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Modeling

Extreme rainfall is more likely to occur in the United States as temperatures rise.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Extreme Rainfall Statistics May Shift as U.S. Climate Warms

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 12 April 202118 February 2022

Precipitation data and high-resolution modeling suggest that extreme rainfall events under a changing climate will be shorter, more intense, and more widely spread out.

Different heat stress indicators change in different ways, but climate models project a clear trend of increasing heat stress worldwide.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Global Warming Causes Uneven Changes in Heat Stress Indicators

by Morgan Rehnberg 1 April 202122 February 2023

Different indicators change in different ways, but climate models project a clear trend of increasing heat stress.

View from an airplane flying above a layer of clouds
Posted inScience Updates

Improving Models for Solar Climate Intervention Research

by S. Eastham, S. Doherty, D. Keith, Jadwiga H. Richter and L. Xia 19 March 202117 January 2024

Modern climate models were designed to simulate natural systems and changes mainly due to atmospheric carbon dioxide, rather than to predict effects of deliberate climate interventions.

Aerial view of part of the Greenland Ice Sheet
Posted inOpinions

Building a Better Model to View Earth’s Interacting Processes

by G. Danabasoglu and J.-F. Lamarque 15 March 202122 March 2022

Researchers collaborated to produce and evaluate a new version of the Community Earth System Model, and they are documenting their work in the AGU CESM2 virtual special issue.

Two maps of the Missouri river basin showing estimates of river discharge in a hydrological model (top) and when the model incorporates satellite data (bottom).
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Gauging Ungauged River Basins with Smart Remote Sensing

by Marc F. P. Bierkens 10 March 202115 March 2023

A clever combination of hydrologic modelling and discharge estimates from the Landsat satellite provides good discharge estimates throughout the Missouri river basin.

Imagen de una fábrica en un complejo industrial emitiendo gases.
Posted inNews

El debate sobre las proyecciones de emisiones energéticas de las Naciones Unidas

Kate Wheeling, freelance science writer by Kate Wheeling 9 March 202114 March 2023

Un nuevo estudio encuentra el factor económico que controla la divergencia entre las trayectorias de las emisiones en las evaluaciones climáticas y la realidad.

A model bulk water storage capacity map of the pyrolitic mantle up to 27 GPa
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Watering Down the Mantle

by V. Salters 9 March 20214 August 2023

The cooling of planet Earth over time increased the water carrying capacity of the mantle and could have shrunk the oceans.

The University of Wyoming King Air samples water and carbon fluxes over an autumn-forested landscape in northern Wisconsin, USA, as part of the CHEESEHEAD19 study.
Posted inEditors' Vox

Advances in Scaling and Modeling of Land-Atmosphere Interactions

by Ankur R. Desai, B. Butterworth, S. Metzger and M. Mauder 4 March 202122 December 2021

Papers are invited for a new cross-journal special collection on insights in scaling land-atmosphere interactions from field experiments, data analyses, and modeling.

Photo of the Sun shining through a partly cloudy sky
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Ice Age Testing Reveals Challenges in Climate Model Sensitivity

by Morgan Rehnberg 2 March 202122 February 2023

Increased reflection of incoming sunlight by clouds led one current-generation climate model to predict unrealistically cold temperatures during the last ice age.

Speleothems hang from the roof of a cave in Herbstlabyrinth, Germany
Posted inScience Updates

Improving Access to Paleoclimate Data

by N. Kaushal, L. Comas-Bru, F. A. Lechleitner, I. G. Hatvani and Z. Kern 1 March 20216 March 2023

Paleoclimate databases are powerful tools for improving climate models. The recent work of speleothem researchers offers lessons on creating a lasting database and fostering the needed mindset.

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