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Modeling

A large iceberg floats amid a field of sea ice.
Posted inScience Updates

New Perspectives on the Enigma of Expanding Antarctic Sea Ice

by Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Ian Eisenman, Sally Zhang, Shantong Sun and Aaron Donohoe 11 February 2022

Recent research offers new insights on Antarctic sea ice, which, despite global warming, has increased in overall extent over the past 40 years.

Yatteyattah Nature Reserve in Australia
Posted inNews

A New Model for an Old Extinction Event

by Robin Donovan 8 February 20228 February 2022

A 3D Earth system model incorporates variables such as temperature and sulfurization to shed light on the end-Permian extinction event.

Dry Falls located at the head of Grand Coulee
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Western U.S. “Megafloods” Might Not Have Been So Mega

by Rebecca Dzombak 3 February 20223 February 2022

The flooding that carved eastern Washington State 20,000 to 12,000 years ago could have been 80% smaller than the canyons’ volume today.

The coastline of Nova Scotia in eastern Canada
Posted inResearch Spotlights

The Role of Magma in the Birth of the Atlantic Ocean

by Jack Lee 25 January 202225 January 2022

High-resolution seismic models of the Nova Scotia margin reveal a role for magmatism in continental breakup, even at magma-poor sections of the eastern North American margin.

Posted inResearch Spotlights

地震资料中的断层和褶皱信号

Kate Wheeling, freelance science writer by Kate Wheeling 20 January 202220 January 2022

种新的数值模型模拟了整个地震周期内的地壳褶皱。

A severe hailstorm near Kingfisher, Okla.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Rising Trend Predicted for Conditions Linked to Severe Storms

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 19 January 202219 January 2022

Climate modeling predicts that conditions conducive to severe thunderstorms will arise more often as Earth warms.

A selfie of NASA’s Curiosity rover, in the northwestern part of Gale crater
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Scientists Turn Back Time to Track Methane Emissions on Mars

JoAnna Wendel, freelance science writer and illustrator by JoAnna Wendel 14 January 202224 April 2024

Period spikes of methane on Mars could originate inside Gale crater, where NASA’s Curiosity rover is currently exploring.s

Cataracts of the Nile River located between Khartoum, Sudan, and Aswan, Egypt
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Recovering Mantle Memories from River Profiles

Kate Wheeling, freelance science writer by Kate Wheeling 14 January 20224 August 2023

Researchers use a closed-loop modeling strategy to validate regional uplift patterns recorded in river profiles across the African continent.

View from space of sea ice floes and eddy currents near the coast of Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula
Posted inOpinions

Overcoming the Challenges of Ocean Data Uncertainty

by Shane Elipot, Kyla Drushka, Aneesh Subramanian and Mike Patterson 12 January 202227 March 2023

In oceanography, as in any scientific field, the goal is not to eliminate uncertainty in data, but instead to better quantify and clearly communicate its size and nature.

A helicopter hovers in the foreground as meltwater pours from a waterfall over the edge of an ice shelf.
Posted inFeatures

The Uncertain Future of Antarctica’s Melting Ice

by Florence Colleoni, Tim Naish, Robert DeConto, Laura De Santis and Pippa L. Whitehouse 10 January 202210 January 2022

A new multidisciplinary, international research program aims to tackle one of the grand challenges in climate science: resolving the Antarctic Ice Sheet’s contribution to future sea level rise.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Scientists Zero In on Tiny Particles to Improve Weather and Air Quality Forecasts

2 October 20262 October 2026
Editors' Highlights

Reducing Uncertainty in Groundwater Models Using Airborne Geophysics

28 September 202625 September 2026
Editors' Vox

Where Fire Ends, Chemistry Begins

30 September 202630 September 2026
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