202129 March 2023

A new study uses modeling techniques to uncover how small incidents of warming may be turned into hyperthermal events lasting thousands of years.

Two world maps with colored dots and stars denoting maximum mantle temperatures retrieved by the RevPET algorithm for the basaltic melts from the global submarine mid-ocean ridge system.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

A Novel Thermobarometer to Infer Mantle Melting Conditions

by Susanne Straub 16 September 20214 August 2023

The algorithm RevPET automatically reverses the complex multi-phase fractional crystallization path of oceanic basalts and offers new perspectives for advancing mantle thermobarometry.

Plot of methane emissions with time, noting the target amount for 2050
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Bottom-up Meets Top-down Estimates of Wetland Methane Emissions

Eric Davidson, president-elect of AGU by Eric Davidson 15 September 20212 November 2021

An innovative integration of models and satellite observations indicates weak temperature sensitivity of CH4 emissions from tropical wetlands, but temperature sensitivity is high at higher latitudes.

Diagram of subduction interface
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Subduction Zone Earthquakes: Fast and Slow, Weak and Strong

by T. Parsons 13 September 202118 January 2022

What causes slow earthquakes in subduction zones? New insights from numerical models suggest that a mixture of strong and weak rocks might be the cause.

A coast of the Galapagos Islands in the eastern tropical Pacific
Posted inNews

Tropical Climate Change Is a Puzzle—Could Aerosols Be a Piece?

by Andrew Chapman 9 September 202114 April 2022

The eastern tropical Pacific Ocean hasn’t warmed as much as climate change models projected. A new study shows that aerosols in the atmosphere could be responsible.

在中生代,泛大陆的分裂导致了长期的气候趋势。
Posted inResearch Spotlights

中生代1.95亿年的全球气候模拟

by Jack Lee 31 August 202126 October 2021

集合气候模拟确定了推动史前温室气候长期趋势的因素。

Series of six figures showing recovered fault geometry and slip models, from early to late stages in the inversion procedure.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

New Inversion Method Improves Earthquake Source Imaging

by Cécile Lasserre 30 August 20218 December 2022

A new method uses Bayesian inference to jointly invert for non-planar fault geometry and spatially variable slip (with associated uncertainties) in earthquake source modeling, based on geodetic data.

An extratropical cyclone over the U.S. Midwest
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Improving Weather Simulations Through Increased Generality

by Morgan Rehnberg 3 August 20218 July 2024

By adding support for spatially variable velocity fields and anisotropy, the CoSMoS simulation package can more accurately reproduce physical phenomena.

Photograph of The Great Unconformity visible in The Grand Canyon
Posted inEditors' Highlights

The Great Unconformities?

by Peter van der Beek 3 August 20219 December 2022

New thermochronology data and thermal history modeling from the Canadian Shield show that the Great Unconformity formed there later than elsewhere in North America and may represent another event.

During the Mesozoic, the fragmentation of Pangaea contributed to long-term climate trends.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Simulating 195 Million Years of Global Climate in the Mesozoic

by Jack Lee 30 July 20217 October 2021

An ensemble of climate simulations identifies factors that drove long-term trends of a prehistoric greenhouse climate.

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