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Modeling

High school running track in Taiwan crossed by the Chelungpu fault
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Faulting and Folding Signals in Seismic Data

Kate Wheeling, freelance science writer by Kate Wheeling 6 December 202126 January 2022

A novel numerical model simulates folding in Earth’s crust throughout the earthquake cycle.

Black and white image taken from the air of a massive plume of smoke and a pyrocumulonimbus cloud over Earth’s surface
Posted inOpinions

Geoscientists Can Help Reduce the Threat of Nuclear Weapons

by Alan Robock and Stewart C. Prager 2 December 20213 December 2021

A nuclear war would claim many lives from its direct impacts and cause rapid climate change that would further imperil humanity. Scientists can help shape policies to put us on a safer path.

An ice cliff at the edge of a glacier sits in the water.
Posted inOpinions

Quit Worrying About Uncertainty in Sea Level Projections

by Jeremy Bassis 30 November 20213 February 2023

Emphasizing uncertainty in model projections of long-term sea level rise is a misguided approach. Instead, we should focus on communicating what we do know while improving model confidence.

Sunlight reflecting off tiny, interplanetary “cosmic dust” particles
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Cosmic Dust May Be Key Source of Phosphorus for Life on Earth

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 17 November 202117 November 2021

When tiny particles enter Earth’s atmosphere, a newly described series of chemical reactions may lead to production of phosphorus-containing molecules that are essential for biological processes.

Aerial view of flooding in around Houston, Texas.
Posted inScience Updates

Forecasting Compound Floods in Complex Coastal Regions

by Saeed Moghimi, Edward Myers, Shachak Pe’eri, Y. Joseph Zhang and Fei Ye 16 November 202127 October 2022

Coastal communities face more frequent floods in which rain, rivers, and ocean storm surge combine forces. A reliable system that accurately predicts inundation from these events is urgently needed.

Room full of computer servers, as far as the eye can see
Posted inNews

Accurate Simulation of Sun’s Rotation Might Illuminate Solar Cycle

Tim Hornyak, Science Writer by Tim Hornyak 8 November 202127 March 2023

Scientists have known for 400 years about a particularity in the way the Sun rotates. It took the world’s most powerful supercomputer to accurately simulate it.

Painting depicting the surface of Earth during the Hadean eon, with a liquid water ocean, volcanoes, and meteors streaking through the sky
Posted inScience Updates

A Simple Recipe for Making the First Continental Crust

by Anastassia Y. Borisova and Anne Nédélec 5 November 202116 May 2022

Laboratory experiments serendipitously revealed a rock-forming process that might explain how the first continental crust formed on Earth—and possibly on Mars.

The Darling River in Australia during a flood in 2012
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Identifying the World’s Most At-Risk River Basins

by Emily Cerf 3 November 202119 October 2022

Major river basins around the world, including the Amazon, may be hot spots for ecological shifts as the planet warms.

Series of charts from the paper by Feng et al.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

A New Way to Represent Microphysical Uncertainty

by Jiwen Fan 2 November 202111 August 2022

A new way of representing microphysical uncertainty in convective-scale data assimilation reduces biases in model states and improves the accuracy of short-term precipitation forecasts.

Photograph of the Sheep Mountain Anticline.
Posted inEditors' Vox

The Birth, Growth, and Death of Continents

by Rixiang Zhu, Guochun Zhao, Wenjiao Xiao, Ling Chen and Yanjie Tang 28 October 202120 June 2024

There are various explanations for how the Earth’s continents form, develop, and change but challenges remain in fully understanding the driving forces behind plate tectonics on our planet.

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As Wildfires Increase in the West, So Does Suppression Spending

10 June 202610 June 2026
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Multi-Scale Fault Roughness Encapsulated in a Friction Law

11 June 202611 June 2026
Editors' Vox

Small-Scale Indian Ocean Dynamics Underpin Marine Ecology and Climate

4 June 20263 June 2026
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