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Modeling

A severe hailstorm near Kingfisher, Okla.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Rising Trend Predicted for Conditions Linked to Severe Storms

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 19 January 202219 January 2022

Climate modeling predicts that conditions conducive to severe thunderstorms will arise more often as Earth warms.

A selfie of NASA’s Curiosity rover, in the northwestern part of Gale crater
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Scientists Turn Back Time to Track Methane Emissions on Mars

JoAnna Wendel, freelance science writer and illustrator by JoAnna Wendel 14 January 202224 April 2024

Period spikes of methane on Mars could originate inside Gale crater, where NASA’s Curiosity rover is currently exploring.s

Cataracts of the Nile River located between Khartoum, Sudan, and Aswan, Egypt
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Recovering Mantle Memories from River Profiles

Kate Wheeling, freelance science writer by Kate Wheeling 14 January 20224 August 2023

Researchers use a closed-loop modeling strategy to validate regional uplift patterns recorded in river profiles across the African continent.

View from space of sea ice floes and eddy currents near the coast of Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula
Posted inOpinions

Overcoming the Challenges of Ocean Data Uncertainty

by Shane Elipot, Kyla Drushka, Aneesh Subramanian and Mike Patterson 12 January 202227 March 2023

In oceanography, as in any scientific field, the goal is not to eliminate uncertainty in data, but instead to better quantify and clearly communicate its size and nature.

A helicopter hovers in the foreground as meltwater pours from a waterfall over the edge of an ice shelf.
Posted inFeatures

The Uncertain Future of Antarctica’s Melting Ice

by Florence Colleoni, Tim Naish, Robert DeConto, Laura De Santis and Pippa L. Whitehouse 10 January 202210 January 2022

A new multidisciplinary, international research program aims to tackle one of the grand challenges in climate science: resolving the Antarctic Ice Sheet’s contribution to future sea level rise.

Hurricane Irma battering Saint Martin in the Caribbean.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

The AI Forecaster: Machine Learning Takes On Weather Prediction

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 6 January 202226 April 2022

A novel approach to weather forecasting uses convolutional neural networks to generate exceptionally fast global forecasts based on past weather data.

An Isinglass sounding rocket launch from Poker Flat, Alaska
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Converting Auroral Observations into 3D Structures

by Morgan Rehnberg 3 January 20222 February 2022

Using 1D and 2D data sources as model constraints yields fine-scale insights into real-world aurorae.

Crop residue mulch from a terminated winter rye cover crop is visible between rows of newly planted corn plants.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Modeling Mulch to Understand Agricultural Soil

by Morgan Rehnberg 22 December 202122 December 2021

A new model helps shed light on residue mulch, an important regulator of surface soil conditions.

A view of the San Andreas Fault
Posted inResearch Spotlights

How Fault Surface Features Can Tell Us About Future Earthquakes

Elizabeth Thompson by Elizabeth Thompson 21 December 202121 December 2021

A new study suggests ways to quantify fault maturity, a property that affects earthquake characteristics.

Looking across Midwestern cropland, the viewer sees a tornado extending down from thick, gray-blue clouds to meet the horizon. To the tornado’s left, a funnel cloud companion looks like a thin finger pointing toward Earth from the bottom of the clouds.
Posted inNews

A Hotter Earth Means Stronger Tornadoes

by Saima May Sidik 13 December 202113 December 2021

Although their frequency may decrease, models suggest anthropogenic climate change will increase the intensity of tornado outbreaks.

Posts pagination

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

What Australian Lakes Showed Us About Martian Hydrology

27 July 202627 July 2026
Editors' Highlights

Enhancing Induced Seismicity: A New Window into Earthquake Physics

28 July 202627 July 2026
Editors' Vox

The Hidden Costs of Mining River Sand

27 July 202627 July 2026
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