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Modeling

Chart comparing the maximum relative error obtained from various millennia long CMIP models using different estimation techniques.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

New Technique to Estimate Climate Sensitivity

by Suzana Camargo 3 February 202122 February 2023

Climate sensitivity can be estimated using multiple variables jointly in a multi-component linear regression.

On-the-ground view of a tractor tread mark going through soil in a farm field
Posted inResearch Spotlights

A Global Look at Surface Soil Organic Carbon

by David Shultz 1 February 20215 October 2021

Soil organic carbon is an important element of ecosystem and climate health. Remote sensing can now give scientists a global look at this important piece of the carbon puzzle.

3 plots from the paper
Posted inEditors' Highlights

International Collaboration Yields Unique Climate Simulations

by P. Caldwell 29 January 202120 July 2022

Porting and optimizing CESM1.3 to run on the TaihuLight computer enabled an astounding 750 years of simulation with 0.25° grid spacing for land & atmosphere and 0.1° grid spacing for ocean & sea ice.

Plot showing pattern correlations between models and observations for simulated annual mean climatology over the period 1980–1999 for five climate variables
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Climate Modeling Progress in the Past 15 Years

by Minghua Zhang 27 January 202112 January 2022

An assessment and comparison of the performances of climate models participating in three phases of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3, CMIP5 and CMIP6).

Visible-light and thermal-infrared photos of Sacramento showing heat distribution
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Modeling Interactions Between Cities and Climate Across Scales

by Susan Trumbore 26 January 202122 April 2022

With more than half of humanity living in cities, the ability to model urban-climate interactions at relevant spatial scales is increasingly important.

Landscape view showing mountains, forests, and other vegetation within the Héen Latinee Experimental Forest north of Juneau, Alaska
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Determining Dissolved Organic Carbon Flows into the Gulf of Alaska

by David Shultz 15 January 202122 December 2021

A new model determines freshwater and dissolved organic carbon discharge to the Gulf of Alaska from one of the most geographically diverse but understudied regions on the planet.

Posted inEditors' Highlights

Deep Decarbonization? Yes We Can!

Eric Davidson, president-elect of AGU by Eric Davidson 14 January 20217 July 2025

Modeling the U.S. energy system demonstrates several pathways to net-zero CO2 emissions by 2050. The pathway with the lowest cost, 0.2–1.2% of GDP, relies on >80% contribution of renewables.

A handheld compass sits amid rocks on a beach
Posted inScience Updates

Modeling Earth’s Ever-Shifting Magnetism

by A. Chulliat, W. Brown, P. Alken, S. Macmillan and M. Paniccia 14 January 20213 November 2021

The World Magnetic Model, updated every 5 years through an international collaboration, supports numerous technologies that help us find our way.

Figures showing modeling of fault related anisotropy
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Fault Related Anisotropy in the Hikurangi Subduction Zone

by A. Becel 13 January 20218 July 2024

A new study provides the first high-resolution three-dimensional anisotropic P-wave velocity model of the shallow part of the Northern Hikurangi subduction zone offshore New Zealand.

Drone photograph of research vessel offshore Malta collecting geophysical data to map offshore freshened groundwater systems
Posted inEditors' Vox

Freshened Groundwater in the Sub-seafloor

by A. Micallef, M. Person, C. Berndt, Claudia Bertoni, A. Haroon, R. Martin-Nagle, T. Müller and E. Trembath-Reichert 11 January 202130 March 2023

Scientists are using a variety of geochemical, geophysical, and numerical methods to study offshore freshened groundwater and better understand its role in the global water cycle.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

As Wildfires Increase in the West, So Does Suppression Spending

10 June 202610 June 2026
Editors' Highlights

Pre-Existing Structure and Stress Shape Geothermal-Induced Seismicity

2 June 20261 June 2026
Editors' Vox

Small-Scale Indian Ocean Dynamics Underpin Marine Ecology and Climate

4 June 20263 June 2026
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